Unnatural-Organising — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$482

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.4%

Resolved

391

Trades

678

lifetime

Volume

$9.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 11-01 13:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% -$482

Other

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	2	$246	159	159	+0	Up	+$46	08-24 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	1	$100	157	0	+157	Up	-$100	09-09 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	1	$100	148	0	+148	Down	+$48	09-10 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$100	204	0	+204	Up	+$104	09-08 05:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$100	156	0	+156	Up	-$100	09-10 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$100	159	0	+159	Up	-$100	09-09 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$100	183	0	+183	Down	-$100	09-09 07:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	1	$100	154	0	+154	Up	-$100	09-11 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$100	196	0	+196	Up	-$100	09-10 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$100	291	0	+291	Up	-$100	09-08 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$100	237	0	+237	Down	+$137	09-09 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$100	179	0	+179	Up	+$79	09-10 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	1	$100	156	0	+156	Down	+$56	09-07 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$100	158	0	+158	Up	+$58	09-08 07:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$100	160	0	+160	Down	+$60	09-07 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$100	159	0	+159	Up	+$59	09-07 04:38
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 12:00 UTC	1	$100	162	0	+162	Up	+$62	08-24 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$100	172	0	+172	Up	-$100	09-01 16:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 03:25 UTC	1	$100	172	0	+172	Down	+$72	08-31 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$100	169	0	+169	Up	-$100	09-04 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$100	152	0	+152	Down	+$52	09-07 06:38
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 04:00 UTC	1	$100	145	0	+145	Down	-$100	08-25 05:32
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 12:00 UTC	1	$100	151	0	+151	Down	+$51	08-26 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	1	$100	192	0	+192	Down	-$100	09-05 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$100	161	0	+161	Up	-$100	09-08 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$100	154	0	+154	Down	-$100	09-07 15:23
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 04:00 UTC	1	$100	154	0	+154	Down	+$54	08-28 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$100	147	0	+147	Up	+$47	09-10 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$100	154	0	+154	Down	-$100	09-05 02:23
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-27 12:00 UTC	1	$100	159	0	+159	Up	-$100	08-27 13:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 13:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x33155b…
10-30 18:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xc1420e…
10-29 19:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x431abd…
10-29 19:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x01eb8b…
10-29 08:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xd7c1de…
10-29 07:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xd741f8…
10-29 06:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x02cee8…
10-28 23:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xa0dd8f…
10-28 14:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x6fb8b3…
10-28 11:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x993c6c…
10-27 22:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x3d1e61…
10-27 04:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x2951fc…
10-27 01:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xf21ec3…
10-26 18:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xd48cc4…
10-26 09:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x1fd2e8…
10-26 08:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xeb7528…
10-26 05:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x0c8f8f…
10-26 00:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9eebb9…
10-25 17:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xeb0e4e…
10-24 06:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xc72406…
10-24 04:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd7a4f9…
10-23 21:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xd8d966…
10-23 21:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xb2d64f…
10-23 13:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4bab6a…
10-23 10:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xd07d59…
10-23 10:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x51eee8…
10-23 06:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x9bb233…
10-22 12:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x4aee3a…
10-22 03:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x2d9f91…
10-21 22:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x5837ac…
10-21 20:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xcfe5ae…
10-21 20:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x5e43a3…
10-21 12:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x2b38a4…
10-21 10:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x6a2132…
10-21 07:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2dc358…
10-20 20:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x22ab48…
10-20 19:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xada4fc…
10-20 15:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x969993…
10-20 09:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb4495a…
10-19 19:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x8d0f83…
10-19 03:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xf9fd87…
10-19 03:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x715e24…
10-18 20:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xc1ff2e…
10-18 10:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x6c65f0…
10-17 19:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x480ad9…
10-17 14:38:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x562e2b…
10-17 13:08:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x65d800…
10-17 09:38:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x28f5ab…
10-16 22:53:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xf2831c…
10-16 18:38:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xb52187…
10-16 07:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x858b41…
10-16 02:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x734733…
10-16 00:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x2f3cc4…
10-15 21:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xa0cae8…
10-15 17:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x3967e3…
10-15 16:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xe95c1f…
10-15 16:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xabb23f…
10-15 13:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x2634a0…
10-14 19:23:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x6489d6…
10-14 15:23:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xa3065c…
10-14 13:23:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x175e95…
10-14 10:53:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xb02b2d…
10-14 04:23:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xed57bb…
10-13 10:23:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x531195…
09-28 06:38:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe247d9…
09-27 00:58:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xd7e655…
09-26 18:43:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	71	46¢	$33	0xc5776b…
09-26 03:58:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	108	46¢	$50	0xebf822…
09-26 02:58:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x63eb87…
09-23 22:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xfd3670…
09-20 18:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0xd97ece…
09-11 02:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x8e72d1…
09-10 20:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x75e942…
09-10 19:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x91e832…
09-10 13:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x60ce22…
09-10 10:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xa02ad7…
09-10 08:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	148	67¢	$100	0xc7ed72…
09-09 16:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x6f6a60…
09-09 07:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0xfef980…
09-09 05:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	237	42¢	$100	0x45cce1…
09-09 00:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0x1fc24e…
09-08 15:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xa1ebbb…
09-08 09:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	291	34¢	$100	0xa56792…
09-08 07:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	158	63¢	$100	0xbc8e57…
09-08 05:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x4da17f…
09-07 22:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	66	60¢	$40	0xd3cf83…
09-07 15:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x45a9cd…
09-07 13:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	160	63¢	$100	0x278f01…
09-07 10:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x3618dd…
09-07 06:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x8abbe2…
09-07 06:08:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-07 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	86	62¢	$53	0x8afca2…
09-07 05:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x681951…
09-07 04:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x1a9f3e…
09-05 02:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x532851…
09-05 01:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	163	61¢	$100	0xde59e0…
09-05 00:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x9fd191…
09-05 00:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0x71f137…
09-04 15:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	74	67¢	$50	0x977c49…
09-04 15:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	35	67¢	$23	0x78de61…
09-04 11:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x60358e…