Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$14.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$47

Hit rate

34.5%

Resolved (90d)

8,472

Trades (90d)

26,603

52,435 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$288.6K

$720.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$12.0K

11 positions

First seen

2026-06-21

last 11-12 05:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Other

96% 50% -$30,893

Politics

4% 50% -$137

Sports

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 667 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	+3,077	$2,825	100¢	$3.1K	+$247	11-04 18:32
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?	Yes	+2,975	$2,830	98¢	$2.9K	+$90	11-04 21:59
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	+1,954	$1,879	100¢	$2.0K	+$73	11-04 17:16
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	+1,589	$1,414	100¢	$1.6K	+$172	11-04 17:16
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?	No	+1,606	$1,512	98¢	$1.6K	+$62	11-04 17:37
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+840	$712	100¢	$836	+$124	11-04 15:54
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?	No	+3,633	$250	2¢	$67	-$182	11-04 21:59
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?	Yes	+947	$74	2¢	$18	-$55	11-04 17:32
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	+4,665	$387	0¢	$12	-$375	11-04 18:32
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+840	$135	0¢	$3	-$132	11-04 15:54
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1,954	$72	0¢	$2	-$70	11-04 17:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	63	$8.6K	13,149	1,682	+11,467	No	+$855	11-05 12:21
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	9	$5.8K	4,745	1,668	+3,077	open	—	11-04 18:32
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	20	$5.7K	8,925	3,750	+5,175	No	+$48	11-04 23:58
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	25	$3.6K	9,551	2,823	+6,729	Yes	-$186	11-04 23:56
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?	48	$3.2K	6,794	186	+6,608	open	—	11-04 21:59
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	51	$3.0K	3,560	988	+2,573	Yes	-$2,041	11-05 23:17
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	42	$2.4K	5,347	513	+4,834	Yes	-$965	11-05 12:21
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	11	$2.0K	7,855	1,601	+6,255	open	—	11-04 18:32
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	6	$2.0K	3,908	0	+3,908	open	—	11-04 17:16
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	42	$1.8K	1,615	1,615	+0	Yes	-$187	07-28 15:48
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?	21	$1.7K	2,688	135	+2,553	open	—	11-04 17:37
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?	40	$1.7K	1,873	1,777	+96	Yes	-$239	10-18 06:38
Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September?	18	$1.5K	1,598	1,504	+94	Yes	-$298	09-24 12:35
Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?	31	$1.4K	1,364	1,482	-118	Yes	-$203	10-16 10:11
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 26?	17	$1.4K	849	849	+0	No	-$39	08-25 19:12
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	65	$1.3K	3,338	381	+2,958	No	+$1,485	11-05 23:17
Rain during the Singapore Grand Prix?	2	$1.2K	815	815	+0	No	+$0	10-07 12:51
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16?	8	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$0	09-15 11:37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 20?	6	$1.1K	793	793	+0	No	-$11	07-19 12:03
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 20?	10	$996	802	802	+0	No	-$48	10-18 23:00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6?	9	$995	773	773	+0	Yes	-$7	08-05 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 8?	27	$976	784	784	+0	No	-$10	07-07 15:00
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in September?	27	$950	809	734	+75	No	-$45	09-24 15:09
Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September?	28	$933	1,064	683	+382	No	+$12	09-25 23:35
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7?	45	$884	798	798	+0	No	-$113	08-06 21:54
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?	5	$872	670	670	+0	No	-$27	08-03 10:26
Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	10	$855	609	490	+118	No	+$0	10-11 04:33
Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	20	$848	686	546	+140	No	-$23	07-31 06:35
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	6	$847	1,680	0	+1,680	open	—	11-04 15:54
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 23?	21	$835	608	504	+103	No	-$24	07-22 08:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 05:10:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0xe49b30…
11-12 05:10:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	540	0¢	$1	0x268933…
11-12 03:44:19	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	88	0¢	$0	0x432e44…
11-07 04:46:10	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xef2557…
11-06 17:17:46	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xf29376…
11-06 15:50:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	448	0¢	$0	0xc1362b…
11-06 15:50:16	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xd3e0a0…
11-06 15:50:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	448	0¢	$0	0xc9be15…
11-05 23:17:37	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xcecc71…
11-05 23:17:37	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x15697c…
11-05 23:17:30	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	SELL	47	4¢	$2	0x78a00d…
11-05 23:17:30	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	SELL	300	4¢	$12	0x74ce89…
11-05 23:17:30	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	SELL	59	4¢	$2	0x72763e…
11-05 23:17:30	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	SELL	178	4¢	$7	0x4171d9…
11-05 12:21:54	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x7feec5…
11-05 12:21:30	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	44	74¢	$32	0xcb5738…
11-05 12:21:30	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	46	74¢	$34	0xca3913…
11-05 12:21:30	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	26	26¢	$7	0x836748…
11-05 12:21:30	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	44	26¢	$11	0x1bcc19…
11-05 10:27:21	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	275	80¢	$220	0x3a0b0b…
11-05 10:27:19	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x6fb9c2…
11-05 10:27:07	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	169	18¢	$30	0xda1da2…
11-05 10:27:07	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	474	82¢	$389	0x351407…
11-05 10:20:57	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	920	16¢	$144	0x185d37…
11-05 10:20:57	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	920	86¢	$788	0x121a39…
