Key-Car — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

37.8%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,294 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.56K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-10

last 11-10 16:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 62% -$50

Other

15% 59% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	—	+2	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-10 18:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 16:00 UTC	10	$45	35	35	+0	Down	+$6	04-22 16:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 12:45 UTC	8	$37	35	34	+1	Up	+$2	04-22 12:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 12:30 UTC	5	$13	16	11	+5	Up	+$3	04-22 12:25
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 4?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-04 09:26
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 12?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-12 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 5?	2	$9	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	10-05 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on October 12?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-12 08:37
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 11?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	10-11 04:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 16:15 UTC	5	$9	25	0	+25	Down	-$9	04-22 16:21
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on October 5?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	10-05 09:40
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 11?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	10-11 17:30
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 3?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	10-03 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 2?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	10-02 23:04
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on October 6?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$2	10-07 07:15
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 2?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	10-02 22:02
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 8?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$1	10-08 22:01
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 4?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$1	10-04 19:59
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 8?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	-$2	10-08 13:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 13:00 UTC	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	04-22 13:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 15:55 UTC	1	$5	100	0	+100	Up	-$5	07-01 15:58
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	-$2	10-14 20:46
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 11:08
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 14:19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?	3	$4	8	8	+0	No	+$0	05-08 23:45
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 6?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	10-05 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 10?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	10-10 01:26
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 07:05 UTC	2	$4	6	0	+6	Down	+$2	06-22 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 16?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	-$4	10-16 00:43
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on October 18?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	-$4	10-17 10:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 15:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 18:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x234e22…
11-10 16:35:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x40f4fb…
11-10 15:41:27	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x1ed9b6…
11-10 15:40:12	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x971ffb…
11-09 22:20:16	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x930ec0…
10-17 10:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on October 18?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x7504fe…
10-16 00:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 16?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2d8ed8…
10-14 20:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xdd1c91…
10-14 01:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x2f6f53…
10-13 18:19:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe6a094…
10-13 17:08:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x21999c…
10-13 16:09:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc1ecc5…
10-12 08:37:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on October 12?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x86957b…
10-12 08:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 12?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xee4dc1…
10-12 01:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 12?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xf6af16…
10-12 00:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on October 12?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xb56621…
10-11 17:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 11?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf060dd…
10-11 04:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 11?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x54afa8…
10-10 23:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 11?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf385cb…
10-10 23:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 11?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x747494…
10-10 01:26:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 10?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe8fc24…
10-08 22:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 8?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xcef9a0…
10-08 13:51:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 8?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x37a636…
10-07 08:16:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 8?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x12e336…
10-07 08:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 8?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x57463d…
10-07 07:15:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on October 6?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa6626a…
10-05 11:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x77973f…
10-05 09:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on October 5?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xc29b46…
10-05 09:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x07df8e…
10-05 05:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 5?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf89a89…
10-04 20:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xb442f7…
10-04 19:59:41	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 4?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x5d8e38…
10-04 10:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa15c1a…
10-04 09:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x664cd4…
10-03 17:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x3f9852…
10-03 17:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 3?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf8cb0a…
10-03 05:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 4?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3c704c…
10-03 01:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 3?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x6720ff…
10-02 23:04:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 2?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xb901d3…
10-02 22:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 2?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xdeeeee…
10-01 21:27:26	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 2?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x76a293…
10-01 21:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 2?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x90883a…
09-13 22:33:12	BNB Up or Down - September 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb3e496…
09-10 19:13:30	BNB Up or Down - September 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc807bb…
09-10 19:03:45	BNB Up or Down - September 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9188b7…
09-09 20:53:31	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xdf70f2…
09-09 20:38:28	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x738736…
09-09 20:33:31	BNB Up or Down - September 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x067165…
09-09 09:41:04	Solana Up or Down - September 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x413db9…
09-08 21:53:03	BNB Up or Down - September 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x14e606…
09-08 20:13:25	BNB Up or Down - September 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3348a0…
09-08 19:08:03	BNB Up or Down - September 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1d6b3e…
09-08 13:53:03	BNB Up or Down - September 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3682c8…
09-08 08:03:22	BNB Up or Down - September 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3f666b…
09-07 23:08:03	BNB Up or Down - September 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xee1d55…
09-07 13:08:27	BNB Up or Down - September 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x062f94…
09-07 03:08:03	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6d4428…
09-07 00:23:21	BNB Up or Down - September 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4b4839…
09-06 22:28:15	BNB Up or Down - September 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xcdef17…
09-06 22:08:19	BNB Up or Down - September 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa1104d…
09-06 21:48:03	BNB Up or Down - September 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x38e558…
09-06 17:18:34	BNB Up or Down - September 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x794180…
09-06 15:03:03	BNB Up or Down - September 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbc20ff…
09-05 20:13:09	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x65a083…
09-05 17:28:07	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x36bae3…
09-05 13:38:03	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1c744e…
09-04 15:08:09	BNB Up or Down - September 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x65855c…
09-04 12:38:04	BNB Up or Down - September 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5aa346…
09-04 12:13:03	BNB Up or Down - September 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa8974c…
09-04 03:28:57	BNB Up or Down - September 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd6bfe7…
09-03 22:13:40	BNB Up or Down - September 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x44bc7f…
09-03 21:03:48	BNB Up or Down - September 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa6e23c…
09-03 01:55:03	XRP Up or Down - September 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8d8de5…
09-02 19:40:04	XRP Up or Down - September 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x49c81f…
09-02 18:48:48	BNB Up or Down - September 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xde6c0a…
09-02 15:38:12	BNB Up or Down - September 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0ba443…
09-02 14:03:58	BNB Up or Down - September 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5669f1…
09-02 11:18:09	BNB Up or Down - September 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6ac996…
09-01 22:40:03	XRP Up or Down - September 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf3b96d…
09-01 20:27:04	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7d81d3…
09-01 14:27:04	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5ffed6…
09-01 09:24:01	BNB Up or Down - September 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb1ccb7…
09-01 02:18:21	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x31e0d5…
09-01 02:13:49	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5ad8bd…
08-30 16:57:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x068367…
08-30 16:25:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2eb411…
08-28 22:25:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa387a7…
08-28 21:42:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8219c7…
08-28 21:12:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x019eea…
08-28 18:27:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb33f98…
08-28 16:55:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9c60de…
08-27 12:40:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2b5339…
08-27 10:31:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x159d7c…
08-27 10:16:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4aced3…
08-27 09:06:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x15ef1c…
08-27 08:56:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x619c3d…
08-27 08:52:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6c49b1…
08-27 07:41:34	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x821b7d…
08-27 01:56:34	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x20df25…
08-27 01:46:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x743c98…