Flippant-Populist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$485

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-25 06:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

96% 82% +$24

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$71	80	0	+80	No	-$71	06-02 03:05
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$50	100	0	+100	Yes	+$50	06-25 06:57
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$45	100	0	+100	Yes	+$55	05-25 02:20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$43	100	0	+100	Yes	+$57	06-04 04:38
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$39	100	0	+100	No	-$39	06-04 04:38
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$30	100	0	+100	No	-$30	05-25 02:20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$26	100	0	+100	No	-$26	06-25 06:57
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$16	100	0	+100	No	-$16	06-25 06:57
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$16	100	0	+100	No	-$16	05-25 02:20
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$11	100	0	+100	No	-$11	06-04 04:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$0	05-07 01:49
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$6	80	0	+80	Yes	+$74	06-02 02:58
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on June 1?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	06-01 02:22
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-25 07:22
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on June 1?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	06-01 01:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-07 01:49
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on April 29?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	04-30 00:46
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on June 1?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	06-01 01:34
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 7?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-07 01:53
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 7?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-07 01:52
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-19 00:41
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on April 29?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$0	04-30 00:45
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 29?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$0	04-30 00:43
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 1?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$0	06-01 02:21
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on May 10?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-10 02:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 10?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-10 02:40
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	05-10 02:43
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 10?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-10 02:42
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 10?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-10 02:41
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 19?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-19 00:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 06:57:16	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xb92805…
06-25 06:57:14	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xc28832…
06-25 06:57:14	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x780045…
06-04 04:38:13	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xe95a27…
06-04 04:38:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x7fcf45…
06-04 04:38:13	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x53a466…
06-02 03:05:44	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	89¢	$71	0x70942e…
06-02 02:58:58	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	8¢	$6	0x972793…
06-01 02:24:53	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of June 1 above $90?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x223314…
06-01 02:22:29	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on June 1?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x261865…
06-01 02:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 1?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x5af76f…
06-01 01:36:58	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on June 1?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xeded03…
06-01 01:34:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on June 1?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xaccd3d…
05-25 07:22:24	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbe3e7f…
05-25 02:20:52	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x8754a0…
05-25 02:20:52	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x57bae5…
05-25 02:20:52	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x1ebd96…
05-19 01:05:21	Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9684a9…
05-19 01:03:25	Will Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7ebb91…
05-19 00:55:40	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 19?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x423326…
05-19 00:43:09	Will Kling AI: AI Image&Video Maker be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xaf4c0f…
05-19 00:42:17	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcbd92c…
05-19 00:41:19	Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x8c9bb2…
05-19 00:39:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x146671…
05-19 00:37:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8a5bf1…
05-10 02:45:23	Will Donald Trump's tie be another color on May 10, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xecda9c…
05-10 02:44:43	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc1cb57…
05-10 02:44:03	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on May 10?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x1e35c4…
05-10 02:43:22	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa0421a…
05-10 02:42:39	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 10?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4125a0…
05-10 02:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 10?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x87a5d6…
05-10 02:40:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcc9860…
05-10 02:40:10	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x90b253…
05-07 02:08:34	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x95b1d6…
05-07 02:08:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1c77fe…
05-07 02:03:40	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C or below on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1144d1…
05-07 02:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x753237…
05-07 01:58:50	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 86°F or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x42628a…
05-07 01:54:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2d8934…
05-07 01:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 7?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xc1cd11…
05-07 01:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 7?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x0170c5…
05-07 01:52:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 7?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xef49bd…
05-07 01:49:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xdec029…
05-07 01:49:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x591553…
04-30 00:46:34	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on April 29?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa01c7e…
04-30 00:45:48	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on April 29?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x3593f0…
04-30 00:44:34	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x43d809…
04-30 00:43:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 29?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xfd395b…
04-30 00:42:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x96f887…
04-30 00:42:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc53687…
04-30 00:41:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa33591…
04-30 00:40:50	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd54913…
04-30 00:39:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xf2956d…