Winged-Hay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

73.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$52

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-14 02:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 55% $-1

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+1	$1	78¢	$1	$-0	05-11 21:07
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+1	$1	78¢	$1	$-0	05-11 21:07
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	+2	$1	38¢	$1	$-0	05-11 21:08
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	+5	$1	11¢	$0	$-0	05-11 21:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$23	15	15	+0	Up	+$3	05-14 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	$-5	05-14 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-13 06:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$3	7	0	+7	Down	+$4	05-14 02:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$2	15	0	+15	Up	$-2	05-11 23:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-12 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	$-2	05-11 23:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$2	0	2	-2	Down	$-0	05-11 21:19
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-11 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-06 15:53
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-11 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-14 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-11 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	$-1	05-07 15:41
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-11 21:07
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-11 21:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 02:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xe95681…
05-14 02:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x2eb491…
05-14 02:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe8139c…
05-14 02:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0x4a139e…
05-14 02:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x59b866…
05-13 06:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x2f3de2…
05-12 02:29:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xe05ccc…
05-11 23:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xcc37a2…
05-11 23:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x15b8b3…
05-11 21:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x23eae6…
05-11 21:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb8eba3…
05-11 21:09:01	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9c30d7…
05-11 21:08:55	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe718cc…
05-11 21:08:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x148085…
05-11 21:07:16	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8f7d88…
05-11 21:07:07	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9fadae…
05-07 15:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x87364e…
05-06 15:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x204405…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	14	$9.34K	150	05-14 02:50
Outlandish-Dragon-Curler 0x218f…17bc	11	$916	93	05-14 02:30
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	11	$864	57	05-14 02:30
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	11	$726	71	05-14 02:30
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	10	$1.96K	28	05-14 02:30
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	10	$1.09K	58	05-14 02:30
Unselfish-Condominium 0x1f19…f57a	10	$726	41	05-14 02:30
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	9	$1.04K	18	05-14 02:30