Total-Ton — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 06-13 02:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Sports

48% 47% +$63

Crypto

38% 38% $-56

Other

13% 0% $-30

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 64k on june 12 2026	2	$355	303	303	+0	open	—	06-12 15:15
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	4	$277	208	208	+0	Baltimore Orioles	+$89	05-07 00:42
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	6	$228	345	289	+56	Miami Marlins	$-2	05-08 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	2	$197	147	147	+0	Down	+$26	05-11 03:40
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	2	$166	107	107	+0	open	—	05-18 13:25
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	2	$146	102	102	+0	New York Yankees	+$46	05-07 18:38
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	2	$111	88	88	+0	open	—	05-21 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	8	$94	318	83	+235	open	—	05-03 23:35
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	3	$85	178	178	+0	Seattle Mariners	+$5	05-06 22:18
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	5	$72	149	149	+0	Washington Nationals	$-9	05-07 19:49
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	2	$63	43	43	+0	Baltimore Orioles	+$23	05-06 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	1	$60	87	0	+87	Up	$-60	05-06 00:31
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	2	$59	35	35	+0	Down	+$9	05-07 14:13
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	3	$58	86	52	+34	Baltimore Orioles	+$18	05-12 00:44
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	1	$50	111	0	+111	Milwaukee Brewers	$-50	05-10 20:22
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs	2	$45	36	36	+0	Chicago Cubs	+$25	05-06 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	05-02 19:35
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	2	$40	278	0	+278	San Francisco Giants	$-40	05-13 03:58
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	05-03 22:49
anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	1	$25	66	0	+66	open	—	06-13 02:57
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	1	$25	38	0	+38	Down	$-25	05-07 07:23
Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	2	$21	87	87	+0	Baltimore Orioles	$-19	05-10 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	1	$20	37	0	+37	Down	$-20	05-07 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	1	$20	34	0	+34	Down	+$14	05-12 02:34
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs	1	$20	26	0	+26	Chicago Cubs	$-20	05-05 03:11
T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: Malaysia vs China	2	$15	21	21	+0	Malaysia	$-5	05-07 03:14
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels	2	$11	125	125	+0	Los Angeles Angels	$-9	05-06 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11AM ET	1	$10	31	0	+31	Down	$-10	05-07 15:19
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	1	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	05-03 20:19
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels	1	$10	17	0	+17	Los Angeles Angels	+$7	05-06 02:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 02:57:00	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xc63efb…
06-12 15:15:07	bitcoin above 64k on june 12 2026	Yes	SELL	303	84¢	$255	0x4d3bf0…
06-12 01:13:21	bitcoin above 64k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xb5ffa9…
05-21 13:18:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	88	70¢	$61	0x35e0ad…
05-21 03:23:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xb70f57…
05-18 13:25:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	107	94¢	$100	0x132dcb…
05-17 23:08:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	107	61¢	$65	0x9076ed…
05-13 03:58:47	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x0fc024…
05-13 03:48:07	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xadf440…
05-12 02:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xcada0d…
05-12 00:44:33	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	New York Yankees	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xa8eb5f…
05-12 00:39:22	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	52	74¢	$38	0x6b8fd2…
05-12 00:31:57	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0xd061b6…
05-11 03:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	147	76¢	$112	0xb1f751…
05-11 02:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	147	58¢	$85	0x36f980…
05-10 20:31:01	Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x5a3dd3…
05-10 20:22:39	New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	New York Yankees	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x19dcd3…
05-10 20:16:21	Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	Athletics	SELL	87	1¢	$1	0x9509bb…
05-10 20:02:45	Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	Athletics	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x6145bc…
05-08 00:57:41	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xb8ddd5…
05-08 00:57:11	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	70	39¢	$27	0xf6733a…
05-08 00:57:11	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	219	39¢	$86	0xd092b9…
05-08 00:26:35	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x445faf…
05-07 22:54:24	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	75	27¢	$20	0x79351a…
05-07 22:46:45	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x2430d6…
05-07 19:49:44	Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	Minnesota Twins	SELL	93	9¢	$8	0x883fb3…
05-07 19:29:47	Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	Minnesota Twins	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0xa74b0a…
05-07 19:28:01	Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	Minnesota Twins	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x6d6839…
05-07 19:23:56	Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	Minnesota Twins	SELL	56	42¢	$23	0x047840…
05-07 18:40:35	Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	Minnesota Twins	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xc9c32a…
05-07 18:38:19	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	SELL	102	94¢	$96	0xe44d7e…
05-07 18:05:58	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xfce739…
05-07 16:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x316f4b…
05-07 15:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x60999b…
05-07 14:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0x96bb46…
05-07 07:23:55	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x09d5ce…
05-07 03:14:15	T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: Malaysia vs China	China	SELL	21	26¢	$5	0x0b1133…
05-07 02:18:15	T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: Malaysia vs China	China	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xaf16bf…
05-07 00:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xe9cd41…
05-07 00:42:37	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xf8c88d…
05-07 00:42:35	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	34	88¢	$30	0xbef3c4…
05-07 00:42:30	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	74	88¢	$66	0x618186…
05-06 22:27:57	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	208	45¢	$94	0x7a8c4c…
05-06 22:23:03	Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels	Chicago White Sox	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0xa18c25…
05-06 22:18:21	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	SELL	178	25¢	$45	0xa359d9…
05-06 22:13:47	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x688506…
05-06 21:42:29	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x0ab47e…
05-06 21:31:54	Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels	Chicago White Sox	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x9e794d…
05-06 20:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x1f356a…
05-06 02:53:56	Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x9b0730…
05-06 02:51:08	Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0x5d4ad8…
05-06 01:52:46	Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x0d685d…
05-06 01:50:38	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x4cf61b…
05-06 01:25:16	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x14fbf8…
05-06 00:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	87	69¢	$60	0xef3fb9…
05-05 17:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x4a93a1…
05-05 03:11:18	Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xc2f2c3…
05-03 23:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	84	20¢	$17	0xfe9ce5…
05-03 23:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x86e0fc…
05-03 23:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x5bd5c8…
05-03 23:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	21	39¢	$8	0xee0ef7…
05-03 23:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	21	24¢	$5	0x9baf82…
05-03 23:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x86340b…
05-03 23:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	41	22¢	$9	0x726ad0…
05-03 22:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xc0276f…
05-03 22:49:22	Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x2e1600…
05-03 22:15:38	Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x13a4bb…
05-03 20:19:44	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc35c0c…
05-02 20:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xea9d97…
05-02 20:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x18c347…
05-02 20:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4df896…
05-02 20:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcabd00…
05-02 20:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x907095…
05-02 20:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd87a02…
05-02 20:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7d0091…
05-02 20:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xae135a…
05-02 20:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x230b27…
05-02 20:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb4a044…
05-02 20:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4b57cf…
05-02 20:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa89ab7…
05-02 19:38:04	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x68d920…
05-02 19:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x64d20d…
05-02 19:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xf98d77…