Grounded-Courage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.8%

Resolved

Trades

968

lifetime

Volume

$15.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 06-10 16:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

37% 25% $-2

Politics

33% — —

Crypto

26% 67% +$31

Tech

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	4	$1.1K	800	1,000	-200	open	—	06-01 04:27
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	5	$840	799	799	+0	open	—	06-10 13:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$764	750	481	+269	open	—	05-25 01:27
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	3	$588	600	600	+0	open	—	06-09 08:18
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	4	$431	300	300	+0	open	—	05-01 06:15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	4	$392	400	400	+0	open	—	06-03 07:56
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	3	$322	250	250	+0	Down	$-2	05-07 07:55
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	24	$321	316	316	+0	open	—	03-01 10:55
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	4	$289	200	200	+0	open	—	06-09 12:05
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	2	$282	300	300	+0	open	—	05-18 04:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$250	352	0	+352	open	—	05-26 11:47
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	8	$215	155	155	+0	open	—	05-19 12:00
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$200	222	0	+222	open	—	05-24 00:54
val fut1 nrg 2026 06 10	2	$198	251	251	+0	open	—	06-10 16:14
will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 2	9	$193	200	200	+0	open	—	03-23 06:05
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 30?	4	$183	204	204	+0	open	—	04-30 05:40
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	4	$182	230	230	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 07:57
cs2 kol leo2 2026 06 10	5	$179	297	297	+0	open	—	06-10 16:26
will israel or the us target fordow nuclear facility	8	$178	193	193	+0	open	—	03-01 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$171	118	118	+0	open	—	06-02 13:14
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	3	$166	86	86	+0	open	—	03-23 13:15
cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10	2	$165	250	250	+0	open	—	06-10 12:54
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	16	$165	110	110	+0	open	—	04-21 09:51
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 5 2026	11	$164	449	449	+0	open	—	03-04 06:57
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	11	$158	209	209	+0	open	—	03-12 06:18
highest temperature in beijing on march 30 2026 18c	13	$158	156	156	+0	open	—	03-30 05:54
Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by March 31, 2026?	16	$155	110	170	-60	open	—	03-08 14:34
btc updown 15m 1773406800	5	$149	125	123	+2	open	—	03-13 13:15
lol ucam1 hmble 2026 06 10	4	$143	251	251	+0	open	—	06-10 16:52
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	3	$140	110	110	+0	open	—	05-22 06:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 16:52:40	lol ucam1 hmble 2026 06 10	HMBLE	SELL	134	28¢	$37	0x9ac62e…
06-10 16:52:00	lol ucam1 hmble 2026 06 10	HMBLE	SELL	95	28¢	$27	0x1b74a7…
06-10 16:51:57	lol ucam1 hmble 2026 06 10	HMBLE	SELL	22	28¢	$6	0x10cf5a…
06-10 16:45:10	lol ucam1 hmble 2026 06 10	HMBLE	BUY	251	29¢	$73	0x31193f…
06-10 16:26:34	cs2 kol leo2 2026 06 10	Leo Team	SELL	105	30¢	$31	0x254d4d…
06-10 16:26:16	cs2 kol leo2 2026 06 10	Leo Team	SELL	146	30¢	$44	0x6a778a…
06-10 16:25:33	cs2 kol leo2 2026 06 10	Leo Team	BUY	251	30¢	$75	0xe6455c…
06-10 16:21:27	cs2 kol leo2 2026 06 10	Leo Team	SELL	46	30¢	$14	0x5d6383…
06-10 16:21:01	cs2 kol leo2 2026 06 10	Leo Team	BUY	46	31¢	$14	0x2994be…
06-10 16:14:07	val fut1 nrg 2026 06 10	FUT Esports	SELL	251	39¢	$98	0xc56f2e…
06-10 16:13:48	val fut1 nrg 2026 06 10	FUT Esports	BUY	251	40¢	$100	0xf9c720…
06-10 14:01:12	btc updown 5m 1781100000	Down	SELL	12	63¢	$8	0x4a6d10…
06-10 14:00:22	btc updown 5m 1781100000	Down	BUY	12	53¢	$7	0x442ef8…
06-10 13:51:40	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	300	52¢	$156	0x1467e9…
06-10 13:51:27	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	300	53¢	$158	0x8284ce…
06-10 13:51:15	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0x3b55c7…
06-10 13:50:24	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	414	53¢	$220	0x1787bb…
06-10 13:49:57	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0x026932…
06-10 13:13:18	btc updown 15m 1781096400	Down	SELL	88	72¢	$64	0x14748e…
06-10 12:54:36	cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10	HEROIC Academy	SELL	250	33¢	$82	0xd4cb80…
06-10 12:54:03	cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10	HEROIC Academy	BUY	250	33¢	$82	0xb4b0eb…
06-10 12:03:30	btc updown 15m 1781096400	Down	BUY	88	51¢	$45	0x6e002b…
06-09 13:14:18	btc updown 15m 1781010000	Down	SELL	59	99¢	$58	0xe196e5…
06-09 12:05:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0xf09fa4…
06-09 12:05:16	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x2e8fca…
06-09 12:04:57	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0xdafb91…
06-09 12:04:22	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x1b16b0…
06-09 11:50:48	cs2 ruby1 rust 2026 06 09	ex-RUBY	SELL	119	32¢	$38	0xc2e1d0…
06-09 11:50:28	cs2 ruby1 rust 2026 06 09	ex-RUBY	BUY	119	32¢	$38	0x5a6618…
06-09 08:18:18	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	595	47¢	$280	0x0a3032…
06-09 07:17:09	btc updown 15m 1781010000	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xb81c48…
06-09 07:15:48	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xac0437…
06-09 07:11:55	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	600	51¢	$306	0x80086f…
06-08 13:24:22	btc updown 15m 1780924500	Down	SELL	75	57¢	$42	0x1d9c40…
06-08 13:21:16	btc updown 15m 1780924500	Down	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0xb27709…
