Distorted-Glimpse — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$759

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

88.6%

Resolved (90d)

279

Trades (90d)

742

3,702 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$35.4K

$150.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$411

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 11-15 05:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 209 days

Categories

Other

99% 86% -$1,445

Crypto

1% 100% +$260

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on November 15?	Yes		+351	$342	100¢	$350	+$8	11-15 05:10
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on November 15?	Yes		+61	$56	100¢	$61	+$5	11-15 05:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on October 20?	12	$1.5K	853	853	+0	Yes	-$78	10-22 07:47
highest temperature in seoul on march 26 2026 7c	4	$1.4K	719	719	-0	No	+$18	03-26 02:01
highest temperature in seoul on march 27 2026 6corbelow	4	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$5	03-27 01:31
highest temperature in paris on march 25 2026 13c	2	$994	500	500	+0	Yes	+$4	03-25 23:34
highest temperature in seoul on april 1 2026 16corhigher	6	$969	502	500	+2	No	+$30	04-01 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 26?	20	$828	856	0	+856	No	+$28	06-26 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 20?	6	$789	807	0	+807	No	+$19	07-20 06:13
highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 13c	5	$744	400	400	+0	Yes	+$40	03-24 06:54
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22?	8	$695	711	0	+711	Yes	+$16	10-22 08:02
highest temperature in shanghai on april 19 2026 22c	4	$694	365	349	+16	No	+$16	04-19 08:29
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 24?	6	$647	353	353	-0	No	$0	07-24 08:45
highest temperature in seoul on march 23 2026 14c	3	$630	650	0	+650	No	+$20	03-23 04:11
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 9?	2	$628	319	319	+0	No	+$9	07-09 11:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 24?	2	$627	633	0	+633	Yes	+$7	10-24 10:46
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 19?	12	$621	641	0	+641	Yes	+$20	07-19 08:47
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 23?	10	$619	633	0	+633	Yes	+$14	07-23 08:38
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 31?	7	$561	538	213	+325	No	-$482	07-31 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 5?	2	$537	560	0	+560	No	+$13	09-05 06:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?	9	$532	534	274	+260	Yes	-$216	05-21 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 16?	5	$515	532	0	+532	Yes	+$17	07-16 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 21?	3	$510	536	0	+536	No	-$497	06-21 07:34
highest temperature in seoul on april 7 2026 12c	4	$510	258	258	+0	No	+$5	04-07 12:36
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	10	$506	272	262	+10	No	+$26	07-23 08:37
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on August 1?	11	$500	511	0	+511	No	+$11	08-01 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 23?	17	$471	492	0	+492	Yes	+$21	06-23 06:32
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 22?	2	$469	475	0	+475	Yes	+$6	06-22 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 24?	15	$468	363	122	+242	No	+$17	05-24 07:20
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 2?	7	$463	522	0	+522	No	+$59	05-02 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 26?	6	$460	483	0	+483	No	+$23	05-26 06:26
highest temperature in madrid on april 19 2026 26c	2	$455	228	228	+0	No	+$1	04-19 14:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 05:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	61	92¢	$56	0xd4bcc6…
11-15 05:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	184	98¢	$180	0x4fa330…
11-15 04:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	167	97¢	$162	0xef375b…
11-14 06:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 14?	No	BUY	77	96¢	$73	0x35ee20…
11-14 05:47:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 14?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x0dcd98…
11-14 05:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 14?	No	BUY	80	79¢	$63	0xe2e062…
11-14 05:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 14?	No	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x572010…
11-14 05:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 14?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xab6af2…
11-14 05:45:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 14?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xfb963e…
11-14 05:44:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 14?	No	BUY	155	98¢	$152	0x49d372…
11-14 05:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 14?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x84978f…
11-14 05:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 14?	Yes	SELL	27	16¢	$4	0xd594b8…
11-14 04:27:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xe173d0…
11-14 03:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x7f17f6…
11-13 07:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on November 13?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x948738…
11-13 07:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on November 13?	No	BUY	99	96¢	$95	0x0288b0…
11-13 07:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on November 13?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xc2845b…
11-13 06:53:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on November 13?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xa4dfdb…
11-13 06:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xf42411…
11-13 06:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 13?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x53eb07…
11-13 05:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on November 13?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x19c437…
11-13 05:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on November 13?	No	BUY	117	98¢	$114	0x409f05…
11-13 05:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on November 13?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2cc63b…
11-13 04:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 13?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xbe0320…
11-13 04:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 13?	No	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xb2c666…
11-13 04:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	61	89¢	$54	0x925ced…
11-13 03:42:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 13?	No	BUY	96	96¢	$92	0x209f0a…
11-13 03:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 13?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xb48a39…
11-13 03:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 13?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x22d7a5…
11-12 06:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 12?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xaf3529…
11-12 05:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0x98e79b…
11-12 05:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 12?	No	BUY	135	98¢	$133	0xd95b93…
11-12 04:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 12?	No	BUY	147	98¢	$145	0x78f156…
11-11 06:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 11?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xbc9d3f…
