| 11-01 12:33:33 |
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
20 |
39¢ |
$8 |
0x6befe7…
|
| 11-01 11:18:49 |
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
9 |
56¢ |
$5 |
0x90fa41…
|
| 11-01 10:30:37 |
Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?
|
No |
SELL |
20 |
49¢ |
$10 |
0x604270…
|
| 11-01 10:20:55 |
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election?
|
No |
SELL |
20 |
44¢ |
$9 |
0x88bdfc…
|
| 11-01 10:20:55 |
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election?
|
No |
SELL |
0 |
44¢ |
$0 |
0x664cb8…
|
| 11-01 08:37:51 |
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #2 US song this week?
|
Yes |
SELL |
20 |
35¢ |
$7 |
0x5f0fba…
|
| 11-01 08:18:06 |
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
9 |
73¢ |
$7 |
0x15ab09…
|
| 11-01 08:13:04 |
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
11 |
73¢ |
$8 |
0x6d610b…
|
| 11-01 08:08:45 |
Will The Tuners win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
|
No |
SELL |
20 |
38¢ |
$8 |
0x4b038c…
|
| 11-01 08:04:07 |
Will The Tuners win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
67¢ |
$13 |
0x71331c…
|
| 11-01 08:03:31 |
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #2 US song this week?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
46¢ |
$9 |
0xf6f4b7…
|
| 11-01 07:11:37 |
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in November?
|
Yes |
SELL |
9 |
29¢ |
$3 |
0x8a6996…
|
| 11-01 07:06:27 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
12¢ |
$1 |
0x069981…
|
| 11-01 06:44:52 |
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
|
No |
SELL |
0 |
5¢ |
$0 |
0x16f0b8…
|
| 11-01 06:03:43 |
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
76¢ |
$15 |
0x9bd67a…
|
| 11-01 05:57:27 |
Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
15¢ |
$3 |
0xb885b1…
|
| 11-01 05:09:04 |
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
72¢ |
$14 |
0xf023ce…
|
| 11-01 05:07:48 |
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31?
|
Yes |
SELL |
15 |
17¢ |
$3 |
0xe58855…
|
| 11-01 05:07:09 |
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31?
|
Yes |
SELL |
5 |
17¢ |
$1 |
0x31c047…
|
| 11-01 05:04:58 |
Will EH Bildu win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
|
No |
SELL |
20 |
60¢ |
$12 |
0x4a20b0…
|
| 11-01 04:34:00 |
Will A Derailment win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
|
Yes |
SELL |
20 |
19¢ |
$4 |
0x754dd9…
|
| 11-01 03:35:30 |
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the June meeting?
|
No |
SELL |
15 |
49¢ |
$7 |
0xa0f5ba…
|
| 11-01 03:16:33 |
Will November 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
26¢ |
$5 |
0x2638ef…
|
| 11-01 02:44:36 |
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?
|
Yes |
SELL |
7 |
21¢ |
$1 |
0x9ad0a6…
|
| 11-01 02:21:04 |
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
20 |
30¢ |
$6 |
0x28f017…
|
| 11-01 02:19:39 |
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?
|
Yes |
SELL |
0 |
24¢ |
$0 |
0x042ee6…
|
| 11-01 02:19:30 |
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?
|
Yes |
SELL |
0 |
24¢ |
$0 |
0xd8ba67…
|
| 11-01 02:11:48 |
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
20¢ |
$4 |
0x339440…
|
| 11-01 02:01:04 |
Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
12 |
34¢ |
$4 |
0x6be193…
|
| 11-01 01:52:49 |
Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
20 |
40¢ |
$8 |
0xf59397…
|
| 11-01 01:52:45 |
Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
64¢ |
$13 |
0xec3aaf…
|
| 11-01 01:44:15 |
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
20 |
61¢ |
$12 |
0x53dc8c…
|
| 11-01 01:42:58 |
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
34¢ |
$7 |
0xc2c89d…
|
| 11-01 01:10:10 |
Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between -1.5% and 0%?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
27¢ |
$5 |
0xd5d5d6…
|
| 11-01 00:43:03 |
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?
