Sizzling-Columnist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.02K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.2%

Resolved

412

Trades

618

lifetime

Volume

$6.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-28 10:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 24% +$1,014

Other

2% 50% +$47

Politics

1% 0% -$45

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 11:45 UTC	3	$302	350	350	+0	Down	+$242	08-02 11:49
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 9 2026	3	$120	177	0	+177	No	+$57	03-07 15:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 15:20 UTC	4	$61	362	0	+362	Up	-$17	04-22 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	4	$53	344	28	+317	Down	-$7	09-12 11:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 13:15 UTC	4	$50	202	0	+202	Up	+$43	04-23 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	5	$50	812	0	+812	Up	+$33	04-26 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$49	91	91	+0	Down	+$29	09-11 08:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC	3	$47	1,111	111	+1,000	Down	+$7	10-13 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$44	1,093	56	+1,037	Down	-$16	09-12 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	4	$42	179	149	+30	Up	+$12	09-09 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 19:15 UTC	2	$42	146	0	+146	Up	+$105	03-06 19:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 22:30 UTC	4	$40	430	0	+430	Up	+$86	06-24 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$40	1,095	0	+1,095	Down	+$27	08-23 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 16:40 UTC	4	$40	1,217	0	+1,217	Down	-$40	04-22 16:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 22:25 UTC	3	$40	694	0	+694	Up	-$40	07-22 22:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 15:15 UTC	4	$40	456	0	+456	Up	+$172	04-22 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$40	269	0	+269	Up	-$40	04-26 18:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 09:05 UTC	4	$40	675	0	+675	Up	+$23	04-22 09:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 20:25 UTC	3	$40	868	0	+868	Down	-$40	07-29 20:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 23:55 UTC	1	$35	350	0	+350	Down	-$35	03-09 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 07:35 UTC	3	$34	398	0	+398	Down	-$34	04-23 07:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	4	$33	1,405	0	+1,405	Up	-$33	08-23 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$30	118	0	+118	Down	-$30	09-23 08:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 18:50 UTC	3	$30	191	0	+191	Down	+$1	04-22 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$30	147	0	+147	Down	-$30	05-17 07:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 11:50 UTC	3	$30	1,274	0	+1,274	Down	+$81	08-02 11:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 12:30 UTC	3	$30	215	0	+215	Up	+$3	04-22 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 22:20 UTC	3	$30	307	0	+307	Up	+$277	07-22 22:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 12:10 UTC	3	$30	1,119	0	+1,119	Up	-$30	04-22 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	3	$30	162	0	+162	Down	+$70	05-16 09:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 10:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x4fbb93…
10-27 18:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x60c675…
10-27 14:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x3fec90…
10-26 14:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x3c7234…
10-26 14:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xa72689…
10-26 09:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1,325	1¢	$10	0x5cdcd8…
10-25 21:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x39da75…
10-25 21:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	403	2¢	$8	0x1ca2a8…
10-25 21:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x354561…
10-19 17:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	21¢	$5	0x31911f…
10-19 17:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x8e6c0a…
10-15 22:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xfdd237…
10-15 22:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x9df654…
10-15 22:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x963ba1…
10-15 14:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x877264…
10-14 19:38:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x532c67…
10-13 19:23:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	786	1¢	$8	0x9da4df…
10-13 11:34:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x692ea3…
10-13 11:33:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC	Down	SELL	111	24¢	$27	0x7c6138…
10-13 11:33:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x6ab201…
10-11 15:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	555	2¢	$10	0xe788e3…
10-11 15:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xa10792…
10-08 20:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xabad42…
10-08 20:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xf656c1…
10-08 19:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x4d66aa…
10-05 18:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x8de457…
10-05 18:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x27014e…
10-04 20:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xe11cf1…
10-04 20:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x2cb179…
10-01 16:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x372b38…
10-01 16:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xa2aab9…
09-30 19:02:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x1b09e5…
09-30 19:01:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x5fbb54…
09-30 18:58:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x851e97…
09-26 20:27:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	144	7¢	$10	0x55ce59…
09-26 20:24:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	480	2¢	$10	0x303d7c…
09-26 20:23:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x7c2bb4…
09-26 20:17:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xf9d4be…
09-26 20:15:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xcec3ca…
09-24 11:56:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xc9fd33…
09-23 08:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x2a121f…
09-23 08:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x8b4606…
09-23 08:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x1ef2a9…
09-23 08:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x19ce11…
09-22 16:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x18caf2…
09-22 16:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x6c3067…
09-12 11:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x83dd20…
09-12 11:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x531577…
09-12 11:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xd8de7e…
09-12 11:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	56	25¢	$14	0xcae5f2…
09-12 11:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xda4f36…
09-12 11:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x9b276c…
09-12 11:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x65d7f5…
09-12 11:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	28	82¢	$23	0x2ede8c…
09-12 11:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xd1c38a…
09-12 10:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x260dd3…
09-11 08:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xe7053b…
09-11 08:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x239d35…
09-11 08:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	91	43¢	$39	0xa01950…
09-11 08:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x8a6be0…
09-09 20:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x153078…
09-09 20:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	149	8¢	$12	0x3e3f4a…
09-09 20:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xaab170…
09-09 20:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x4866c6…
09-09 20:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xb2054e…
08-24 07:46:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x7b41e4…
08-24 07:45:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x03281b…
08-24 07:43:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x752127…
08-24 07:41:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x3d6d3a…
08-23 20:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xbdd23d…
08-23 20:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xadacaa…
08-23 20:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xf0dd61…
08-23 20:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x21c359…
08-23 20:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xfdba43…
08-23 20:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x3d9fd9…
08-23 20:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x5cce4d…
08-14 23:13:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x0ef97b…
08-14 23:12:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x80d37e…
08-05 20:11:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xe78a85…
08-05 20:08:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x42d0c8…
08-04 20:21:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	90	22¢	$20	0x0e7371…
08-04 20:01:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x05cad5…
08-04 19:47:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x0507f4…
08-03 20:33:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x124ee2…
08-03 20:31:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x21b71f…
08-03 20:29:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	87	12¢	$10	0x459bca…
08-03 20:28:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xda6922…
08-03 19:07:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x630b6f…
08-03 19:04:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xa3cb24…
08-03 18:59:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1,741	1¢	$20	0x5eb362…
08-03 18:54:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x1d667b…
08-02 15:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xcf1094…
08-02 12:00:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x358eb6…
08-02 11:56:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x13988e…
08-02 11:54:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x0d7fa9…
08-02 11:53:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	162	6¢	$10	0xbee5ac…
08-02 11:51:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xbecf86…
08-02 11:49:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	350	78¢	$272	0xd7f930…
08-02 11:47:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	291	7¢	$20	0x345db2…
08-02 11:46:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xbe7077…