Nautical-Trout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.72K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

1,435

Trades

3,633

lifetime

Volume

$178.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 10-27 21:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Other

63% 24% -$2,113

Crypto

29% 44% -$1,996

Sports

7% 33% -$774

Politics

1% 0% -$786

Tech

0% 0% -$32

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 307 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:45 UTC	5	$1.8K	1,485	1,285	+200	Up	+$488	07-30 04:47
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 total 2pt5	2	$1.7K	959	951	+8	Over	+$258	04-07 20:36
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-08-23?	4	$1.6K	1,135	1,135	+0	Yes	+$587	08-24 00:56
atp clarke soto 2026 04 06	5	$1.5K	1,177	1,153	+23	Matias Soto	+$766	04-06 23:53
nba chi mem 2026 03 28	3	$1.5K	1,135	1,135	+0	Grizzlies	+$573	03-29 02:40
ucl lep agf 2026 07 29 total 2pt5	2	$1.4K	876	876	+0	Over	+$375	07-29 18:42
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-22?	2	$1.4K	724	724	+0	Yes	+$71	08-22 17:55
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-10-15?	2	$1.3K	882	882	+0	Yes	+$431	10-15 20:55
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-17?	2	$1.3K	907	907	+0	Yes	+$497	05-17 18:57
wnba tor gsv 2026 08 04	2	$1.3K	760	760	+0	Golden State Valkyries	+$167	08-05 03:44
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-07-29?	3	$1.3K	900	900	+0	Yes	+$519	07-29 17:54
wta timofee rakhimo 2026 08 23	3	$1.2K	1,008	961	+47	Maria Timofeeva	+$554	08-24 00:10
atp piros oconnel 2026 08 27	4	$1.2K	945	945	+0	Zsombor Piros	+$671	08-28 17:23
atp aguilar draxl 2026 08 03	2	$1.2K	735	735	+0	Daniel Merida Aguilar	+$280	08-04 20:03
atp tabilo shelton 2026 07 31	3	$1.1K	906	906	+0	Alejandro Tabilo	+$687	08-01 03:40
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?	2	$1.1K	1,961	0	+1,961	No	-$1,085	05-17 19:25
epl mac bou 2026 08 23 total 2pt5	2	$1.0K	634	634	+0	Over	+$259	08-23 14:57
BC Dubai vs. KK Crvena Zvezda	2	$971	575	575	+0	KK Crvena Zvezda	+$171	10-08 17:49
nba den lal 2026 03 14	6	$970	768	768	+0	Lakers	+$550	03-15 03:28
bun moe pau 2026 03 13 moe	2	$934	476	476	+0	Yes	+$12	03-13 21:17
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	88	$921	802,926	114,088	+688,838	No	-$693	04-25 10:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 05:00 UTC	3	$919	1,916	0	+1,916	Down	-$919	07-30 05:01
wta tararud timofee 2026 08 22	7	$874	762	530	+232	Maria Timofeeva	+$185	08-23 00:45
atp silva tabur 2026 04 06	3	$866	681	667	+14	Daniel Dutra da Silva	+$480	04-07 23:26
col vik bor 2026 08 20 total 3pt5	2	$859	605	605	+0	Over	+$339	08-20 20:00
atp bennan halys 2026 03 30	4	$855	590	585	+4	Karim Bennani	+$319	03-30 17:48
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01 set handicap home 2pt5	2	$845	512	512	+0	Djokovic	+$179	02-01 09:46
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	2	$844	545	545	+0	Over	+$245	08-23 21:18
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	4	$833	636	636	+0	Yes	+$161	09-11 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:55 UTC	3	$824	1,606	0	+1,606	Down	-$824	07-30 04:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:59:08	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	29	91¢	$27	0x3471a0…
10-27 21:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xca62fc…
10-27 21:57:09	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x451841…
10-27 21:55:51	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x7b2f4c…
10-27 21:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xedad11…
10-27 21:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xd5a06a…
10-27 21:54:30	Will Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	91	85¢	$77	0xf4bc11…
10-27 21:53:00	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xa3ae85…
10-27 21:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	28	94¢	$27	0x7e4d14…
10-27 21:50:47	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x282561…
10-27 21:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xc379b3…
10-27 21:49:26	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	68	6¢	$4	0x77b6d6…
10-27 21:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xb965e8…
10-27 21:48:54	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x8b22b9…
10-27 21:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x751a93…
10-27 21:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x42a986…
10-27 21:44:27	Will Barnet FC win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	SELL	138	100¢	$138	0x4fe6f9…
10-27 21:09:00	Will Barnet FC win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	138	47¢	$65	0x1c1386…
10-27 21:03:02	Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)	Torino FC	BUY	26	13¢	$3	0x75fae3…
10-27 21:02:45	Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	87	45¢	$39	0x5ddff2…
10-27 20:33:03	Spread: Fleetwood Town FC (-1.5)	Fleetwood Town FC	BUY	94	4¢	$4	0xc31457…
10-27 20:32:44	Will Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xd485c4…
10-27 20:32:06	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	132	13¢	$17	0x1398c7…
10-27 16:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x77ba37…
10-27 16:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x5f423d…
10-27 16:15:32	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x6bfa3f…
10-27 16:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x2aa0de…
10-27 16:14:15	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x414976…
10-27 16:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4a3a66…
10-27 16:13:39	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x38a6fd…
10-27 16:13:29	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0x85d8b2…