06-07 15:32:57	cs2 fly pain 2026 06 07	FlyQuest	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xf67cca…
06-07 15:32:18	cs2 fly pain 2026 06 07	FlyQuest	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x4bbb67…
06-07 15:27:40	cs2 fly pain 2026 06 07	FlyQuest	SELL	250	25¢	$62	0xfce967…
06-07 15:26:57	cs2 fly pain 2026 06 07	FlyQuest	BUY	250	26¢	$65	0x9135bb…
06-05 06:33:48	btc updown 15m 1780664400	Down	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0xd93a06…
06-04 13:01:36	btc updown 15m 1780578000	Down	SELL	65	58¢	$38	0xe60522…
06-04 08:40:04	btc updown 15m 1780578000	Down	BUY	65	51¢	$33	0x8e57d8…
06-03 07:56:13	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0xdc27ff…
06-03 07:55:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x2b381e…
06-03 07:28:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	55¢	$110	0xda281a…
06-03 07:27:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x7678db…
06-03 03:32:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x3e0aa9…
06-03 03:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x68c474…
06-02 13:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	118	94¢	$111	0x3015e6…
06-02 05:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	118	51¢	$60	0x9b9f05…
06-01 10:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	89	51¢	$45	0xe7085a…
06-01 08:31:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0x7e79ba…
06-01 08:10:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x60a511…
06-01 07:47:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?	No	SELL	50	43¢	$21	0xd87cfa…
06-01 07:40:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?	No	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x6a257f…
06-01 07:40:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?	No	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x06573a…
06-01 04:27:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x62b4ce…
06-01 04:16:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	800	60¢	$480	0x0b8b28…
06-01 03:16:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	60¢	$240	0x90abb3…
05-31 05:15:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	60¢	$240	0x8bd19c…
05-29 08:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x114c9c…
05-28 11:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xb15a60…
05-27 03:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x9cf703…
05-26 13:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	39	27¢	$11	0x5fc41b…
05-26 12:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xea6927…
05-26 11:47:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	352	71¢	$250	0xcba9dc…
05-25 01:27:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	269	93¢	$250	0x277f52…
05-24 10:41:34	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: RRQ Hoshi vs Dewa United Esports (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	Dewa United Esports	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x2cc587…
05-24 09:23:34	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: RRQ Hoshi vs Dewa United Esports (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	Dewa United Esports	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xe7b53d…
05-24 07:20:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0x4cec71…
05-24 05:42:17	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x9519f3…
05-24 02:38:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	481	55¢	$264	0x8d3bc8…
05-24 02:15:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	481	52¢	$250	0xd014d8…
05-24 02:07:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	SELL	278	15¢	$42	0x83e8fc…
05-24 02:04:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x8a59b7…
05-24 00:54:31	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x2ae27f…
05-23 16:05:05	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	Bigetron by Vitality	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x5df0e0…
05-23 15:16:39	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	Bigetron by Vitality	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xd08e32…
05-23 15:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0x9572f4…
05-23 15:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x313193…
05-22 06:37:38	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	SELL	110	63¢	$69	0xd29f9a…
05-22 06:37:19	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	60	64¢	$38	0xf85e8b…
05-22 06:37:08	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x46985d…
05-22 05:43:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xc10abc…
05-22 05:36:06	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	30	39¢	$12	0x7d2a65…
05-22 05:30:44	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x2a8821…
05-22 05:29:32	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x3128da…
05-22 05:23:14	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0x6cca0a…
05-22 05:21:53	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0x3e65f2…
05-21 11:40:17	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x85cf2f…
05-21 11:39:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xc7fea2…
05-19 12:43:38	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x830871…
05-19 12:00:22	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	80	77¢	$62	0xe82fb8…
05-19 11:58:41	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	80	77¢	$62	0xc55f76…
05-19 11:51:08	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x7a88b9…
05-19 07:50:55	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	60	66¢	$40	0xf6132a…
05-19 07:50:35	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0x5097ac…
05-19 07:37:30	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x35f383…
05-19 07:32:41	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x506b3c…
05-19 07:26:56	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xbd353d…