Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.44K

Unrealized P&L

-$51

Hit rate

74.2%

Resolved

609

Trades

1,542

lifetime

Volume

$98.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

$223

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 04:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Crypto

35% 67% -$2,203

Other

33% 51% -$4,340

Sports

20% 48% -$630

Politics

12% 77% +$111

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$375

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes		+992	$274	22¢	$223	-$51	10-30 04:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	11	$5.0K	4,325	4,325	+0	Yes	+$226	02-28 20:15
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	7	$3.2K	1,691	1,691	+0	No	+$153	02-03 19:46
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	2	$2.0K	1,058	1,058	+0	No	-$24	02-09 17:41
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$1.8K	905	905	+0	No	+$0	03-07 22:38
nba nyk sas 2025 12 31	3	$1.8K	1,158	1,158	+0	Spurs	+$440	01-01 02:44
cbb sfaus incar 2026 03 02	3	$1.7K	1,220	1,215	+5	Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks	+$719	03-03 02:27
cbb idhst sacst 2026 03 02	5	$1.7K	1,525	1,518	+7	Sacramento State Hornets	+$179	03-03 03:39
nba phx ind 2026 03 12 total 225pt5	4	$1.6K	1,452	1,452	+0	Over	+$99	03-13 00:18
cbb tows stbr 2026 03 03	2	$1.2K	912	908	+4	Towson Tigers	+$203	03-04 00:43
cbb murst illchi 2026 01 01	3	$1.2K	670	670	+0	Murray State Racers	+$162	01-02 04:14
bitcoin up or down january 1 9am et	5	$1.1K	578	578	+0	Up	+$30	01-01 15:13
ufc cod3 don13 2026 03 07	8	$1.1K	621	621	+0	Donte Johnson	+$165	03-08 01:35
nba uta tor 2026 02 01	5	$1.0K	656	656	+0	Raptors	+$112	02-02 01:13
cfb mia ohiost 2025 12 31	2	$1.0K	524	524	+0	Miami	+$6	01-01 03:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 19:15 UTC	1	$1.0K	1,057	0	+1,057	Down	+$42	02-15 19:19
will travis scott perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	5	$994	1,085	0	+1,085	No	+$91	02-09 02:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 04:00 UTC	5	$900	922	0	+922	Down	+$22	02-14 04:04
bitcoin up or down march 7 4pm et	8	$825	426	425	+0	Up	+$25	03-07 22:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 15:50 UTC	4	$805	822	0	+822	Up	-$805	03-08 15:54
Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?	2	$760	1,187	0	+1,187	No	-$760	08-08 21:44
cbb wake vtech 2026 03 10	5	$750	391	390	+0	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	+$30	03-11 01:41
cbb tcu kan 2026 01 06	12	$743	408	408	+0	Kansas Jayhawks	+$72	01-07 04:52
ufc cod1 xia 2026 03 07	9	$681	479	479	+0	Cody Garbrandt	+$57	03-08 02:07
cbb mst ind 2026 03 01	3	$655	453	451	+2	Michigan State Spartans	+$122	03-01 21:36
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	3	$650	325	325	+0	No	$0	02-06 04:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 03:50 UTC	2	$627	658	0	+658	Up	-$49	02-14 03:54
bitcoin up or down january 6 10pm et	11	$621	323	323	+0	Down	+$18	01-07 03:55
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 65 89	2	$615	318	318	+0	No	+$5	02-28 15:46
cbb cita woff 2026 02 28	7	$611	704	283	+421	The Citadel Bulldogs	-$338	02-28 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 03:45 UTC	4	$605	664	0	+664	Down	+$59	02-14 03:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 04:25:54	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	397	26¢	$102	0x5ca6f4…
10-30 04:22:43	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	315	25¢	$80	0x6ab319…
10-30 04:21:42	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	251	79¢	$199	0x1f7c09…
10-29 08:51:01	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	280	33¢	$92	0x0bd550…
10-29 08:49:14	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	251	20¢	$50	0x7ccdc4…
08-27 15:05:49	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	FUT Esports	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0xa7944f…
08-27 15:03:43	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	FUT Esports	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x4dca90…
08-27 14:27:01	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	FUT Esports	BUY	31	57¢	$18	0xa3d488…
08-26 14:55:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	73	45¢	$33	0xfe7aa4…
08-26 14:55:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xc975e8…
08-26 14:45:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x65aec3…
08-26 14:39:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:35 UTC	Up	SELL	23	2¢	$0	0xb3e479…
08-26 14:34:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xfe8630…
08-26 14:34:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0xf16302…
08-26 14:30:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x233359…
08-25 16:21:49	wta samson zidanse 2026 08 25	Laura Samson	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xc39353…
08-25 16:21:39	wta samson zidanse 2026 08 25	Laura Samson	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x66b077…
08-25 15:55:15	wta samson zidanse 2026 08 25	Laura Samson	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xa05180…
08-25 15:51:27	wta samson zidanse 2026 08 25	Laura Samson	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xeee7f3…
08-25 15:45:58	wta samson zidanse 2026 08 25	Laura Samson	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xd022f6…
08-25 15:44:46	wta samson zidanse 2026 08 25	Laura Samson	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7c26e7…
08-25 15:19:48	wta samson zidanse 2026 08 25	Laura Samson	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x503a8a…
08-25 15:04:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x42994b…
08-25 15:02:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x471023…
08-25 14:57:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:55 UTC	Up	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x6a29fc…
