Giant-Omnivore — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$72.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$574

Hit rate

47.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$125.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.79K

Open exposure

$7.47K

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 10-29 22:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

97% 27% +$73,890

Crypto

3% 50% -$866

Other

1% 0% -$632

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes		+20,161	$6,008	35¢	$7.1K	+$1,049	10-21 19:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No		+3,937	$888	10¢	$413	-$474	10-29 22:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	3	$16.7K	11,667	11,667	+0	Yes	+$6,655	06-20 22:06
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	5	$10.0K	24,871	13,962	+10,909	No	-$3,636	06-09 17:16
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$10.0K	31,250	0	+31,250	Yes	+$21,250	02-15 06:39
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	2	$10.0K	36,055	0	+36,055	Yes	+$26,055	02-15 04:37
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	4	$8.0K	29,361	29,361	+0	Yes	-$1,996	02-25 12:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$6.4K	6,908	6,908	+0	open	—	10-29 21:37
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	2	$6.3K	5,273	5,273	+0	Yes	+$4,267	06-08 04:04
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	5	$6.0K	20,161	0	+20,161	open	—	10-21 19:23
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	3	$5.5K	25,486	0	+25,486	No	-$5,493	08-20 11:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$5.3K	18,333	18,333	+0	No	-$4,581	05-31 13:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$5.0K	9,287	0	+9,287	Yes	-$5,000	06-14 10:48
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$5.0K	32,478	0	+32,478	Yes	-$4,998	04-16 10:42
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$5.0K	32,075	0	+32,075	Yes	+$27,108	02-19 11:29
will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	2	$3.2K	10,131	10,131	+0	No	-$1,775	06-14 21:18
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$2.5K	16,667	0	+16,667	Yes	+$14,167	02-26 18:36
will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	1	$2.0K	4,922	0	+4,922	No	-$2,000	06-10 21:02
israel closes its airspace by july 31	2	$2.0K	11,328	0	+11,328	No	-$2,000	06-21 16:39
israel closes its airspace by june 8	2	$1.5K	6,877	0	+6,877	No	-$1,500	06-08 12:15
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$1.0K	4,757	4,757	+0	No	-$977	05-31 13:56
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	1	$1000	6,338	0	+6,338	No	+$5,338	05-23 19:40
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$999	5,261	0	+5,261	No	-$999	03-25 18:55
bitcoin above 72k on february 15	2	$999	6,380	0	+6,380	No	-$999	02-15 07:22
will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	1	$945	3,260	0	+3,260	No	-$945	06-10 22:42
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	2	$927	12,489	12,489	+0	No	-$73	02-27 10:36
houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	1	$917	5,562	0	+5,562	No	-$917	03-04 18:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$888	3,937	0	+3,937	open	—	10-29 22:05
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	1	$689	1,520	0	+1,520	No	-$689	03-14 17:01
will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	2	$664	13,755	13,755	+0	No	-$336	02-25 04:18
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	1	$632	13,623	0	+13,623	No	-$632	06-09 18:30
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$510	19,643	0	+19,643	Yes	+$9,133	03-04 07:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 22:05:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	3,937	23¢	$888	0xe13435…
10-29 21:37:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	6,908	42¢	$2,901	0xe7707f…
10-28 05:09:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	6,908	51¢	$3,495	0x580586…
10-21 19:23:42	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6,984	32¢	$2,258	0x000aed…
10-15 19:27:34	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0x28fdec…
10-15 19:20:41	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,600	29¢	$741	0x7e8af9…
10-11 19:43:13	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9,174	28¢	$2,558	0xd66266…
10-11 19:43:13	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,375	32¢	$442	0x5db7dd…
08-20 11:11:01	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	11,000	5¢	$500	0x0dc3d2…
08-01 21:28:21	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	4,765	42¢	$2,000	0x1b9dcf…
07-14 19:38:22	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	9,721	31¢	$2,993	0x28050a…
06-21 16:39:01	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	5,073	20¢	$1,000	0xa0031a…
06-20 22:06:05	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	SELL	11,667	100¢	$11,655	0xc85ca1…
06-16 19:08:32	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	11,137	43¢	$4,813	0x3cfd9b…
06-16 19:06:26	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	6,255	16¢	$1,000	0x759916…
06-16 19:05:14	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	530	35¢	$188	0x8f9ef1…
