Focused-Defeat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

Trades

8,504

lifetime

Volume

$235.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-02 20:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 100% +$9

Other

2% 0% $-0

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 393 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	5	$3.2K	2,714	3,971	-1,257	open	—	05-22 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	103	$2.3K	5,077	0	+5,077	open	—	05-22 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	23	$1.1K	822	822	+0	open	—	05-22 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$818	1,707	0	+1,707	open	—	05-22 21:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$651	417	417	+0	open	—	05-03 21:02
FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?	3	$585	714	714	+0	Yes	$-0	05-06 04:42
dota2 pari mouz 2026 04 10	4	$455	250	250	+0	open	—	04-10 17:38
Chirayu Rana sued?	4	$441	425	164	+261	open	—	05-07 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	21	$380	301	301	+0	open	—	05-22 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	9	$348	511	0	+511	open	—	05-22 20:44
eth updown 5m 1773408300	3	$315	167	167	+0	open	—	03-13 13:29
sol updown 5m 1773413700	2	$307	159	159	+0	open	—	03-13 14:59
eth updown 5m 1773332100	2	$306	158	158	+0	open	—	03-12 16:19
eth updown 15m 1773329400	2	$306	158	158	+0	open	—	03-12 15:44
sol updown 5m 1773411000	5	$306	158	158	+0	open	—	03-13 14:13
eth updown 5m 1773707400	11	$306	158	158	+0	open	—	03-17 00:34
eth updown 15m 1773408600	6	$306	158	158	+0	open	—	03-13 13:44
sol updown 15m 1773332100	2	$306	156	156	+0	open	—	03-12 16:30
sol updown 5m 1773322500	8	$305	157	157	+0	open	—	03-12 13:39
btc updown 5m 1773413400	5	$305	156	156	+0	open	—	03-13 14:53
btc updown 5m 1773360900	2	$305	156	156	+0	open	—	03-13 00:19
xrp updown 5m 1773688200	7	$305	156	156	+0	open	—	03-16 19:13
eth updown 5m 1773669600	5	$305	156	156	+0	open	—	03-16 14:03
eth updown 5m 1773754500	2	$304	155	155	+0	open	—	03-17 13:39
eth updown 5m 1773413400	5	$303	155	155	+0	open	—	03-13 14:53
eth updown 5m 1773755100	2	$303	155	155	+0	open	—	03-17 13:50
sol updown 5m 1773671100	5	$303	155	155	+0	open	—	03-16 14:28
eth updown 5m 1773409200	2	$303	155	155	+0	open	—	03-13 13:44
eth updown 5m 1773635100	8	$303	155	155	+0	open	—	03-16 04:29
btc updown 5m 1773418500	2	$303	155	155	+0	open	—	03-13 16:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 20:06:39	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe47172…
06-02 20:03:25	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5b854c…
06-02 19:41:50	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1a7f1d…
06-02 19:33:19	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb9386a…
06-02 19:33:19	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x80cc11…
06-02 19:33:19	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6733f6…
06-02 19:33:19	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3d6781…
06-02 19:32:54	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x2028c4…
06-02 19:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0xfd032c…
06-02 19:26:35	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xec4273…
06-02 19:26:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xad9d91…
06-02 19:26:35	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xaa250d…
06-02 19:26:35	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x157255…
06-02 19:26:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x051bdd…
06-02 19:23:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0xdae7ed…
06-02 19:23:06	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x56b729…
06-02 19:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xd22364…
06-02 19:22:35	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x60baac…
06-02 19:22:30	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x367518…
06-02 19:21:44	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x9f912e…
06-02 19:18:21	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb31779…
06-02 19:18:21	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5d5b9b…
06-02 19:16:38	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x68a8e0…
06-02 19:15:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x02c476…
06-02 19:14:58	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfda9c2…
06-02 19:14:58	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdf4e9f…
06-02 19:14:58	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x6d1bd6…
06-02 19:14:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xf11d0e…
06-02 19:14:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x001eed…
06-02 19:14:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf2bcd0…
06-02 19:14:35	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x6c8c32…
06-02 19:14:34	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x141172…
06-02 19:12:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x825a78…
06-02 19:11:51	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xb79f1a…
06-02 19:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xe48731…
06-02 19:11:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xd2fc48…
06-02 19:11:44	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xe7255e…
06-02 19:11:44	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x122e3a…
06-02 19:11:42	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x196bd6…
06-02 19:11:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x7eb352…
06-02 19:09:40	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf1270b…
06-02 19:09:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x3ffdb0…
06-02 19:09:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xde1ab8…
06-02 19:09:03	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xd58733…
06-02 19:08:38	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x4bbdc3…
06-02 19:07:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x14cd70…
06-02 19:06:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xa73bc0…
06-02 19:06:43	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xa1815a…
06-02 19:06:36	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x8399a9…
06-02 19:04:30	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf61349…
06-02 19:04:30	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc01f06…
06-02 19:02:31	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x3405b5…
06-02 19:01:35	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x99a278…
06-02 19:01:35	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7b367e…
06-02 18:59:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xd9e50a…
06-02 18:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa859c0…
06-02 18:59:17	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x759a10…
06-02 18:59:17	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x0fa08f…
06-02 18:59:13	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x751e10…
06-02 18:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x1a8823…
06-02 18:58:01	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x23ee04…
06-02 18:57:42	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xffeb24…
06-02 18:57:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x0bd1ec…
06-02 18:56:36	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x353fee…
06-02 18:56:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x0226fb…
06-02 18:44:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc95df6…
06-02 18:44:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa06c58…
06-02 18:44:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xb0b693…
06-02 18:44:08	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc2176d…
06-02 18:42:01	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa54354…
06-02 18:40:03	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa180b3…
06-02 18:36:40	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf5577d…
06-02 18:36:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x95f495…
06-02 18:36:35	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xa30eca…
06-02 18:34:26	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x110e93…
06-02 09:27:24	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xbc405e…
06-02 09:26:37	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x421d52…
06-02 09:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xfba997…
06-02 09:18:48	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xb4ff11…
06-02 09:18:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xcdb6d1…
06-02 09:17:00	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xc1efad…
06-02 09:16:35	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x5cd2b7…
06-02 09:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x5fed4a…
06-02 09:07:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x094417…
06-02 09:07:12	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xa59ce4…
06-02 09:06:56	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x43ee5f…
06-02 09:06:52	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x764f24…
06-02 09:06:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x511c03…
06-02 09:01:46	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x8e5827…
06-02 08:58:00	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x32b28d…
06-02 08:57:34	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x655995…
06-02 08:57:27	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x794afe…
06-02 08:56:45	bnb updown 5m 1780390500	Up	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xb2a623…
06-02 08:56:36	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x9fa49d…
06-02 08:56:36	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x41ed72…
06-02 08:51:55	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x50832c…
06-02 08:51:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x9bb211…
06-02 08:51:35	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x71e771…
06-02 08:51:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x4c20c3…
06-02 08:51:35	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x4838cc…