Nervous-Appearance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-21 09:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

63% 87% -$1

Crypto

27% 100% +$0

Politics

5% 100% +$0

Tech

5% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: Other	No		+13	$13	100¢	$13	+$0	10-21 09:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 1800 on march 5	1	$86	86	+86	Yes	+$0	03-05 05:44
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 360 379	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	03-02 02:24
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 500 519	1	$85	86	+86	No	+$0	02-13 03:11
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 240plus	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	04-16 09:22
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 8	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	04-08 08:01
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 240plus	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	04-01 06:23
ethereum above 2500 on march 28	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	03-27 06:10
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 215 239	1	$84	85	+85	No	+$0	03-19 09:20
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 240plus	1	$84	84	+84	No	+$0	03-12 07:50
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$83	84	+84	No	+$0	04-26 11:18
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	1	$83	83	+83	No	+$0	04-22 03:03
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	1	$82	83	+83	No	+$0	06-08 03:34
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	05-30 08:23
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	05-26 06:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	1	$82	82	+82	Yes	+$0	05-21 09:57
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	05-14 09:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 12?	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	05-12 02:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	05-09 07:08
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	05-01 05:40
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 16	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	01-15 08:23
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 740plus	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	01-04 07:41
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 440 459	1	$15	17	+17	No	+$2	01-26 02:51
2026 Balance of Power: Other	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	10-21 09:34
Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in August?	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	09-01 11:22
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	1	$12	13	+13	No	+$0	08-22 08:19
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$12	13	+13	No	+$0	07-12 03:55
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	1	$1	740	+740	No	-$1	05-01 05:35
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	1	$1	740	+740	No	-$1	04-22 03:00
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 460 479	1	$1	700	+700	No	-$1	03-12 07:45
will zai have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	01-04 07:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 09:34:44	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbb234a…
09-01 11:22:21	Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in August?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5096c5…
08-22 08:19:18	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x570451…
07-12 03:55:22	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x358eba…
06-08 03:34:48	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	BUY	83	100¢	$82	0x3ac959…
05-30 08:23:45	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x1dca42…
05-26 06:48:26	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x105142…
05-21 09:57:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x2b5a03…
05-14 09:30:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x35eec8…
05-12 02:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 12?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x240336…
05-09 07:08:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xfa4f5a…
05-01 05:40:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x9708f3…
05-01 05:35:24	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	740	0¢	$1	0xc43e88…
04-26 11:18:24	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$83	0xb7e380…
04-22 03:03:42	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xb68f15…
04-22 03:00:36	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	Yes	BUY	740	0¢	$1	0xf5be8c…
04-16 09:22:10	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 240plus	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xacd1f3…
04-08 08:01:35	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 8	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x8dd2b7…
04-01 06:23:13	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 240plus	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x47ab51…
03-27 06:10:33	ethereum above 2500 on march 28	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xa180d4…
03-19 09:20:39	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 215 239	No	BUY	85	100¢	$84	0x882428…
03-12 07:50:11	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 240plus	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xb58084…
03-12 07:45:07	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 460 479	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0x646399…
03-05 05:44:59	ethereum above 1800 on march 5	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xf4984b…
03-02 02:24:17	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 360 379	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xc7803c…
02-13 03:11:47	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 500 519	No	BUY	86	100¢	$85	0x984a7d…
01-26 02:51:16	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 440 459	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x22df8d…
01-15 08:23:14	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 16	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xf58183…
01-04 07:41:51	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 740plus	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xf3e8d9…
01-04 07:40:59	will meituan have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc3d939…
01-04 07:40:49	will zai have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7c601d…
01-04 07:40:23	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x241f6b…
01-04 07:40:15	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7b0715…