|
Yes |
SELL |
9 |
33¢ |
$3 |
0x8943f8…
|
| 11-01 00:31:46 |
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
|
No |
BUY |
19 |
84¢ |
$16 |
0xedeae1…
|
| 10-31 23:50:27 |
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
71¢ |
$14 |
0x153d1f…
|
| 10-31 23:35:16 |
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
20 |
73¢ |
$15 |
0x8af57c…
|
| 10-31 23:33:49 |
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
51¢ |
$10 |
0xca8958…
|
| 10-31 23:00:15 |
Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2028?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
37¢ |
$7 |
0xc29376…
|
| 10-31 20:26:57 |
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?
|
No |
SELL |
20 |
51¢ |
$10 |
0xec27f0…
|
| 10-31 18:33:30 |
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?
|
Yes |
SELL |
20 |
16¢ |
$3 |
0x0a4925…
|
| 10-31 18:21:37 |
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
SELL |
20 |
61¢ |
$12 |
0x3a13a4…
|
| 10-31 17:39:09 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
20 |
34¢ |
$7 |
0x452e4c…
|
| 10-31 17:37:40 |
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
20 |
77¢ |
$15 |
0x2f36aa…
|
| 10-31 17:06:31 |
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
|
No |
SELL |
20 |
31¢ |
$6 |
0x364c56…
|
| 10-31 14:53:33 |
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
0 |
45¢ |
$0 |
0xbe2186…
|
| 10-31 14:41:39 |
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be greater than 4.0%?
|
Yes |
SELL |
20 |
22¢ |
$4 |
0x426dd9…
|
| 10-31 14:21:15 |
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?
|
No |
SELL |
17 |
47¢ |
$8 |
0x399791…
|
| 10-31 13:57:27 |
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
20 |
48¢ |
$10 |
0x4e8a67…
|
| 10-31 12:58:21 |
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?
|
Yes |
SELL |
20 |
20¢ |
$4 |
0x119af6…
|
| 10-31 12:57:39 |
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
52¢ |
$10 |
0x9c2a8a…
|
| 10-31 12:50:12 |
Will Anthropic sell between 4% and 5% of its shares in its IPO?
|
No |
SELL |
20 |
65¢ |
$13 |
0x6406fa…
|
| 10-31 11:10:19 |
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
|
Yes |
SELL |
7 |
66¢ |
$5 |
0xfca7d5…
|
| 10-31 10:07:55 |
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?
|
Yes |
SELL |
4 |
47¢ |
$2 |
0x49df17…
|
| 10-31 09:32:34 |
Will the next Israeli government hold between 64 and 66 seats?
|
Yes |
SELL |
40 |
3¢ |
$1 |
0x5953df…
|
| 10-31 08:27:19 |
Will Dak Prescott have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
43¢ |
$2 |
0xc1aafe…
|
| 10-31 07:53:31 |
Will Anthropic sell between 4% and 5% of its shares in its IPO?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
62¢ |
$12 |
0x96fd9a…
|
| 10-31 07:30:37 |
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
54¢ |
$11 |
0x4679c5…
|
| 10-31 07:11:07 |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?
|
No |
BUY |
17 |
86¢ |
$15 |
0xf921f6…
|
| 10-31 07:11:07 |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?
|
No |
BUY |
3 |
86¢ |
$2 |
0x4fc738…
|
| 10-31 07:06:01 |
Will Boaster play for Gentle Mates in 2027?
|
No |
SELL |
20 |
8¢ |
$2 |
0xdb5926…
|
| 10-31 07:02:37 |
Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
2 |
37¢ |
$1 |
0xa50017…
|
| 10-31 06:46:28 |
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
40 |
53¢ |
$21 |
0x200cfd…
|
| 10-31 06:43:18 |
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
20 |
42¢ |
$8 |
0x5f06ed…
|
| 10-31 06:32:28 |
Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
41¢ |
$8 |
0x07bf9d…
|
| 10-31 06:31:25 |
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
3 |
18¢ |
$1 |
0xb99e16…
|
| 10-31 06:18:51 |
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
SELL |
20 |
53¢ |
$11 |
0xb6d815…
|
| 10-31 06:02:46 |
Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by November 30?
