Winged-Hay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.2%

Resolved

Trades

309

lifetime

Volume

$732

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-20 03:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 60% +$11

Other

21% 88% +$1

Sports

14% 67% $-2

Politics

6% 100% +$2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$49	32	32	+0	Up	+$15	05-11 20:21
Ducks vs. Oilers	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	04-29 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	4	$26	19	19	+0	open	—	05-20 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$24	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$23	112	12	+100	Up	+$1	05-11 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$23	15	15	+0	Up	+$3	05-14 02:08
will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	3	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	04-27 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$18	9	9	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$4	05-11 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$16	12	12	+0	Up	+$8	05-13 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$15	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$14	10	9	+0	open	—	04-27 23:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	3	$14	111	11	+100	open	—	05-20 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	5	$14	16	0	+16	Down	+$2	05-14 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$14	28	0	+28	open	—	04-28 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 06:22
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	2	$10	303	303	+0	open	—	04-27 11:28
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	1	$10	38	0	+38	open	—	04-28 02:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	05-20 03:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$9	25	0	+25	Up	$-9	05-14 02:19
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 40.0 on May 1, 2026?	2	$8	78	75	+3	open	—	04-28 00:47
Golden Knights vs. Utah	5	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	04-28 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	7	$7	7	5	+1	open	—	04-28 08:03
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	2	$6	551	0	+551	open	—	04-25 20:09
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	2	$6	33	0	+33	open	—	04-27 15:17
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by April 30?	2	$6	43	0	+43	open	—	04-27 15:19
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	2	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-24 14:13
Will Russia enter Moskovka by April 30?	2	$5	26	26	+0	open	—	04-29 03:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 23:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-01 03:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 03:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb4ebb8…
05-20 03:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x131c2a…
05-20 03:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x810f78…
05-20 03:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x68306d…
05-20 03:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	76¢	$8	0x0f4474…
05-20 03:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x8a8a9b…
05-20 02:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x462296…
05-20 02:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x1238b8…
05-20 01:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9c86c9…
05-20 01:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xcc2c35…
05-20 01:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x350729…
05-14 02:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xe95681…
05-14 02:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x364cfa…
05-14 02:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x731e18…
05-14 02:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf89c89…
05-14 02:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc4d46f…
05-14 02:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x470f22…
05-14 02:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x2eb491…
05-14 02:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xa0ee6c…
05-14 02:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe8139c…
05-14 02:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7ee974…
05-14 02:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7029f5…
05-14 02:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0de117…
05-14 02:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0x4a139e…
05-14 02:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x59b866…
05-13 14:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3b526f…
05-13 14:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8a44c9…
05-13 14:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x6b13fb…
05-13 14:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xced1e9…
05-13 14:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0xe45850…
05-13 14:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5467f6…
05-13 06:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb5610b…
05-13 06:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x63d252…
05-13 06:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x3c3816…
05-13 06:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x2f3de2…
05-13 06:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x16d736…
05-13 06:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x30081a…
05-12 02:36:21	Avalanche vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xaf9e6c…
05-12 02:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8c008c…
05-12 02:29:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xe05ccc…
05-12 02:29:05	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdcf77f…
05-11 23:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xcc37a2…
05-11 23:34:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xa1eb12…
05-11 23:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x15b8b3…
05-11 23:30:18	Rainbow Six Siege: CAG Osaka vs Five Fears (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage	Five Fears	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x17081d…
05-11 21:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa8eafe…
05-11 21:19:55	Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Twisted Minds (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage	G2 Esports	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xe0d6d4…
05-11 21:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x23eae6…
05-11 21:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x41b35f…
05-11 21:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x28c7e9…
05-11 21:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb8eba3…
05-11 21:13:32	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x508ed5…
05-11 21:12:36	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd12354…
05-11 21:12:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x874f37…
05-11 21:11:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd4dea2…
05-11 21:10:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1d45fa…
05-11 21:09:01	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9c30d7…
05-11 21:08:55	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe718cc…
05-11 21:08:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x148085…
05-11 21:05:25	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x07883c…
05-11 20:55:27	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4ec8b1…
05-11 20:53:44	Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Twisted Minds (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x516060…
05-11 20:53:02	Rainbow Six Siege: CAG Osaka vs Five Fears (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage	Five Fears	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xdc7d59…
05-11 20:27:32	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x96fab2…
05-11 20:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x717ef9…
05-11 20:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	32	54¢	$17	0xf92d81…
05-11 20:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5c970f…
05-11 20:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x19f705…
05-11 20:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xb15770…
05-11 20:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x498778…
05-11 19:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x972c15…
05-11 19:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xe7ada5…
05-11 19:22:56	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbcc565…
05-11 19:22:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdd15b3…
05-10 18:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2d12aa…
05-10 18:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x605f35…
05-07 15:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2d16e6…
05-07 15:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x87364e…
05-06 16:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x294463…
05-06 15:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x204405…
05-05 22:26:30	Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcae552…
05-05 22:23:04	Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd9d84f…
05-05 22:22:54	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2c1aff…
05-05 22:22:34	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe9c1fb…
05-05 22:22:30	Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x01d693…
05-05 22:21:42	Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe4ea03…
05-05 14:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xf5c08c…
05-05 14:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xc64af3…
05-05 04:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xacffc0…
05-05 04:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x6909ab…
05-04 16:47:08	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xcef7b4…
05-04 16:47:00	Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	78¢	$3	0xf8f28c…
05-01 20:35:12	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa5d121…
05-01 20:35:12	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x10527b…
05-01 20:34:18	Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	FaZe	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4fafbd…
05-01 14:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x27a0d5…
05-01 14:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2a3be3…
05-01 03:40:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4768ac…
05-01 03:40:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x3be39c…
05-01 03:36:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	56	1¢	$1	0xf65587…