Dependent-Glance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

-$229

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

Trades

168

lifetime

Volume

$12.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

$271

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-05 01:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Politics

53% 21% +$1,059

Other

43% 13% -$977

Sports

3% 67% -$30

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$88

Crypto

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes		+2,166	$486	12¢	$260	-$226	11-05 01:18
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Yes		+323	$13	3¢	$11	-$2	10-17 02:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	6	$4.0K	2,605	2,605	+0	Yes	+$384	04-05 06:18
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	7	$2.3K	2,168	2,168	+0	Yes	-$184	04-10 01:05
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	6	$1.1K	994	994	+0	Yes	+$43	01-13 22:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	3	$1.0K	1,160	1,144	+16	No	-$515	04-07 22:56
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	4	$842	1,601	0	+1,601	Yes	+$759	02-12 18:06
will ja morant be traded before the 2026 trade deadline	4	$566	421	421	+0	No	-$70	02-03 19:41
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$541	688	688	+0	Yes	-$59	02-12 18:06
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	17	$494	2,184	18	+2,166	open	—	11-05 01:18
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	4	$278	572	572	+0	No	-$97	03-24 00:33
will mike tomlin be fired by february 28	2	$214	115	115	+0	Yes	+$14	01-13 19:27
nba uta cle 2026 01 12 spread home 13pt5	2	$201	101	101	+0	Jazz	+$1	01-13 04:12
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	2	$193	128	429	-301	No	+$73	01-04 21:08
will kanye release bully by march 27	5	$161	289	89	+200	No	-$88	03-27 19:28
nba phi tor 2026 01 12 1h moneyline	2	$105	53	53	+0	76ers	+$1	01-13 04:12
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	2	$92	118	118	+0	No	-$47	03-10 22:21
will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	2	$70	113	113	+0	No	-$3	03-27 03:55
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	3	$62	258	258	+0	Yes	-$31	10-28 01:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$55	354	0	+354	Yes	-$55	09-16 07:18
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$52	138	138	+0	No	-$3	01-12 21:18
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$46	148	148	+0	No	-$1	03-24 00:45
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	2	$45	36	36	+0	Yes	-$8	04-07 23:01
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	4	$34	89	89	+0	No	-$4	05-26 20:32
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$32	53	0	+53	Yes	-$32	02-09 02:04
highest temperature in miami on march 12 2026 82 83f	1	$26	135	0	+135	No	-$26	03-12 21:33
will another country recognize somaliland by march 31	2	$23	38	88	-50	No	+$3	02-09 02:04
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	7	$23	7,925	0	+7,925	No	-$23	01-03 22:37
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	2	$19	37	37	+0	No	-$18	07-24 22:16
highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 7c	2	$17	27	0	+27	Yes	+$9	04-06 08:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$15	125	125	+0	Yes	+$5	04-06 07:50
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	5	$13	323	0	+323	open	—	10-17 02:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 01:18:40	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x740223…
11-03 22:23:42	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0xb0b162…
11-01 19:57:25	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	190	21¢	$40	0x9a8b19…
10-31 12:39:51	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	585	18¢	$105	0x094155…
10-28 01:26:45	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	74	21¢	$16	0xf07c90…
10-28 01:26:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	258	6¢	$15	0x5b9f88…
10-24 00:49:35	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	131	18¢	$24	0x5e347b…
10-22 07:14:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	127	18¢	$23	0x56a56b…
10-17 02:59:26	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xe61f4d…
10-17 02:58:56	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x034335…
10-14 23:24:55	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Yes	BUY	54	3¢	$2	0x472144…
10-14 23:24:43	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xc23abd…
10-08 08:11:28	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	222	27¢	$60	0x35af0f…
10-08 08:11:07	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Yes	BUY	142	4¢	$6	0x2fa5d5…
10-08 00:46:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x7cb320…
10-07 06:58:48	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	43	45¢	$19	0xed2ded…
10-07 06:57:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x690da2…
10-07 06:55:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xcbe912…
10-07 06:54:02	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x21b3d0…
10-07 06:51:18	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0x99b34d…
10-07 06:49:18	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Yes	BUY	66	4¢	$3	0x4fcc31…
09-16 07:18:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	169	13¢	$22	0x0f1f42…
09-16 07:10:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	85	13¢	$11	0x306245…
09-16 03:11:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0xa3b201…
09-16 03:10:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xa2ceba…
09-13 03:31:31	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	115	20¢	$23	0xddfd7e…
09-11 18:56:37	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	62	20¢	$12	0x86e2c0…
09-07 00:23:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xea3a48…
08-21 23:21:48	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	136	28¢	$38	0x92174b…
08-13 00:02:57	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x8bcdb5…
08-13 00:02:13	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0x65feee…
08-13 00:01:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x5817e8…