08-25 14:53:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x8acca4…
08-08 21:44:33	Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	1,028	64¢	$660	0x425f90…
08-08 21:44:25	Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x7c9a22…
06-24 03:12:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	95	76¢	$72	0xadf0aa…
06-24 03:09:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb9c9eb…
06-24 03:09:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xa8d3ed…
06-24 03:09:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xeed76f…
06-24 03:08:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0edbc3…
06-24 03:07:07	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,881	3¢	$98	0x850451…
06-24 03:05:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xecd4d8…
06-24 03:04:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xcf0d4a…
06-24 03:04:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x09ed6b…
06-23 04:29:46	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	833	4¢	$30	0xf2385e…
06-22 09:29:32	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	512	4¢	$18	0x660ea1…
06-20 07:29:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x69070f…
06-20 07:28:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	17	81¢	$14	0xf36028…
06-20 07:28:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0x8fe3a6…
06-20 07:25:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 07:20 UTC	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x63198e…
06-20 07:20:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x7e7a24…
06-20 07:20:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x71f2ce…
06-20 07:20:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc68d86…
06-20 07:18:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0x6b288d…
06-20 07:17:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x1df54d…
06-20 07:13:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x81d3d7…
06-20 07:13:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc4a160…
06-20 07:05:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa3864f…
06-20 07:05:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x468174…
06-20 06:29:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x355128…
06-20 05:41:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 05:35 UTC	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xaa29c0…
06-20 05:38:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xa6b443…
06-19 10:25:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x952bfb…
06-19 09:07:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x1db4d5…
06-19 07:59:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xc68865…
06-19 07:58:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x46df9e…
06-19 07:51:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xe6e5fd…
06-19 07:49:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x3a14be…
06-19 07:48:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x84c1fc…
06-15 10:32:24	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,286	2¢	$48	0x95398e…
06-15 10:29:45	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	190	2¢	$4	0xfe2f58…
06-15 00:50:52	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Steve Garcia	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x61c041…
06-09 22:36:18	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xb03a45…
06-01 21:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x905287…
06-01 21:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xdee279…
06-01 21:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x5b249b…
05-30 14:05:49	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x657777…
05-25 19:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x1c17ff…
05-25 19:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xeb0007…
05-25 19:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x4bc45a…
05-25 19:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x114fa0…
05-25 19:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x0b751c…
05-25 19:02:43	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xe5b5ec…
05-25 19:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0xed4bb1…
05-25 18:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xaeab40…
05-25 18:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x2ed35c…
05-25 18:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8c19c9…
05-25 18:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcb7730…
05-25 18:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x1d80e3…
05-25 18:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa6f582…
05-25 18:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x8c4727…
05-25 18:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xe66522…
05-25 18:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x535a71…
05-25 18:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xa63222…
05-25 18:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x540db7…
05-25 18:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x6e028c…
05-25 17:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd39e37…
05-25 17:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa20c27…
05-25 17:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x11d2a1…
05-25 17:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x30a290…
05-25 17:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf01651…
05-25 17:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x48ad8a…
05-25 17:26:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x143f75…
05-25 17:24:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x46da13…
05-25 17:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x5c576c…
05-25 17:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x1d5b33…
05-25 17:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x20167c…