Gracious-Toaster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

5,263

Trades

5,945

lifetime

Volume

$6.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 10-27 16:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 154 days

Categories

Other

75% 57% -$55

Sports

25% 53% +$15

Politics

0% 67% +$1

Crypto

0% 50% -$2

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wta eala paolini 2026 02 17	3	$16	24	0	+24	Eala	-$3	02-17 17:54
tur iba gen 2026 04 11 iba	4	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	04-11 15:05
Rome: Federico Bondioli vs Andrea Guerrieri	2	$7	5	5	+0	Andrea Guerrieri	+$3	04-21 14:57
col zri cry 2026 02 19 draw	2	$7	6	6	+0	Yes	+$5	02-19 19:47
Shymkent: Oleksii Krutykh vs Andrej Nedic	2	$7	5	5	+0	Andrej Nedic	+$3	04-21 14:58
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins	2	$6	4	4	+0	Cincinnati Reds	+$2	04-19 23:26
Shymkent: Tomasz Berkieta vs Jelle Sels	2	$6	4	4	+0	Jelle Sels	+$2	04-20 14:41
wta oliynyk toth 2026 02 26	2	$6	5	5	+0	Amarissa Kiara Toth	+$4	02-26 14:29
nhl ana edm 2026 04 20	3	$6	6	3	+3	Oilers	+$1	04-20 14:31
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs	2	$6	4	4	+0	Chicago Cubs	+$2	04-21 02:50
Shymkent: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Sean Cuenin	2	$6	4	4	+0	Buvaysar Gadamauri	+$2	04-20 14:40
Abidjan: Maxime Chazal vs Millen Hurrion	3	$6	8	4	+4	Maxime Chazal	-$2	04-21 19:15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels	2	$6	4	4	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$2	04-21 04:49
Madrid Open, Qualification: Stefano Travaglia vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	2	$6	4	4	+0	Nikoloz Basilashvili	+$2	04-20 20:14
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals	2	$6	4	4	+0	Baltimore Orioles	+$2	04-21 04:49
Madrid Open, Qualification: Chris Rodesch vs Dusan Lajovic	2	$6	4	4	+0	Dusan Lajovic	+$2	04-21 15:49
nhl min dal 2026 04 20	2	$6	4	4	+0	Stars	+$2	04-21 04:54
Alba Berlin vs. Chemnitz 99	2	$6	5	5	+0	Chemnitz 99	+$4	05-03 15:14
nba atl mia 2026 04 12	2	$5	5	4	+0	Heat	+$2	04-12 21:52
Madrid Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Moise Kouame	2	$5	3	3	+0	Patrick Kypson	+$1	04-20 20:16
Savannah: Alex Rybakov vs Kilian Feldbausch	2	$5	3	3	+0	Kilian Feldbausch	+$1	04-21 22:41
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants	2	$5	3	3	+0	Doosan Bears	+$1	04-21 13:14
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. KT Wiz	2	$5	3	3	+0	KT Wiz	+$1	04-21 13:15
Rome: Andrea Vavassori vs Maxim Mrva	2	$5	3	3	+0	Andrea Vavassori	+$1	04-21 17:53
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees	2	$5	3	3	+0	New York Yankees	+$1	04-19 23:20
Madrid Open, Qualification: Darwin Blanch vs Benjamin Bonzi	2	$5	3	3	+0	Benjamin Bonzi	+$1	04-20 14:50
nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	2	$5	3	3	+0	Suns	+$1	04-18 11:05
Rome: Laslo Djere vs Carlo Alberto Caniato	2	$5	3	3	+0	Laslo Djere	+$1	04-21 15:47
Madrid Open, Qualification: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Francesco Maestrelli	2	$5	3	3	+0	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	+$1	04-20 20:11
ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 liv1	4	$5	4	4	+0	No	+$1	03-10 21:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 16:28:32	Will SanDisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x840f83…
10-27 16:27:51	Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x64b31b…
10-27 16:24:41	Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa7bb99…
10-27 16:16:20	Will The RealReal (REAL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xafbf78…
10-27 16:15:05	Will Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5cddeb…
10-27 16:08:27	Will Hyatt (H) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5f000d…
10-27 15:55:41	Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd2342e…
10-27 15:55:20	Will Merck (MRK) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xafa3e1…
10-27 15:54:24	Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x538cb6…
10-27 15:52:15	Will FTI Consulting (FCN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x45c645…
10-27 15:18:53	Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xaeee95…
10-27 15:16:57	Will O'Reilly (ORLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x929ab6…
10-27 15:15:14	Will MGM Resorts (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x822396…
10-27 15:14:00	Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb79e07…
10-27 15:11:06	Will Hess Midstream (HESM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x99db70…
10-27 15:10:48	Will Chipotle (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd19843…
10-27 15:04:48	Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x73c193…
10-27 15:02:36	Will Teladoc (TDOC) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x16bf76…
10-27 14:56:27	Will Garmin (GRMN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb585bb…
10-27 14:54:45	Will Wingstop (WING) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8737f4…
10-27 14:53:47	Will USA TODAY (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9fef4a…
10-27 14:51:11	Will Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf8e0d2…
10-26 21:56:11	Will CoStar Group (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8ce090…
10-26 21:52:57	Will NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3fa70c…
10-26 21:51:50	Will Caesars (CZR) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x737c9e…
10-26 21:49:11	Will Hilton (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x231ec3…
10-26 21:42:27	Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8a73ce…
10-26 21:40:20	Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd54edc…
10-26 21:39:05	Will PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x82c8c8…
10-26 21:37:00	Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x29e86f…
10-26 19:43:15	Will Wingstop (WING) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb37f94…
10-26 19:35:23	Will Ford (F) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa3220f…
10-26 19:34:08	Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd729a5…
10-26 19:32:42	Will SoFi (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7643ab…
10-26 19:30:59	Will UPS (UPS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2673ff…
10-26 19:25:50	Will Royal Caribbean (RCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x78e8d4…
10-26 19:23:05	Will Boeing (BA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xbf79d8…
10-26 19:18:38	Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x71178c…
10-26 19:16:59	Will T-Mobile (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x91f27c…
