Precious-Reveal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$48

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

165

Trades

228

lifetime

Volume

$6.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-29 17:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Politics

44% 84% +$10

Other

34% 100% +$23

Crypto

19% 100% +$12

Sports

3% 100% +$3

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+1	$1	57¢	$1	$0	10-27 17:45
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		+1	$0	98¢	$1	+$1	10-17 04:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	5	$854	443	443	+0	open	—	10-29 06:51
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	4	$390	212	212	+0	No	+$5	10-19 22:52
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	2	$236	120	120	+0	Yes	+$2	10-13 16:07
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	14	$225	115	114	+1	open	—	10-17 04:26
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$225	229	0	+229	Yes	+$4	10-29 17:37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	3	$215	150	77	+73	No	+$4	08-27 14:45
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	1	$195	197	0	+197	No	+$1	09-05 12:15
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$194	197	0	+197	Yes	+$3	09-10 12:15
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$179	182	0	+182	No	+$3	06-26 03:06
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	9	$172	87	87	+0	No	+$2	09-01 11:18
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$167	168	0	+168	Yes	+$1	08-05 09:45
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	1	$167	167	0	+167	No	+$1	08-06 17:05
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$163	163	0	+163	No	+$0	08-22 04:03
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	1	$158	161	0	+161	No	+$3	08-09 13:15
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$158	159	0	+159	No	+$1	08-17 00:27
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$156	158	0	+158	No	+$2	08-15 08:19
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$155	156	0	+156	Yes	+$1	09-17 23:09
Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$155	159	0	+159	Yes	+$4	08-20 13:28
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$154	155	0	+155	No	+$1	08-11 02:47
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$151	156	0	+156	No	+$5	08-12 21:30
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	1	$134	135	0	+135	No	+$0	05-30 21:42
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$125	126	0	+126	Yes	+$0	05-25 20:46
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	1	$121	125	0	+125	Yes	+$4	05-20 13:12
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	2	$117	60	60	+0	Yes	+$0	10-04 16:41
Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-05 19:05
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$91	92	0	+92	Yes	+$0	10-04 23:50
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$75	77	0	+77	Yes	+$2	07-30 02:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$62	32	32	+0	No	+$2	10-02 18:02
will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	1	$55	56	0	+56	No	+$0	06-29 13:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$48	50	0	+50	No	+$1	05-15 07:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:37:05	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	229	98¢	$225	0xc4c47e…
10-29 16:55:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in October?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x76f009…
10-29 06:51:22	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	226	100¢	$225	0xf9fcae…
10-28 16:03:47	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	148	99¢	$146	0xad0a6c…
10-28 15:54:13	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x0ba746…
10-28 03:10:36	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	217	96¢	$208	0x8c02b7…
10-27 19:13:42	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfa0248…
10-27 17:45:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3c3336…
10-25 23:43:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	22	97¢	$22	0x69b276…
10-24 23:43:41	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	217	91¢	$197	0x60b449…
10-19 22:52:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	212	93¢	$197	0xd7ac80…
10-18 09:55:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	201	91¢	$183	0x96e86d…
10-18 08:39:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0x6929f4…
10-18 07:05:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x48f505…
10-17 04:26:03	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x57434b…
10-15 11:06:46	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0x917a9e…
10-15 05:39:34	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9644c6…
10-15 05:03:53	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6802ab…
10-15 04:09:01	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xa582ea…
10-15 02:12:55	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xfa5b11…
10-15 02:10:35	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xdc346c…
10-14 23:59:07	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xbcfedd…
10-13 21:17:03	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x75ea3b…
10-13 16:07:37	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	100¢	$119	0x31a608…
10-13 05:57:18	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	98¢	$117	0x4de6fb…
10-12 05:30:18	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x776add…
10-10 09:39:49	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xac7569…
10-10 00:00:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in October?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0xbb4478…
10-08 23:04:17	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2ad4e4…
10-08 22:55:54	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x002248…
10-08 22:38:32	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x650ced…
10-08 22:31:27	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xea619d…
10-08 18:43:51	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcbbe3e…
10-08 17:14:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x3c99e4…
10-08 12:52:57	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb1448e…
10-04 23:50:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$91	0x520edc…
10-04 16:41:01	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x572440…
10-02 18:02:44	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xf53597…
10-02 03:32:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x0b267c…
10-01 02:24:26	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3428f7…
09-30 17:25:21	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf4c823…
09-30 12:58:14	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9dd08e…
09-30 03:46:36	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcb136c…
09-29 04:44:59	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x38e6ab…
09-28 14:57:47	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x46b80d…
09-26 20:27:38	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4b4ace…
09-25 10:46:14	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x80a600…
09-24 19:06:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x718e6d…
09-24 07:27:26	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	115	98¢	$112	0x9063f4…
09-22 12:08:16	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8fcd84…
09-17 23:09:37	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	156	100¢	$155	0x6ef377…
09-17 14:00:30	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0x705794…
09-16 16:17:20	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xce8709…
09-10 12:15:30	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	197	99¢	$194	0x38e7d0…
09-05 12:15:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	197	99¢	$195	0x328367…
09-01 11:18:49	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfd4bed…
09-01 06:51:34	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xee0a2b…
09-01 03:20:25	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe12f14…
08-31 21:59:55	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3f26e6…
08-31 21:11:52	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x74a17c…
08-31 20:48:12	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x1230fc…
08-28 14:11:45	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x08c66f…
08-27 14:45:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	73	94¢	$68	0x4464a9…
08-25 11:59:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	77	95¢	$73	0xc2107f…
08-25 06:32:01	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$60	0xe294fa…
08-25 06:03:07	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x116a4c…
08-25 04:02:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in August?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbc692d…
08-24 22:38:06	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in August?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4f5ec6…
08-24 09:56:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	77	95¢	$73	0x60a228…
08-23 10:34:45	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0x906c08…
08-22 04:03:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0xedd541…
08-20 13:28:15	Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	159	98¢	$155	0x49edac…
08-17 00:27:19	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	159	99¢	$158	0x333d6d…
08-15 08:19:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	158	99¢	$156	0x0b309a…
08-12 21:30:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	156	97¢	$151	0x34e51e…
08-12 18:24:21	will nvda dip to 160 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9c3eae…
08-11 18:15:06	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7489a2…
08-11 02:47:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	155	99¢	$154	0x7a63de…
08-10 21:15:15	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf604e7…
08-09 13:15:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	161	98¢	$158	0x781910…
08-09 06:50:52	will ethereum dip to 1100 in august 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x7271f1…
08-06 23:56:44	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc8f12c…
08-06 17:05:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0xc34fed…
08-05 11:30:33	will ethereum dip to 900 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4feb85…
08-05 09:45:06	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0x0fa5f9…
08-05 06:18:18	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0a27d1…
07-30 16:56:59	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2e325e…
07-30 02:49:57	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0x16b522…
07-27 16:24:49	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xf78e82…
07-27 00:22:25	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x79ca8a…
07-26 11:10:28	will spy reach 770 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd7d957…
07-26 01:48:07	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x44f7be…
07-25 19:42:07	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x58449f…
07-25 19:12:28	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x142d64…
07-23 23:27:21	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7b72d5…
07-23 06:20:10	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xda1705…
07-21 09:33:15	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xea5de5…
07-19 17:16:28	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x05a9d8…
07-17 06:40:27	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3ecd10…
07-17 04:43:51	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe54503…