Thankful-Wingtip — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$59.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

61,872

Trades

566,076

lifetime

Volume

$4.91M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$33

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 10-29 21:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 175 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% +$59,406

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 6944 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	—	+33	$19	98¢	$33	+$13	10-29 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	—	+49	$24	2¢	$1	-$23	10-29 23:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:25 UTC	203	$4.2K	6,670	+6,670	Up	-$570	08-27 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:15 UTC	35	$3.9K	4,797	+4,797	Down	-$268	07-21 17:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:50 UTC	48	$2.6K	3,916	+3,916	Down	-$61	07-21 17:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:30 UTC	109	$2.6K	3,423	+3,423	Up	-$944	08-27 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 13:45 UTC	60	$2.5K	3,729	+3,729	Up	-$694	07-22 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	131	$2.2K	4,044	+4,044	Up	-$189	06-01 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 14:05 UTC	89	$2.2K	3,268	+3,268	Down	-$875	07-22 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 15:25 UTC	53	$2.2K	2,809	+2,809	Up	-$200	07-16 15:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:00 UTC	41	$2.0K	2,437	+2,437	Up	+$18	07-23 20:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:40 UTC	44	$2.0K	2,587	+2,587	Down	-$139	07-13 13:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 13:35 UTC	52	$2.0K	2,940	+2,940	Down	-$442	08-14 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:45 UTC	71	$2.0K	3,527	+3,527	Up	-$4	07-21 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 15:20 UTC	65	$2.0K	2,985	+2,985	Down	+$227	07-21 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 12:45 UTC	62	$1.9K	2,873	+2,873	Up	-$493	07-23 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 14:30 UTC	56	$1.9K	2,793	+2,793	Up	+$679	07-21 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 15:30 UTC	127	$1.9K	3,909	+3,909	Up	-$39	07-24 15:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 13:55 UTC	52	$1.9K	2,928	+2,928	Up	+$487	07-22 13:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:15 UTC	96	$1.8K	2,936	+2,936	Up	-$312	08-27 14:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:50 UTC	43	$1.8K	2,950	+2,950	Up	+$124	07-17 15:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:20 UTC	26	$1.7K	2,449	+2,449	Up	-$532	07-21 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:30 UTC	76	$1.7K	4,041	+4,041	Down	+$2	08-12 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 20:00 UTC	104	$1.7K	3,420	+3,420	Down	+$81	07-22 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 19:40 UTC	51	$1.7K	2,552	+2,552	Down	-$79	07-22 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 14:40 UTC	30	$1.7K	2,202	+2,202	Up	-$1,099	07-21 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 18:00 UTC	44	$1.7K	2,408	+2,408	Down	-$42	06-17 18:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 13:40 UTC	58	$1.7K	3,610	+3,610	Down	-$34	08-25 13:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 15:25 UTC	17	$1.6K	2,575	+2,575	Down	+$467	07-21 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	49	$1.6K	2,608	+2,608	Up	-$13	09-03 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 13:30 UTC	26	$1.6K	2,061	+2,061	Up	+$208	07-22 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:45 UTC	10	$1.5K	1,734	+1,734	Down	+$186	07-21 17:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 23:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x21f0fd…
10-29 23:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x0d7897…
10-29 23:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xaf4f12…
10-29 23:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x66a608…
10-29 23:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x2c9de7…
10-29 23:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x052f21…
10-29 23:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xf64531…
10-29 23:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	24	68¢	$16	0xeefae9…
10-29 23:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	68¢	$16	0xdc9a64…
10-29 23:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	68¢	$16	0xc0bad1…
10-29 22:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xe51b91…
10-29 22:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xabf81d…
10-29 22:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x3af249…
10-29 22:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x24964e…
10-29 22:59:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x7271c5…
10-29 22:58:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x80c5f9…
10-29 22:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	78¢	$44	0x35cbe0…
10-29 22:55:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xee530a…
10-29 22:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf064c4…
10-29 22:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	58¢	$32	0xfebb6b…
10-29 22:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0xdf9f7b…
10-29 22:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x5861ff…
10-29 22:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	78¢	$8	0x38fb5d…
10-29 22:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	54	78¢	$42	0x321f8f…
10-29 22:53:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x052845…
10-29 22:53:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	78¢	$12	0xa250a8…
10-29 22:52:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	78¢	$12	0xfd195e…
10-29 22:52:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xba1c52…
10-29 22:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x185b18…
10-29 22:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x4fff9e…
10-29 22:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc0ca93…
10-29 22:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xb0374b…
10-29 22:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0x5829f1…
10-29 22:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0x40a564…
10-29 22:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x21af94…
10-29 22:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0x1eab20…
10-29 22:52:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x5b573e…
10-29 22:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	54	66¢	$36	0x318123…
10-29 22:51:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x01a2a2…
10-29 22:51:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	78¢	$12	0xe26d58…
10-29 22:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	54	68¢	$37	0xb0ac1a…
10-29 22:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x9e0acb…
10-29 22:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x7a28eb…
10-29 22:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	54	68¢	$37	0x74517f…
10-29 22:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x2541ad…
10-29 22:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x20c761…
10-29 22:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x1bf7cb…
10-29 22:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x153466…
10-29 22:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	54	67¢	$36	0xfeb739…
10-29 22:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	54	66¢	$36	0xf236cb…
10-29 22:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	54	67¢	$36	0x28d28f…
10-29 22:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	54	48¢	$26	0xef0e76…
10-29 22:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x1eeb41…
10-29 22:46:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	68¢	$6	0x83faf1…
10-29 22:46:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x26ede5…
10-29 22:46:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xed0843…
10-29 22:46:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xe93fec…
10-29 22:45:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0xee53b1…
10-29 22:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	73	84¢	$62	0xb73689…
10-29 22:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x679cd6…
10-29 22:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x5eee9b…
10-29 22:43:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	68¢	$16	0xa9d08b…
10-29 22:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x51f463…
10-29 22:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x474b83…
10-29 22:42:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xa46c6e…
10-29 22:41:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x1d9c07…
10-29 22:41:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x0a99ca…
10-29 22:40:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0xa0552e…
10-29 22:40:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$7	0x2d6d5a…
10-29 22:40:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x65a957…
10-29 22:40:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x420734…
10-29 22:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xc571db…
10-29 22:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	65	78¢	$51	0xa7a02c…
10-29 22:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	53	78¢	$41	0x5deba4…
10-29 22:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xd2b3a5…
10-29 22:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	78¢	$15	0x7c2cc3…
10-29 22:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2f3261…
10-29 22:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	44	78¢	$34	0x6d6fbc…
10-29 22:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	78¢	$28	0x6a0513…
10-29 22:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	63	78¢	$49	0x50c7f8…
10-29 22:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0x424eca…
10-29 22:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xf6e9ee…
10-29 22:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0xba87b4…
10-29 22:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x907129…
10-29 22:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x4c8603…
10-29 22:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	71	78¢	$55	0x8d0214…
10-29 22:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0x7f18be…
10-29 22:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xf0b1f6…
10-29 22:36:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	48¢	$12	0x37c7c2…
10-29 22:35:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x835053…
10-29 22:35:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xeac4b4…
10-29 22:35:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xbec47d…
10-29 22:35:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x8552a6…
10-29 22:35:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x538666…
10-29 22:32:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x591162…
10-29 22:31:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	68¢	$15	0xb8e98f…
10-29 22:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xa0dafe…
10-29 22:31:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x44a850…
10-29 22:31:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	24	68¢	$16	0x82a138…
10-29 22:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0xd55a54…