10-27 16:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe4e47e…
10-27 16:10:35	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa82c48…
10-27 16:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x1e7b31…
10-27 16:09:35	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x0dd3d0…
10-27 16:09:18	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0xfc9ff9…
10-27 16:07:26	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x60d0d5…
10-27 16:07:08	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x92d7d8…
10-27 16:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xb80077…
10-27 16:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xcbc64c…
10-27 16:01:54	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xa13aa4…
10-27 16:00:39	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x119979…
10-27 15:59:53	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x91412d…
10-27 15:43:14	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x024371…
10-27 15:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x0ab064…
10-27 15:42:03	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfce4bf…
10-27 15:41:33	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x48caac…
10-27 15:40:38	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcd9931…
10-27 15:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8f16ae…
10-27 15:37:38	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xe80652…
10-27 15:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xbd8e90…
10-27 15:35:27	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe2723e…
10-27 15:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbf7327…
10-27 15:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0dba58…
10-27 15:32:20	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2cf82f…
10-27 15:31:27	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x49ccce…
10-27 15:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x012c2e…
10-27 15:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd3712b…
10-27 15:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc6652c…
10-22 01:36:41	Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x8d6c60…
10-18 06:48:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 06:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xc912b8…
10-18 06:46:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5b9007…
10-16 22:31:06	Will CD Los Chankas win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	SELL	184	99¢	$182	0xb4a913…
10-16 22:16:23	CD Los Chankas vs. AD Tarma: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	372	99¢	$368	0x604ec1…
10-16 21:12:27	Will CD Los Chankas win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	184	27¢	$50	0xc207a1…
10-16 21:12:11	CD Los Chankas vs. AD Tarma: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	372	54¢	$200	0xc469fe…
10-16 21:02:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa129ee…
10-16 21:02:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x578907…
10-16 21:01:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xcd3e53…
10-16 21:00:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x921e93…
10-16 21:00:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x14f3eb…
10-16 20:59:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:55 UTC	Down	SELL	31	95¢	$29	0xe383f0…
10-16 20:58:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x1a7565…
10-16 20:58:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:55 UTC	Down	SELL	104	94¢	$98	0xb27433…
10-16 20:57:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x508863…
10-16 20:56:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x79c137…
10-16 20:52:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:50 UTC	Up	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0x94d168…
10-16 20:51:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0xd8f61d…
10-16 20:48:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0xb3ef45…
10-16 20:48:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0xa3db6c…
10-16 20:44:05	Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0xfe7489…
10-16 20:39:08	Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0x9d7edc…
10-16 20:35:59	Will Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x52f256…
10-16 20:35:45	Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xd498c8…
10-16 20:34:11	Will Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0xba6593…
10-16 20:33:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	84	98¢	$83	0x4a0f37…
10-16 20:32:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	46	84¢	$38	0x3303d0…
10-16 20:30:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0xb684b9…
10-16 20:29:05	Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	257	39¢	$100	0xfb44f6…
10-16 20:27:09	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	SELL	489	100¢	$488	0x101e8f…
10-16 19:54:51	Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)	Eintracht Frankfurt	BUY	62	14¢	$9	0x594bdf…
10-16 19:54:30	Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)	Eintracht Frankfurt	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x7ff01a…
10-16 19:53:17	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xc5a0bb…
10-16 19:32:35	Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)	Eintracht Frankfurt	BUY	86	19¢	$16	0x95068d…
10-16 19:32:23	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	267	45¢	$120	0xe108b5…
10-16 18:57:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	78	12¢	$9	0x4cfcec…
10-16 18:55:05	atp dodig boyer 2026 10 16	Tristan Boyer	BUY	491	41¢	$200	0x92469a…
10-15 21:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x418642…
10-15 21:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	209	97¢	$202	0xce747e…
10-15 21:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x7ac35e…