Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$32

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

74.1%

Resolved

Trades

251

lifetime

Volume

$756

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$81

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-26

last 11-01 08:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

59% 91% +$28

Crypto

24% 61% +$4

Tech

9% 100% +$0

Politics

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	+66	$51	76¢	$50	$0	10-27 01:00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+11	$10	94¢	$10	+$0	10-28 23:23
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	No	+10	$10	99¢	$10	+$0	10-26 15:12
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+6	$5	94¢	$6	+$1	11-01 08:32
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	10-27 01:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will USD/BRL hit 5.75 (High) in 2026?	4	$60	88	0	+88	open	—	10-26 15:35
LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	6	$56	73	14	+58	Team Liquid	+$14	10-26 22:31
LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	7	$52	38	38	+0	Team Liquid	-$6	10-26 22:42
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	2	$51	66	0	+66	open	—	10-27 01:00
California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?	2	$35	125	125	+0	open	—	10-28 14:14
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	6	$29	32	0	+32	No	+$3	10-30 09:31
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	3	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-26 15:52
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	4	$24	28	0	+28	No	+$4	10-27 10:00
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	5	$20	22	0	+22	No	+$2	10-30 09:34
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	3	$20	22	0	+22	No	+$2	10-30 09:27
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?	3	$17	18	0	+18	No	+$1	10-28 23:25
LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	6	$16	18	0	+18	T1	+$2	10-28 21:34
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	10-26 22:09
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	2	$12	14	0	+14	No	+$2	10-27 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	10	$12	10	10	+0	Down	$0	10-26 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	4	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$5	10-26 14:56
Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	10-28 08:34
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	10-29 07:50
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	10-28 23:23
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	10-28 14:15
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	10-26 15:12
LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	8	$9	8	6	+2	LOS	$0	10-26 20:38
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	2	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	10-27 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	9	$9	8	8	+0	Up	-$1	10-26 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	7	$9	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	10-26 17:53
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	2	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	10-29 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	8	$9	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	10-26 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	8	$7	9	9	+0	Down	-$1	10-26 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	7	$7	7	7	+0	Down	-$1	10-26 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	5	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	10-26 15:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 08:40:25	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1dcd2c…
11-01 08:35:06	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe19422…
11-01 08:34:54	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x79b4af…
11-01 08:32:40	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc6deac…
11-01 08:28:42	Gemini Carbon released by November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6d0e7e…
11-01 08:28:18	Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe24c26…
10-31 19:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x521bb3…
10-31 19:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa143ff…
10-31 19:49:30	Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x884597…
10-31 19:45:16	Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xf4641c…
10-30 09:34:27	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc94cd2…
10-30 09:32:37	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2dec89…
10-30 09:31:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc63df6…
10-30 09:29:40	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd54d02…
10-30 09:27:13	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x350d3d…
10-30 09:25:55	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x063eb1…
10-30 00:46:31	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd12dce…
10-30 00:46:22	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x7115db…
10-30 00:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa94a69…
10-29 17:37:11	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xeb6764…
10-29 15:30:50	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xcade09…
10-29 10:34:31	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xcc1606…
10-29 10:08:13	SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0ccc81…
10-29 07:53:22	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x999bfc…
10-29 07:53:07	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x219758…
10-29 07:50:19	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x572fea…
10-29 00:26:05	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7948dc…
10-29 00:21:22	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x37249f…
10-29 00:19:26	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xfa27de…
10-28 23:48:49	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x34190e…
10-28 23:25:23	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x3cc229…
10-28 23:24:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xf13538…
10-28 23:23:52	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcc45a0…
10-28 21:48:43	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x928102…
10-28 21:40:28	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x5b263c…
10-28 21:34:49	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	T1	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaf32e5…
10-28 21:30:02	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	T1	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6c7be2…
10-28 21:28:44	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x6e194b…
10-28 21:27:11	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	T1	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5b0a35…
10-28 21:22:20	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	T1	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x00bd5f…
10-28 21:20:23	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	T1	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x2bf9fb…
10-28 21:18:25	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	T1	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa66676…
10-28 21:14:37	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd3a81a…
10-28 14:16:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x136aa0…
10-28 14:16:34	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x955384…
10-28 14:15:59	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6a8407…
10-28 14:14:17	California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?	Yes	SELL	125	12¢	$15	0xa0deef…
10-28 08:44:07	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x7333bb…
10-28 08:36:44	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x090838…
10-28 08:35:31	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x070c93…
10-28 08:35:04	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x5e8737…
10-28 08:34:46	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x929e74…
10-28 08:34:04	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x82b096…
10-27 15:09:08	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x52f0e9…
10-27 14:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcca7ac…
10-27 14:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4cf1af…
10-27 14:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdad9a1…
10-27 14:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe2786b…
10-27 14:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc1a31e…
10-27 13:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x8b100d…
10-27 13:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6d780d…
10-27 13:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xefd378…
10-27 13:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xccfa69…
10-27 13:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x50104a…
10-27 10:00:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xba62c3…
10-27 06:22:27	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xcb035f…
10-27 01:27:15	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x01e097…
10-27 01:00:44	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0x38f303…
10-27 00:57:51	California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x42ef71…
10-27 00:57:41	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x8217f8…
10-27 00:18:14	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x2eb5a5…
10-26 22:42:20	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x307eda…
10-26 22:40:03	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xca31c6…
10-26 22:38:08	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x75b5c8…
10-26 22:36:48	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xf2dba7…
10-26 22:36:09	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x56c2c3…
10-26 22:31:32	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x78b5f0…
10-26 22:30:50	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x4734f7…
10-26 22:30:33	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Anyone's Legend	SELL	24	50¢	$12	0x6a1d79…
10-26 22:29:44	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xa7cb71…
10-26 22:24:50	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xa498e3…
10-26 22:19:38	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb6af58…
10-26 22:19:03	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xcae961…
10-26 22:16:30	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Anyone's Legend	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x366023…
10-26 22:16:03	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x4007c8…
10-26 22:13:11	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x9a8123…
10-26 22:09:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x3a4af9…
10-26 22:03:44	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xfa0caa…
10-26 20:38:30	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd6bfdb…
10-26 20:33:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xec3eb3…
10-26 20:23:57	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner	LOS	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd42a80…
10-26 20:23:47	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x720f5c…
10-26 20:21:33	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x372b64…
10-26 20:08:56	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x3579dd…
10-26 19:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3f1cd4…
10-26 19:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x135d37…
10-26 19:48:21	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf9b1e7…
10-26 19:38:33	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x039a20…
10-26 19:35:17	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x0a75c5…
10-26 19:29:18	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7b8aa1…