Thankful-Wingtip — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$642

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

54.3%

Resolved (7d)

2,291

Trades (7d)

14,816

560,994 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$85.4K

$4.87M lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$23

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 10-28 01:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 174 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% +$59,012

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 6944 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	—	+18	$13	100¢	$18	+$5	10-28 02:16
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	—	+5	$3	100¢	$5	+$2	10-28 02:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:25 UTC	203	$4.2K	6,670	+6,670	Up	-$570	08-27 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:15 UTC	35	$3.9K	4,797	+4,797	Down	-$268	07-21 17:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:50 UTC	48	$2.6K	3,916	+3,916	Down	-$61	07-21 17:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:30 UTC	109	$2.6K	3,423	+3,423	Up	-$944	08-27 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 13:45 UTC	60	$2.5K	3,729	+3,729	Up	-$694	07-22 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	131	$2.2K	4,044	+4,044	Up	-$189	06-01 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 14:05 UTC	89	$2.2K	3,268	+3,268	Down	-$875	07-22 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 15:25 UTC	53	$2.2K	2,809	+2,809	Up	-$200	07-16 15:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:00 UTC	41	$2.0K	2,437	+2,437	Up	+$18	07-23 20:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:40 UTC	44	$2.0K	2,587	+2,587	Down	-$139	07-13 13:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 13:35 UTC	52	$2.0K	2,940	+2,940	Down	-$442	08-14 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:45 UTC	71	$2.0K	3,527	+3,527	Up	-$4	07-21 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 15:20 UTC	65	$2.0K	2,985	+2,985	Down	+$227	07-21 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 12:45 UTC	62	$1.9K	2,873	+2,873	Up	-$493	07-23 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 14:30 UTC	56	$1.9K	2,793	+2,793	Up	+$679	07-21 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 15:30 UTC	127	$1.9K	3,909	+3,909	Up	-$39	07-24 15:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 13:55 UTC	52	$1.9K	2,928	+2,928	Up	+$487	07-22 13:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:15 UTC	96	$1.8K	2,936	+2,936	Up	-$312	08-27 14:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:50 UTC	43	$1.8K	2,950	+2,950	Up	+$124	07-17 15:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:20 UTC	26	$1.7K	2,449	+2,449	Up	-$532	07-21 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:30 UTC	76	$1.7K	4,041	+4,041	Down	+$2	08-12 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 20:00 UTC	104	$1.7K	3,420	+3,420	Down	+$81	07-22 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 19:40 UTC	51	$1.7K	2,552	+2,552	Down	-$79	07-22 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 14:40 UTC	30	$1.7K	2,202	+2,202	Up	-$1,099	07-21 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 18:00 UTC	44	$1.7K	2,408	+2,408	Down	-$42	06-17 18:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 13:40 UTC	58	$1.7K	3,610	+3,610	Down	-$34	08-25 13:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 15:25 UTC	17	$1.6K	2,575	+2,575	Down	+$467	07-21 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	49	$1.6K	2,608	+2,608	Up	-$13	09-03 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 13:30 UTC	26	$1.6K	2,061	+2,061	Up	+$208	07-22 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:45 UTC	10	$1.5K	1,734	+1,734	Down	+$186	07-21 17:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 02:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x807ae7…
10-28 02:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x64d8d2…
10-28 02:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x198b16…
10-28 02:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x39e7fe…
10-28 02:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x17844a…
10-28 02:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x255987…
10-28 02:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa880e1…
10-28 02:15:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe4e90f…
10-28 02:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x185d0e…
10-28 02:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x58652b…
10-28 02:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0xf6df41…
10-28 02:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xbfd6ff…
10-28 02:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7cb332…
10-28 01:55:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0xd716ce…
10-28 01:55:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xc44d67…
10-28 01:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x528d9c…
10-28 01:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xaea894…
10-28 01:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0xead2bc…
10-28 01:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x288337…
10-28 01:52:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2d7d15…
10-28 01:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xdffa35…
10-28 01:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xd2f0a9…
10-28 01:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xa74262…
10-28 01:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x4e48d5…
10-28 01:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xf8b919…
10-28 01:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xd6e8b5…
10-28 01:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xd48e0c…
10-28 01:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x83b232…
10-28 01:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0x2bd604…
10-28 01:52:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x41fa70…
10-28 01:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xea862d…
10-28 01:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x5a15e7…
10-28 01:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xe8bb86…
10-28 01:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x73062d…
10-28 01:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x498969…
10-28 01:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x38c573…
10-28 01:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x2d62bd…
10-28 01:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x7924e5…
10-28 01:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xfb0e15…
10-28 01:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xeb2a40…
10-28 01:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x74555d…
10-28 01:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x6ec443…
10-28 01:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x68efb4…
10-28 01:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x54bef9…
10-28 01:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x327a7f…
10-28 01:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xf5e29c…
10-28 01:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xeeaf78…
10-28 01:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xe87c62…
10-28 01:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xbdd15b…
10-28 01:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0xb64dd2…
10-28 01:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xaa1a63…
10-28 01:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x57e752…
10-28 01:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x56d6d3…
10-28 01:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x518d2e…
10-28 01:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0x462e4c…
10-28 01:47:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x905e7f…
10-28 01:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x6dd16b…
10-28 01:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xdcdcdb…
10-28 01:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x971b4d…
10-28 01:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0e77db…
10-28 01:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	38¢	$8	0x2e1211…
10-28 01:46:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x654245…
10-28 01:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0x0abba7…
10-28 01:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xc32d60…
10-28 01:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0xa30d74…
10-28 01:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x90dacd…
10-28 01:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x70c4cf…
10-28 01:45:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x550b67…
10-28 01:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0xfe0f85…
10-28 01:44:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xaa9ab6…
10-28 01:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x200138…
10-28 01:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xfdcd3a…
10-28 01:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xae734f…
10-28 01:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x18fecb…
10-28 01:35:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xb47b1f…
10-28 01:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	68¢	$8	0xe2a440…
10-28 01:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$0	0x574852…
10-28 01:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x08e9d2…
10-28 01:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x89cd5f…
10-28 01:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x4d6614…
10-28 01:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x304781…
10-28 01:32:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6e4b57…
10-28 01:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x796462…
10-28 01:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x47a5ff…
10-28 01:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x8afea8…
10-28 01:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xc0e271…
10-28 01:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x5adac7…
10-28 01:31:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1ffe66…
10-28 01:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x214efb…
10-28 01:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x8a4ee3…
10-28 01:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x6d35fc…
10-28 01:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x050922…
10-28 01:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xc5a65f…
10-28 01:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x763ea8…
10-28 01:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x2cb84c…
10-28 01:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x0a15f1…
10-28 01:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x2bc97d…
10-28 01:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xe15ced…
10-28 01:25:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb74a28…
10-28 01:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xfae5ff…