11-05 10:15:21	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	1,620	84¢	$1,361	0x33468a…
11-05 10:15:19	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1,620	17¢	$275	0x4914ce…
11-05 10:12:33	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	490	74¢	$361	0x8352f5…
11-05 10:12:33	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	396	74¢	$292	0x178fde…
11-05 09:44:10	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	351	74¢	$259	0xa57310…
11-05 09:41:37	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	396	77¢	$305	0x39d49a…
11-05 09:41:37	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	841	77¢	$646	0x18c5e1…
11-05 09:32:34	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	240	78¢	$188	0x7d1043…
11-05 08:46:49	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x09fbd8…
11-05 08:46:46	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xae644d…
11-05 08:46:22	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	373	25¢	$93	0x818804…
11-05 08:46:21	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	113	75¢	$85	0xa63e9b…
11-05 07:58:15	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	248	78¢	$193	0x4a3933…
11-05 07:54:09	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	248	22¢	$55	0x8d6b7c…
11-05 07:53:55	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	144	22¢	$32	0x8540aa…
11-05 07:53:30	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	248	21¢	$52	0xd90bfe…
11-05 07:53:30	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	392	78¢	$307	0x7c946a…
11-05 04:03:12	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	22	83¢	$18	0x1a011c…
11-05 04:03:10	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0x3d306c…
11-05 02:09:10	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	421	76¢	$319	0xfdb24a…
11-05 02:09:10	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	421	25¢	$104	0xbde8e6…
11-04 23:58:16	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	148	2¢	$3	0x843a60…
11-04 23:58:15	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	483	2¢	$9	0xf17047…
11-04 23:58:15	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	361	2¢	$7	0xeef720…
11-04 23:58:15	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	2¢	$6	0xee7488…
11-04 23:58:15	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x609634…
11-04 23:58:15	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	483	2¢	$9	0x2bbd25…
11-04 23:56:40	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	488	1¢	$5	0x3a04f6…
11-04 23:56:39	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	488	99¢	$483	0xf024bb…
11-04 23:56:21	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	253	1¢	$2	0xfe99c6…
11-04 23:56:21	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0xae0497…
11-04 23:56:16	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x03f695…
11-04 23:55:54	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,150	100¢	$1,148	0x5d8d60…
11-04 23:55:54	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	443	100¢	$442	0x5bea44…
11-04 23:55:54	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,061	1¢	$57	0x3485f1…
11-04 23:55:54	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	281	100¢	$281	0x11b947…
11-04 23:24:15	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	21	22¢	$5	0x8492c6…
11-04 23:24:15	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x7d41fb…
11-04 23:23:48	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	54	22¢	$12	0xe5b7c1…
11-04 23:23:46	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x3f52ed…
11-04 23:07:19	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	212	24¢	$50	0x81db48…
11-04 23:07:18	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	212	76¢	$161	0xb92b86…
11-04 21:59:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?	No	BUY	60	7¢	$4	0x8e442c…
11-04 21:59:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?	Yes	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0xea09fb…
11-04 21:44:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?	Yes	BUY	75	93¢	$69	0x2c2e1f…
11-04 21:44:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?	No	BUY	75	9¢	$6	0xd4f00d…
11-04 21:28:24	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	309	71¢	$219	0x742ec4…
11-04 21:28:22	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	1,174	28¢	$327	0xb1d6e1…
11-04 21:28:22	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	865	71¢	$614	0xb03716…
11-04 21:27:18	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0x618bc6…
11-04 21:26:24	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	240	15¢	$36	0x45ff54…
11-04 21:26:22	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	824	85¢	$700	0x75b4b4…
11-04 21:24:03	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	159	86¢	$137	0xaf5b09…
11-04 21:24:03	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	159	14¢	$22	0x3b43e2…
11-04 21:22:30	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x5bcd46…
11-04 21:22:28	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x4a815a…
11-04 21:20:34	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?	Yes	BUY	92	93¢	$86	0x542906…
11-04 21:20:34	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?	No	BUY	92	8¢	$7	0x2da78f…
11-04 20:53:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	55	1¢	$0	0xa79310…
11-04 20:20:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?	No	BUY	687	6¢	$42	0x5f38a6…
11-04 20:20:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?	Yes	BUY	687	94¢	$647	0x1f7e6d…
11-04 20:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	6	26¢	$1	0x2070df…
11-04 20:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	63	26¢	$16	0x1d76b3…
11-04 20:03:43	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	323	21¢	$68	0x01b10d…
11-04 20:03:42	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	56	81¢	$45	0xc534a0…
11-04 20:03:42	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	267	80¢	$215	0x77162c…
11-04 19:48:36	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	149	88¢	$131	0x760322…
11-04 19:48:34	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	149	12¢	$18	0xd38f47…
11-04 19:42:25	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	34	28¢	$10	0xbc3967…
11-04 19:42:25	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0x9e8783…
11-04 19:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	18	26¢	$5	0x7f8cbe…
11-04 19:33:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	23	26¢	$6	0x18e900…
11-04 19:29:48	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	749	6¢	$45	0xcbc941…
11-04 19:29:48	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	334	6¢	$20	0x9cdf50…
11-04 19:29:48	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	1,249	6¢	$75	0x36afd5…