08-12 20:52:12	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0xe5d49a…
08-07 00:27:08	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xb653ca…
08-07 00:26:36	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	18	23¢	$4	0x17791d…
07-26 19:28:16	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	78	26¢	$20	0x645673…
07-24 22:16:28	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0x0ab9d8…
07-22 19:05:33	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	37	51¢	$18	0x5753fa…
07-21 21:20:37	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	240	24¢	$57	0x02b647…
05-26 20:33:33	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xa09422…
05-26 20:32:47	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	39	10¢	$4	0x70acf4…
05-21 00:30:33	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	39	22¢	$9	0xba339e…
05-21 00:18:08	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x3c648d…
05-21 00:16:21	Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	No	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x5941a1…
05-20 23:42:45	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x5bea5a…
05-15 08:32:31	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x01e06d…
04-10 01:05:27	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	756	35¢	$264	0xec801c…
04-08 03:11:19	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	267	36¢	$97	0xb619fc…
04-08 03:11:05	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	322	31¢	$100	0x074bc6…
04-08 03:11:01	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x459a7c…
04-07 23:01:51	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	51¢	$19	0xc0036f…
04-07 22:56:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	1,144	22¢	$257	0x72f867…
04-07 20:39:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,004	67¢	$672	0x09ef0d…
04-07 20:38:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x9fd083…
04-07 20:38:15	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,370	56¢	$772	0x6af138…
04-07 18:37:37	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	42	60¢	$25	0x12fb00…
04-07 00:59:19	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	72¢	$26	0x5c3096…
04-06 20:26:59	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,412	71¢	$999	0xe3a95c…
04-06 20:16:41	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8df618…
04-06 18:18:17	will trump say power or strength during monday news conference	No	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x8e0f3d…
04-06 08:38:23	highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 7c	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0xe46416…
04-06 08:37:15	highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 8c	Yes	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0x5ef86a…
04-06 08:37:05	highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 7c	Yes	BUY	24	67¢	$16	0x6fa22e…
04-06 08:17:01	highest temperature in shanghai on april 6 2026 27corhigher	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x26fdee…
04-06 08:14:19	highest temperature in tokyo on april 6 2026 23corhigher	Yes	BUY	187	1¢	$1	0xcda0e8…
04-06 07:57:41	highest temperature in seoul on april 6 2026 14c	No	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x369ccf…
04-06 07:56:21	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb86fa2…
04-06 07:50:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	125	8¢	$10	0xf73809…
04-06 07:47:19	will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x3aa25e…
04-06 07:47:15	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xcda1ea…
04-06 07:43:59	will trump say power or strength during monday news conference	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbb871e…
04-06 07:16:43	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbb6611…
04-06 04:25:19	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6d7b60…
04-06 04:17:07	Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x98dcec…
04-06 04:06:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x392b06…
04-06 03:00:37	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	880	0¢	$2	0xa6be67…
04-05 06:18:35	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,284	100¢	$1,282	0xced1ee…
03-31 17:45:45	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	191	67¢	$128	0x696cc3…
03-31 05:43:05	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,094	70¢	$766	0xc5038f…
03-31 05:22:39	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,321	69¢	$912	0x476fda…
03-29 02:55:46	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	238	71¢	$169	0xfb61b5…
03-28 20:43:40	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,083	69¢	$747	0xd8fa04…
03-27 19:28:33	will kanye release bully by march 27	Yes	BUY	52	21¢	$11	0x098168…
03-27 05:35:19	will kanye release bully by march 27	Yes	BUY	95	61¢	$58	0x00e4e0…
03-27 03:55:55	will kanye release bully by march 27	Yes	BUY	53	63¢	$34	0xa7fe2b…
03-27 03:55:25	will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	SELL	113	30¢	$34	0xba2880…
03-27 00:10:47	will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	BUY	113	32¢	$36	0xd24c94…
03-26 23:03:11	will kanye release bully by march 27	No	SELL	89	41¢	$36	0x258fa6…
03-24 19:14:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf43b40…
03-24 19:09:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x26f458…
03-24 19:04:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb3852b…
03-24 18:59:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x52933b…
03-24 18:54:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x121b68…
03-24 18:49:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc368c6…
03-24 00:45:37	will kanye release bully by march 27	No	BUY	89	25¢	$22	0x284b50…
03-24 00:45:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	148	15¢	$22	0xf6f8f2…
03-24 00:33:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	148	16¢	$24	0x0a88ab…
03-24 00:33:25	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	SELL	237	10¢	$24	0xdf35d3…
03-19 03:05:21	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	237	24¢	$57	0x428c6c…
03-18 06:59:51	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	Yes	BUY	312	2¢	$8	0xba0133…