Wee-Budget — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$56

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

352

Trades

444

lifetime

Volume

$1.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 08-04 18:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Other

93% 44% -$34

Crypto

4% 26% -$10

Sports

3% 46% -$9

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-04).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+11	$2	20¢	$2	+$0	05-11 20:24
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+4	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	05-18 18:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 4?	3	$40	45	45	+0	Yes	+$21	08-04 18:13
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 3?	2	$26	20	20	+0	Yes	+$14	07-03 17:58
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 23?	2	$26	16	16	+0	Yes	+$6	07-23 20:34
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 19?	2	$24	16	16	+0	Yes	+$8	07-19 19:29
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 24?	2	$24	22	22	+0	Yes	+$21	07-24 19:35
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 16?	2	$22	14	14	+0	Yes	+$6	07-16 17:43
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 2?	2	$21	19	18	+0	Yes	+$11	07-02 18:22
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 22?	2	$19	13	13	+0	Yes	+$7	07-22 18:01
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 1?	2	$19	13	13	+0	Yes	+$7	07-01 19:04
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	4	$19	58	58	+0	No	+$1	05-24 09:46
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	4	$17	93	93	+0	No	+$1	05-23 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 6?	2	$16	42	0	+42	No	-$16	07-05 12:28
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 25?	1	$15	28	0	+28	No	-$15	07-24 19:36
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 25?	2	$15	13	13	+0	Yes	+$11	07-25 20:48
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	5	$13	80	80	+0	No	+$3	05-21 11:51
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 18?	2	$12	11	11	+0	Yes	+$10	07-18 18:19
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	5	$11	47	47	+0	No	+$5	05-13 19:29
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 10?	2	$11	8	8	+0	Yes	+$5	07-10 18:31
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	2	$10	56	28	+28	No	+$0	08-01 10:43
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 13?	1	$10	22	0	+22	No	-$10	07-12 11:45
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 20?	1	$10	18	0	+18	Yes	+$8	07-19 19:31
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 4?	1	$10	20	0	+20	Yes	+$10	07-03 18:02
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 3?	1	$10	22	0	+22	No	-$10	07-02 18:23
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	2	$10	33	24	+9	No	$0	08-02 17:27
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 15?	2	$9	8	8	+0	Yes	+$7	05-15 19:13
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5?	1	$9	27	0	+27	No	-$9	08-04 18:17
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 18?	1	$9	13	0	+13	No	-$9	07-17 13:38
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	4	$8	83	80	+3	Yes	+$9	07-25 20:49
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	2	$8	83	83	+0	No	-$2	05-23 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 24?	1	$8	17	0	+17	No	-$8	07-23 20:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 18:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	27	34¢	$9	0xe69d5e…
08-04 18:16:05	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	288	2¢	$5	0xc93192…
08-04 18:15:36	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x455244…
08-04 18:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9a8380…
08-03 18:13:41	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0xcbf76f…
08-03 18:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0xb0e1b8…
08-02 17:36:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	45	21¢	$10	0x89ac0c…
08-02 17:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0x66ff60…
08-02 17:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x03d90b…
08-02 17:27:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0xae1c9d…
08-01 10:43:08	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	19¢	$5	0x6af2f6…
07-25 20:51:04	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	4¢	$3	0x20e1d8…
07-25 20:50:40	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xd5915a…
07-25 20:50:01	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xaa486d…
07-25 20:49:19	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x53ed32…
07-25 20:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x4a93a8…
07-24 19:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x906526…
07-24 19:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x760149…
07-24 19:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xb40415…
07-24 19:35:45	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	16¢	$3	0x1c9d7f…
07-24 19:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xf24edf…
07-23 20:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	22	7¢	$1	0x539ddc…
07-23 20:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xe7192a…
07-23 20:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x5b17ce…
07-23 20:34:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 23?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x82b55d…
07-22 18:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$1	0x9c026b…
07-22 18:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x560894…
07-22 18:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xb5e712…
07-22 18:01:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	7¢	$4	0x158fda…
07-22 18:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x2345b3…
07-21 17:47:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa39fc8…
07-21 17:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x0613ad…
07-21 17:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	186	1¢	$2	0xc6babe…
07-21 17:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x434c25…
07-21 17:44:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xa73f96…
07-21 17:43:39	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8a1ed6…
07-19 19:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x27b604…
07-19 19:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xac4734…
07-19 19:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xaaf2b0…
07-19 19:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x0342d3…
07-18 18:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x422be3…
07-18 18:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x7f6944…
07-18 18:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xef7fed…
07-18 18:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc5f921…
07-17 13:39:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xdff87f…
07-17 13:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x428626…
07-17 13:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x44462a…
07-17 13:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xaf0793…
07-16 17:43:47	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x017000…
07-15 18:34:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xb76cff…
07-15 18:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x26b7ad…
07-15 18:25:17	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x961710…
07-13 15:27:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x932b9e…
07-13 15:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6b0cf2…
07-13 15:26:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x7a9bdb…
07-13 15:26:47	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xaee356…
07-12 11:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x80459e…
07-12 11:45:47	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x1968f6…
07-12 11:45:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xc22d20…
07-12 11:37:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x155095…
07-12 11:37:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x53fda3…
07-10 18:34:02	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 11?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x20d7dd…
07-10 18:33:31	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 11?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf09000…
07-10 18:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 10?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x520cf0…
07-09 18:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x27e9bc…
07-09 18:12:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x2929c8…
07-06 18:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf73d18…
07-06 18:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x57f020…
07-05 12:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x55b7df…
07-05 12:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xf129cb…
07-05 12:27:01	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0xd11c17…
07-05 12:26:37	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2af0a0…
07-03 18:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7a6328…
07-03 18:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa26265…
07-03 18:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x3059ea…
07-03 17:59:49	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	285	0¢	$1	0x6f6f0e…
07-03 17:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 3?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x473374…
07-02 18:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x46f06e…
07-02 18:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x4675b1…
07-02 18:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x977c8f…
07-02 18:22:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0x7ec215…
07-01 19:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x16ee29…
07-01 19:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x6f2f98…
07-01 19:04:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x807e76…
06-30 19:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x36781b…
06-30 19:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x4c5ffb…
06-30 19:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xd902f1…
06-27 18:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x92f790…
06-27 18:57:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x5cdde6…
06-27 18:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x796dc4…
06-26 18:50:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0xfee23e…
06-25 18:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x444b72…
06-25 18:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xa28554…
06-25 18:01:53	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x03e679…
06-25 18:01:37	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	267	0¢	$0	0x6640b1…
06-23 19:57:13	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb6c974…
06-23 19:56:44	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	267	0¢	$1	0xc6f562…
06-23 19:56:19	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x6486d5…
06-22 19:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3650f3…
06-21 19:14:22	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xba6548…