11-11 06:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x3661b8…
11-11 05:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 11?	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0xe44576…
11-11 05:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xd56586…
11-11 05:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x360ab6…
11-11 05:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x08b855…
11-11 05:28:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 11?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xe8043e…
11-11 05:28:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 11?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb5edd2…
11-11 05:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 11?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd2896a…
11-11 05:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 11?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xcf97f9…
11-11 05:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 11?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6c1088…
11-11 05:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 11?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x2d20b6…
11-11 04:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 11?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1e5f10…
11-11 04:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 11?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$0	0x6b8706…
11-11 04:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 11?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x5c32ef…
11-11 03:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 11?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xd124b6…
11-11 03:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 11?	No	BUY	87	97¢	$84	0xa9ef28…
11-11 03:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 11?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0xc947ca…
11-10 06:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	92	99¢	$90	0x1655a7…
11-10 06:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc792d9…
11-10 06:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x56d114…
11-10 05:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 10?	No	BUY	140	97¢	$135	0x26f460…
11-10 05:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 10?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x876dae…
11-10 05:53:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 10?	No	BUY	154	99¢	$152	0x7b4b80…
11-10 05:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 10?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe128bf…
11-10 05:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 10?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x1967e8…
11-10 05:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 10?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5c47cb…
11-10 05:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 10?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x474b87…
11-10 05:44:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x735859…
11-10 04:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on November 10?	No	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xad59ab…
11-10 04:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on November 10?	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x60a0d0…
11-10 04:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on November 10?	No	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x2a4a6e…
11-10 04:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on November 10?	No	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0xcab9a9…
11-10 02:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on November 10?	No	BUY	90	95¢	$85	0x5893fe…
11-10 02:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on November 10?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x1beabc…
11-09 06:24:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 9?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xa368ae…
11-09 06:24:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 9?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x579be2…
11-09 06:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 9?	No	BUY	124	97¢	$120	0x4bd053…
11-09 06:23:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 9?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x4a6733…
11-09 06:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 9?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x6ab451…
11-09 05:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x7376f2…
11-09 05:47:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x41b8e0…
11-09 05:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on November 9?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0xff6dd1…
11-09 05:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on November 9?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4cd9be…
11-09 05:22:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on November 9?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf00eec…
11-09 05:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on November 9?	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x7bd695…
11-09 05:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on November 9?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x96686f…
11-09 04:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	73	95¢	$70	0x9e78ab…
11-09 03:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	45	80¢	$36	0x400b4b…
11-09 03:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0xe2fb0f…
11-09 03:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0x6062eb…
11-08 04:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xa2fa8e…
11-08 04:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on November 8?	No	BUY	27	84¢	$23	0xcaf503…
11-08 04:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	58	90¢	$52	0x0ffeed…
11-08 04:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on November 8?	No	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0xe9d025…
11-08 03:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 8?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x58e297…
11-08 03:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 8?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xede8af…
11-08 03:47:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 8?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x70b498…
11-08 03:44:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on November 8?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x2268c9…
11-08 03:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	49	87¢	$43	0x47e5c2…
11-07 06:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	98	97¢	$95	0xacbc18…
11-07 06:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x54c5a9…
11-07 06:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xc69054…
11-07 05:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 7?	No	BUY	23	94¢	$21	0x873db9…
11-07 05:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 7?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x837514…
11-07 05:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 7?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x2575c3…
11-07 04:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 7?	No	BUY	89	98¢	$88	0x419aca…