06-14 21:18:10	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	SELL	10,131	7¢	$725	0xadd0b7…
06-14 19:52:33	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	10,131	25¢	$2,500	0xddc684…
06-14 10:48:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9,287	54¢	$5,000	0xb08b5c…
06-10 22:42:28	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	BUY	3,260	29¢	$945	0x7aec74…
06-10 21:02:40	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	BUY	4,922	41¢	$2,000	0xa95309…
06-10 20:52:12	israel closes its airspace by june 11	Yes	BUY	2,370	21¢	$500	0x302163…
06-09 18:30:55	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	Yes	BUY	13,623	5¢	$632	0xf000c4…
06-09 17:16:30	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	3,979	21¢	$834	0x8482b9…
06-08 17:46:52	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	6,930	14¢	$1,000	0x8ff30c…
06-08 12:15:22	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	3,791	13¢	$500	0xdcaf03…
06-08 11:20:27	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	13,962	23¢	$3,198	0x7768d0…
06-08 05:02:51	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	3,086	32¢	$1,000	0x7294a2…
06-08 04:04:54	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	5,273	100¢	$5,267	0x017b04…
06-07 19:13:55	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	6,545	61¢	$4,000	0xd7ab49…
05-31 13:56:31	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4,757	0¢	$22	0xde3ff8…
05-31 13:55:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	18,333	2¢	$369	0xc460a5…
05-31 11:25:30	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	5,273	19¢	$1,000	0xec1019…
05-31 11:24:23	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	7,417	13¢	$1,000	0x103a6d…
05-23 19:40:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	6,338	16¢	$1,000	0x25802e…
05-09 21:19:36	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4,757	21¢	$999	0xeb9b8f…
05-06 12:30:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	18,333	27¢	$4,950	0x93ad7b…
04-16 10:42:12	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	24,670	15¢	$3,586	0xa1d842…
04-16 10:42:12	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	7,809	18¢	$1,412	0x0afe11…
03-25 18:55:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	5,261	19¢	$999	0xb586c5…
03-14 17:01:15	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,520	45¢	$689	0xa8a7c4…
03-07 18:48:33	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	Yes	BUY	2,038	25¢	$500	0x262e62…
03-05 16:10:51	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	Yes	BUY	6,061	8¢	$500	0x58f06f…
03-04 18:03:25	houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	5,562	16¢	$917	0x9886d9…
03-04 07:47:03	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x8cbdf4…
02-27 10:36:17	will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	Yes	SELL	12,489	3¢	$427	0x41b2ab…
02-26 18:36:22	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	16,667	15¢	$2,500	0x79d543…
02-25 16:26:28	will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	Yes	BUY	11,830	1¢	$168	0x813092…
02-25 12:36:34	will the us next strike iran on march 1 2026 et	Yes	BUY	10,792	5¢	$500	0xe3ddce…
02-25 12:36:14	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	BUY	9,643	5¢	$500	0x0e6f31…
02-25 12:36:00	will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	Yes	BUY	12,489	4¢	$500	0xd857a3…
02-25 12:25:48	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22,546	10¢	$2,255	0x2b9436…
02-25 12:24:52	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,816	11¢	$750	0x21f790…
02-25 04:18:06	will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	Yes	SELL	13,755	1¢	$164	0x141d0b…
02-24 19:44:48	will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	Yes	BUY	13,755	4¢	$500	0x7c43fb…
02-20 08:31:16	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,143	28¢	$2,000	0x265f4c…
02-19 11:29:58	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	16,480	18¢	$2,966	0x11998b…
02-18 07:07:26	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	7,029	14¢	$1,000	0x8be7a2…
02-16 10:58:11	bitcoin up or down february 16 6am et	Down	BUY	988	51¢	$500	0x9e51ff…
02-16 10:46:51	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-16 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	926	54¢	$500	0x1867f2…
02-16 08:09:57	bitcoin up or down february 16 3am et	Up	BUY	788	63¢	$500	0x1bd611…
02-16 06:59:27	bitcoin up or down february 16 2am et	Up	BUY	919	54¢	$500	0xd01614…
02-16 06:08:49	bitcoin up or down february 16 1am et	Down	BUY	1,013	49¢	$500	0xa3194c…
02-15 21:40:15	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22,219	14¢	$3,000	0x158c8e…
02-15 07:22:13	bitcoin above 72k on february 15	Yes	BUY	5,784	16¢	$922	0x249e8a…
02-15 07:21:21	bitcoin above 72k on february 15	Yes	BUY	596	13¢	$77	0xd9f81b…
02-15 06:41:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	8,566	12¢	$1,000	0xfacad7…
02-15 06:39:49	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31,250	32¢	$10,000	0x92c017…
02-15 04:37:03	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	17,246	29¢	$5,000	0xa708ab…
02-14 22:42:29	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	18,809	27¢	$5,000	0xb84d25…