1 (25 bps)
REGISTERED
neg-risk
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Volume, 24h
$864
Total volume
$426,333
Trades, 24h
33
Traders, 24h
27
Last price
0.018
Created
2026-03-02
how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026
Outcomes
| Outcome | Status | Token id |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | 5871871681… |
| No | — | 8290757792… |
Order book
as of 2026-11-12 20:26:37 UTC| Bids: price | Shares |
|---|---|
| 0.010 | 1,036 |
| 0.009 | 2,000 |
| 0.007 | 143 |
| 0.006 | 333 |
| 0.004 | 333 |
| 0.003 | 1,336 |
| 0.002 | 12,000 |
| 0.001 | 36,281 |
| Asks: price | Shares |
|---|---|
| 0.016 | 40 |
| 0.017 | 1,222 |
| 0.018 | 200 |
| 0.019 | 1,131 |
| 0.020 | 963 |
| 0.021 | 102 |
| 0.025 | 125 |
| 0.026 | 2,000 |
| 0.038 | 4,082 |
| 0.040 | 312 |
Latest trades
newest first · one row per fill, the maker's side| Time (UTC) | Wallet | Side | Role | Price | Shares | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 14:06:56 | 0x9e43…3a11 | BUY | taker | 0.018 | 278 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 14:06:56 | 0x2b15…e84d | BUY | maker | 0.982 | 278 | $273 | |
| 2026-11-12 12:06:46 | 0xf4d0…785e | SELL | taker | 0.982 | 17 | $17 | |
| 2026-11-12 12:06:46 | 0x2b15…e84d | BUY | maker | 0.982 | 17 | $17 | |
| 2026-11-12 12:04:42 | 0xd63f…45e1 | SELL | taker | 0.012 | 535 | $6 | |
| 2026-11-12 12:04:42 | 0xf4d0…785e | BUY | maker | 0.012 | 535 | $6 | |
| 2026-11-12 12:04:18 | 0xd63f…45e1 | SELL | taker | 0.012 | 1,000 | $12 | |
| 2026-11-12 12:04:18 | 0xf4d0…785e | BUY | maker | 0.012 | 1,000 | $12 | |
| 2026-11-12 12:03:46 | 0xd63f…45e1 | SELL | taker | 0.012 | 1,000 | $12 | |
| 2026-11-12 12:03:46 | 0xf4d0…785e | BUY | maker | 0.012 | 1,000 | $12 | |
| 2026-11-12 12:03:20 | 0xd63f…45e1 | SELL | taker | 0.012 | 1,000 | $12 | |
| 2026-11-12 12:03:20 | 0xf4d0…785e | BUY | maker | 0.012 | 1,000 | $12 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:01:02 | 0x9612…542e | SELL | taker | 0.010 | 52 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:01:02 | 0x2b15…e84d | SELL | maker | 0.990 | 52 | $51 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:00:22 | 0x9612…542e | BUY | taker | 0.019 | 53 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:00:22 | 0x2b15…e84d | BUY | maker | 0.981 | 53 | $52 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:10:36 | 0xd8b2…524e | SELL | taker | 0.010 | 52 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:10:36 | 0x2b15…e84d | SELL | maker | 0.990 | 52 | $51 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:05:25 | 0x50a8…23eb | BUY | taker | 0.019 | 53 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:05:25 | 0x2b15…e84d | BUY | maker | 0.981 | 53 | $52 | |
| 2026-11-12 08:14:30 | 0xc51e…ff16 | SELL | taker | 0.010 | 52 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 08:14:30 | 0x2b15…e84d | SELL | maker | 0.990 | 52 | $51 | |
| 2026-11-12 08:13:11 | 0xc51e…ff16 | BUY | taker | 0.019 | 53 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 08:13:11 | 0x2b15…e84d | BUY | maker | 0.981 | 53 | $52 | |
| 2026-11-12 07:00:48 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.010 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 07:00:48 | 0x2b15…e84d | SELL | maker | 0.990 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 06:59:02 | 0xb403…8b60 | BUY | taker | 0.019 | 53 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 06:59:02 | 0x2b15…e84d | BUY | maker | 0.981 | 43 | $42 | |
| 2026-11-12 06:59:02 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | BUY | maker | 0.982 | 10 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 06:30:45 | 0xfc3f…6279 | SELL | taker | 0.010 | 52 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 06:30:45 | 0x2b15…e84d | SELL | maker | 0.990 | 52 | $51 | |
| 2026-11-12 05:16:50 | 0xf49d…a7fd | SELL | taker | 0.010 | 935 | $9 | |
| 2026-11-12 05:16:50 | 0x2b15…e84d | SELL | maker | 0.990 | 935 | $926 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:04:15 | 0x25a9…fde9 | SELL | taker | 0.010 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:04:15 | 0x2b15…e84d | SELL | maker | 0.990 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:03:54 | 0x25a9…fde9 | SELL | taker | 0.984 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:03:54 | 0x38da…1579 | SELL | maker | 0.016 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:03:54 | 0x25a9…fde9 | SELL | taker | 0.980 | 110 | $108 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:03:54 | 0x9e92…a920 | BUY | maker | 0.980 | 110 | $108 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:02:18 | 0xf46a…7eaf | SELL | taker | 0.010 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:02:18 | 0x2b15…e84d | SELL | maker | 0.990 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:02:16 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | taker | 0.010 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:02:16 | 0x2b15…e84d | SELL | maker | 0.990 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:02:12 