Black-Registration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.4%

Resolved

Trades

137

lifetime

Volume

$13.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$101

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-07 08:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 90% +$13

Other

44% 0% -$3

Politics

7% 0% $0

Sports

2% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$596	300	300	+0	No	$0	03-07 14:03
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	4	$398	200	200	+0	No	$0	01-21 10:45
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$398	200	200	+0	No	$0	01-10 13:17
bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	3	$383	256	128	+128	Yes	+$0	07-02 03:58
will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 19	3	$300	200	100	+100	No	+$0	01-18 09:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	2	$261	130	130	+0	No	$0	04-17 05:17
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	3	$260	131	131	+0	No	$0	04-29 07:46
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$260	130	130	+0	No	$0	05-27 13:27
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$260	130	130	+0	No	$0	05-21 07:36
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$260	130	130	+0	No	$0	04-24 05:14
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 100 119	2	$259	130	130	+0	No	$0	03-27 13:07
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$259	130	130	+0	open	—	05-14 07:31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$259	130	130	+0	No	$0	03-26 08:45
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$257	130	130	+0	No	$0	03-30 09:27
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$256	128	128	+0	No	$0	06-03 13:07
Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?	2	$256	128	128	+0	No	$0	07-02 03:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$256	128	128	+0	No	$0	07-07 08:34
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$255	128	128	+0	open	—	06-23 08:38
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 40 59	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-14 11:35
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-02 12:40
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 360 379	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-07 08:35
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 260 279	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-18 09:46
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 480 499	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-23 14:19
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-16 05:56
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 480 499	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-02 10:03
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 100 119	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-27 06:55
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 140 159	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-13 12:41
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 0 19	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-04 13:33
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 260 279	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-21 13:17
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 60 79	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-09 10:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 08:35:08	bitcoin above 68k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x5eabfe…
07-07 08:34:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x63ffda…
07-07 08:30:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xe61ab0…
07-02 03:58:58	bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xb9637f…
07-02 03:58:10	bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	Yes	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0xbf8ada…
07-02 03:57:55	bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x531094…
07-02 03:57:11	Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x47ddfb…
07-02 03:56:59	Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x74891a…
06-23 08:39:13	bitcoin above 56k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xd9c93a…
06-23 08:38:14	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	128	99¢	$127	0xfa4f63…
06-23 08:37:58	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	128	99¢	$127	0xd692ed…
06-03 13:27:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x3f512e…
06-03 13:07:36	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0xd95051…
06-03 13:06:37	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x19004a…
05-27 13:29:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x1bc1c3…
05-27 13:28:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x163e59…
05-27 13:27:52	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x475308…
05-27 13:27:31	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x72fa69…
05-21 07:37:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x18c003…
05-21 07:36:11	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x8720db…
05-21 07:36:01	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xbaddf3…
05-14 07:32:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x80ae54…
05-14 07:31:56	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	130	99¢	$129	0x368ee0…
05-14 07:30:44	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$130	0xc46fdc…
04-29 07:47:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x53ca1c…
04-29 07:46:20	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$110	0x41921f…
04-29 07:45:56	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x31cb5e…
04-29 07:45:48	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0xe41b17…
04-27 04:10:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xccb745…
04-24 05:18:20	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on april 24	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x0fdfb1…
04-24 05:14:52	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xf1b464…
04-24 05:14:44	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xe3eb57…
04-21 06:21:18	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 21	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x075f02…
04-17 05:18:12	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xb176b1…
04-17 05:17:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x06e9e0…
04-17 05:17:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xc48525…
04-14 05:27:37	will bitcoin dip to 67k on april 14	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x240967…
04-07 11:10:29	bitcoin above 64k on april 7	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0x1af4d3…
04-02 09:34:07	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x34fc90…
03-30 09:28:10	bitcoin above 62k on march 30	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x25320a…
03-30 09:27:32	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	130	99¢	$128	0x9dab09…
03-30 09:26:36	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	130	99¢	$128	0xae77fc…
03-27 13:07:29	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xacc353…
03-27 13:07:03	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 100 119	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xd493ad…
03-27 13:06:51	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 100 119	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x97166d…
03-26 08:45:43	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 26	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x380059…
03-26 08:45:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	130	99¢	$129	0x7d48ce…
03-26 08:45:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0x3552e3…
03-23 14:20:41	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb01245…
03-23 14:19:19	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 480 499	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x4a6178…
03-23 14:18:39	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 480 499	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xde0cc5…
03-21 13:18:07	will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 21	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb04c36…
03-21 13:17:19	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 260 279	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x558491…
03-21 13:17:07	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 260 279	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdac8ed…
03-17 16:12:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 18	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2d78db…
03-17 16:12:09	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 160 179	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb73c5b…
03-17 16:11:57	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 160 179	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf0228b…
03-16 05:56:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 16	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1ce892…
03-16 05:56:03	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x002364…
03-16 05:55:51	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xccd58d…
03-13 12:42:55	bitcoin above 66k on march 13	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4cf267…
03-13 12:41:45	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 140 159	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x3ddba3…
03-13 12:41:15	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 140 159	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5a0fda…
03-10 16:30:01	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe8144f…
03-10 16:26:07	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 240 259	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x17024b…
03-10 16:25:53	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 240 259	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x953126…
03-07 14:03:35	bitcoin above 62k on march 7	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7b64f6…
03-07 14:03:05	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x015c26…
03-07 14:02:51	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x13ec16…
03-04 09:41:31	bitcoin above 62k on march 4	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x33b748…
03-04 09:40:55	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x3459b6…
03-04 09:40:39	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2409ee…
03-01 10:34:13	bitcoin above 72k on march 1	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x63a7f6…
03-01 10:29:35	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x5c2b01…
03-01 10:29:15	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x67ddfe…
02-09 10:33:55	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 9	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x88a81d…
02-09 10:33:25	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 60 79	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x979a7d…
02-09 10:33:05	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 60 79	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbd2677…
02-06 09:21:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 6	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x05d270…
02-06 09:20:47	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x7af3fd…
02-06 09:20:19	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4daca5…
02-06 09:14:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x416fba…
02-06 08:44:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	72	98¢	$70	0x6e1159…
02-06 08:44:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	28	98¢	$28	0x0fc30f…
02-04 13:33:36	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xaf55b8…
02-04 13:33:08	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 0 19	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xf75c5a…
02-04 13:32:50	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 0 19	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x52f6f7…
02-02 10:03:32	bitcoin above 86k on february 2	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0a006a…
02-02 10:03:14	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 480 499	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x833334…
02-02 10:03:02	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 480 499	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd3d5a1…
01-30 07:10:48	bitcoin above 92k on january 30	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x55f41f…
01-30 07:06:34	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x4578cc…
01-30 07:06:16	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8c2867…
01-27 06:55:41	bitcoin above 84k on january 27	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcc19ed…
01-27 06:55:19	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 100 119	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x90d3d1…
01-27 06:54:39	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 100 119	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc04397…
01-22 09:47:02	bitcoin above 86k on january 22	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc063dd…
01-22 09:45:54	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 120 139	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xef10b6…
01-22 09:45:40	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 120 139	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x653233…
01-21 10:45:44	bitcoin above 94k on january 21	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc73878…