10-26 19:15:00	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x16ab23…
10-26 19:11:26	Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x143696…
10-26 19:07:53	Will Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2e3fa7…
08-29 12:09:58	atp broom loffhag 2026 08 29	Charles Broom	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbd4022…
08-08 03:42:49	crichundredw sou man 2026 08 08	Southern Brave	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2c9911…
08-07 02:59:15	crichundred bir sun 2026 08 07	Sunrisers Leeds	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1fb918…
08-07 02:54:34	crichundredw bir sun 2026 08 07	Sunrisers Leeds	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xbc6282…
08-07 02:34:49	cpbl tsg chi 2026 08 07	TSG Hawks	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfdf82a…
08-07 02:34:15	cpbl fub uni 2026 08 07	Uni-President Lions	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf9e6e2…
08-07 02:32:36	cpbl rak wei 2026 08 07	Rakuten Monkeys	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7a9886…
08-06 10:48:53	crichundred lon mi 2026 08 06	MI London	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd27b55…
08-06 10:45:53	crichundredw lon mi 2026 08 06	London Spirit	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x606312…
08-05 02:16:38	Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-08-08?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xc81a68…
08-05 02:12:30	Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-08-07?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x58e6b3…
08-05 02:11:36	Will AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-08-07?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x0ad5b7…
08-05 02:11:02	Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-08-08?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xbd4009…
08-05 02:10:18	crichundredw tre bir 2026 08 05	Trent Rockets	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3b479c…
08-05 02:09:57	crichundred tre bir 2026 08 05	Trent Rockets	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb92f11…
08-05 02:09:36	crichundred man wel 2026 08 05	Welsh Fire	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1c0e1d…
08-05 01:52:57	npb ori toh 2026 08 03	Orix Buffaloes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x575735…
08-05 01:51:39	cpbl chi fub 2026 08 05	Chinatrust Brothers	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5d414b…
08-05 01:51:23	cpbl tsg rak 2026 08 05	Rakuten Monkeys	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb50778…
08-03 13:28:39	crichundredw wel sou 2026 08 03	Southern Brave	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x209003…
08-03 05:17:53	npb ori toh 2026 08 03	Orix Buffaloes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe07465…
08-02 05:53:17	Will FK Tukums 2000/TSS win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb743cd…
08-02 05:48:09	Will Parnu JK Vaprus win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x927f33…
08-02 05:47:00	Will Harju JK Laagri win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xab5092…
08-02 05:45:41	Will FC Kuressaare win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xda5469…
08-02 05:37:41	Will Derry City FC win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x6f2dbc…
08-02 05:34:38	Will Waterford FC win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6905cc…
08-02 05:30:45	Will Tobol Kostanay win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x17faea…
08-02 05:29:41	Will Ulytau FC win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa2c7ab…
08-02 05:20:42	Will Suzhou Dongwu win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xaf2393…
08-02 05:18:21	Will Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x020f8a…
08-02 05:16:15	Will Vaasan Palloseura win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x57677b…
08-02 05:07:41	Will Jeonnam Dragons win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7a1a24…
08-02 05:03:14	Will Seoul E-Land FC win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x64c56b…
08-02 04:54:53	Will Portland Thorns FC win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x57ca5e…
08-02 04:54:06	Will San Diego Wave FC win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1c25c6…
08-02 04:46:20	Will CD Cuenca win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x782ca7…
08-02 04:43:47	Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xae2773…
08-02 04:42:50	Will Degerfors IF win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9e12e2…
08-02 04:34:42	Will Aasane Fotball win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc9fe2c…
08-02 04:33:15	Will Lyn 1896 FK win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x07022d…
08-02 04:30:23	Will Stroemmen IF win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x516b5f…
08-02 04:28:08	Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4ea978…
08-02 04:27:00	Will CD Concepción win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7b4dbf…
08-02 04:22:00	Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-01?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf85b3e…
08-02 04:20:05	Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x608180…
08-02 04:14:36	Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-08-02?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb6932f…
08-02 04:01:20	crichundredw mi man 2026 08 02	Manchester Super Giants	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x299806…
08-02 03:57:08	crict20lpl jaf dam 2026 08 02	Jaffna Kings	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7e4cf6…
08-02 03:56:09	crichundredw tre sun 2026 08 02	Trent Rockets	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x83a120…
08-02 03:54:27	crichundred tre sun 2026 08 02	Trent Rockets	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf56cf4…
08-02 03:33:59	cpbl uni rak 2026 08 02	Rakuten Monkeys	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xef1b49…
08-02 03:33:11	cpbl wei chi 2026 08 02	Wei Chuan Dragons	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x566464…
08-02 03:27:09	npb tok han 2026 08 02	Hanshin Tigers	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xfed650…
08-02 03:26:12	npb sai ori 2026 08 02	Saitama Seibu Lions	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xba9042…
08-01 06:58:15	Will Club Aurora win on 2026-06-20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcdd45d…
08-01 06:57:33	rlnrl sgi dol 2026 07 31	Dolphins	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x90c3cd…
08-01 06:21:18	Will CD Tecnico Universitario win on 2026-08-01?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6c61f9…