|
No |
BUY |
2 |
14¢ |
$0 |
0x3cfb36…
|
| 10-31 06:02:37 |
Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 4% to 5.5%?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
21¢ |
$4 |
0xf3137a…
|
| 10-31 06:02:37 |
Will EH Bildu win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
57¢ |
$11 |
0xde38b7…
|
| 10-31 06:02:34 |
Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
73¢ |
$15 |
0x6536d0…
|
| 10-31 05:57:37 |
Will Luke Combs appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
|
Yes |
SELL |
20 |
7¢ |
$1 |
0x093ea7…
|
| 10-31 05:09:54 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-02 House election by 9%-12%?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
71¢ |
$14 |
0xe37868…
|
| 10-31 05:07:43 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
43¢ |
$9 |
0x21e01d…
|
| 10-31 05:05:21 |
Will Boaster play for Gentle Mates in 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
12¢ |
$2 |
0xb2c2ec…
|
| 10-31 04:09:24 |
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
39¢ |
$8 |
0x5eb7f2…
|
| 10-31 04:02:51 |
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
36¢ |
$7 |
0x1cac7b…
|
| 10-31 03:59:01 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?
|
No |
BUY |
3 |
40¢ |
$1 |
0xd92c17…
|
| 10-31 03:59:00 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?
|
No |
BUY |
8 |
40¢ |
$3 |
0xad36fd…
|
| 10-31 03:59:00 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?
|
No |
BUY |
9 |
40¢ |
$4 |
0x34de81…
|
| 10-31 03:56:58 |
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?
|
No |
SELL |
3 |
58¢ |
$2 |
0x6e5bc8…
|
| 10-31 03:41:19 |
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
59¢ |
$12 |
0xab3185…
|
| 10-31 03:39:34 |
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
30¢ |
$6 |
0xb24e35…
|
| 10-31 03:39:09 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 5%-10%?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
36¢ |
$7 |
0xc7f281…
|
| 10-31 03:39:06 |
CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 90.5% to 92%?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
47¢ |
$9 |
0xcb0a5f…
|
| 10-31 02:08:48 |
Will Anthropic IPO on November 18, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
40 |
22¢ |
$9 |
0x14b822…
|
| 10-31 01:50:13 |
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by December 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
20 |
42¢ |
$8 |
0xcc4340…
|
| 10-31 01:46:01 |
Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?
|
Yes |
SELL |
20 |
29¢ |
$6 |
0xa8288b…
|
| 10-31 00:53:52 |
Supreme Court revives Arizona's proof-of-citizenship voting rules?
|
No |
SELL |
20 |
25¢ |
$5 |
0x6e869b…
|
| 10-30 18:09:36 |
Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
|
Yes |
SELL |
20 |
22¢ |
$4 |
0x7256c5…
|
| 10-30 18:08:58 |
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30, 2027?
|
No |
SELL |
5 |
45¢ |
$2 |
0x0f29e8…
|
| 10-30 17:04:57 |
Will Pacifica launch a token by March 31, 2027?
|
No |
SELL |
20 |
27¢ |
$5 |
0xfcf971…
|
| 10-30 16:29:18 |
will perena launch a token by june 30 2027
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
75¢ |
$15 |
0xc1c25b…
|
| 10-30 16:28:03 |
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the June meeting?
|
No |
SELL |
5 |
75¢ |
$4 |
0x11b1ae…
|
| 10-30 16:23:39 |
will pacifica launch a token by march 31 2027
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
65¢ |
$13 |
0xed0c24…
|
| 10-30 16:23:39 |
Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
34¢ |
$7 |
0x00d856…
|
| 10-30 16:22:49 |
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
73¢ |
$15 |
0xed1bcc…
|
| 10-30 16:15:43 |
Will the Bank of Japan make no change to the uncollateralized overnight call rate at the March meeting?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
53¢ |
$11 |
0x43c13e…
|
| 10-30 16:07:49 |
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
37¢ |
$7 |
0x0e9a2b…
|