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | taker | 0.980 | 101 | $99 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:02:12 | 0x9e92…a920 | BUY | maker | 0.980 | 101 | $99 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:02:12 | 0xf46a…7eaf | SELL | taker | 0.980 | 103 | $101 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:02:12 | 0x9e92…a920 | BUY | maker | 0.980 | 103 | $101 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:02:11 | 0x38da…1579 | SELL | taker | 0.980 | 202 | $198 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:02:11 | 0x9e92…a920 | BUY | maker | 0.980 | 202 | $198 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:02:11 | 0x123d…8ad7 | BUY | taker | 0.018 | 3,053 | $55 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:02:11 | 0x9e92…a920 | BUY | maker | 0.980 | 521 | $511 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:02:11 | 0x5a99…261b | BUY | maker | 0.981 | 101 | $99 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:02:11 | 0xc257…6b0c | BUY | maker | 0.981 | 300 | $294 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:02:11 | 0x25a9…fde9 | BUY | maker | 0.982 | 111 | $109 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:02:11 | 0x0f8c…29c9 | SELL | maker | 0.018 | 1,112 | $20 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:02:11 | 0xd715…63c3 | BUY | maker | 0.983 | 200 | $197 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:02:11 | 0xc872…0bc4 | SELL | maker | 0.017 | 2 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:02:11 | 0xf46a…7eaf | BUY | maker | 0.984 | 103 | $101 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:02:11 | 0x38da…1579 | BUY | maker | 0.984 | 202 | $199 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:02:11 | 0x4a6a…7fde | BUY | maker | 0.984 | 101 | $99 | |
| 2026-11-12 01:02:11 | 0x2b15…e84d | BUY | maker | 0.984 | 300 | $295 | |
| 2026-11-11 23:14:56 | 0xa0f5…153c | SELL | taker | 0.010 | 25 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-11 23:14:56 | 0x2b15…e84d | SELL | maker | 0.990 | 25 | $25 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:09:13 | 0xf46a…7eaf | SELL | taker | 0.984 | 42 | $41 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:09:13 | 0xb88d…0c33 | BUY | maker | 0.984 | 42 | $41 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:09:11 | 0xf46a…7eaf | SELL | taker | 0.984 | 42 | $41 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:09:11 | 0xf46a…7eaf | BUY | maker | 0.984 | 42 | $41 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:09:10 | 0x38da…1579 | SELL | taker | 0.984 | 42 | $41 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:09:10 | 0xf46a…7eaf | BUY | maker | 0.984 | 42 | $41 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:09:09 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | taker | 0.011 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:09:09 | 0x2b15…e84d | SELL | maker | 0.990 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:09:09 | 0x3647…6b53 | SELL | maker | 0.986 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:09:08 | 0x38da…1579 | SELL | taker | 0.984 | 42 | $41 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:09:08 | 0x38da…1579 | BUY | maker | 0.984 | 42 | $41 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:09:07 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | taker | 0.984 | 42 | $41 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:09:07 | 0x38da…1579 | BUY | maker | 0.984 | 42 | $41 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:09:05 | 0xb470…eb2e | BUY | taker | 0.016 | 1,152 | $18 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:09:05 | 0x4a6a…7fde | BUY | maker | 0.984 | 42 | $41 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:09:05 | 0x2b15…e84d | BUY | maker | 0.984 | 1,111 | $1,093 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:19:50 | 0x1677…b9a4 | BUY | taker | 0.986 | 557 | $549 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:19:50 | 0x3647…6b53 | SELL | maker | 0.986 | 557 | $549 | |
| 2026-11-11 09:36:27 | 0xaaf8…6c6a | BUY | taker | 0.986 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 09:36:27 | 0x3647…6b53 | SELL | maker | 0.986 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 06:13:40 | 0xfc3f…6279 | BUY | taker | 0.019 | 53 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 06:13:40 | 0x2b15…e84d | BUY | maker | 0.981 | 53 | $52 | |
| 2026-11-11 04:04:12 | 0xe95c…4ae7 | BUY | taker | 0.986 | 163 | $161 | |
| 2026-11-11 04:04:12 | 0x3647…6b53 | SELL | maker | 0.986 | 163 | $161 | |
| 2026-11-11 04:02:50 | 0x1677…b9a4 | BUY | taker | 0.986 | 900 | $888 | |
| 2026-11-11 04:02:50 | 0x3647…6b53 | SELL | maker | 0.986 | 778 | $767 | |
| 2026-11-11 04:02:50 | 0x5a99…261b | SELL | maker | 0.986 | 100 | $99 | |
| 2026-11-11 04:02:50 | 0x2b15…e84d | SELL | maker | 0.986 | 22 | $22 | |
| 2026-11-11 04:02:46 | 0x1677…b9a4 | BUY | taker | 0.986 | 900 | $888 | |
| 2026-11-11 04:02:46 | 0x2b15…e84d | SELL | maker | 0.986 | 900 | $888 | |
| 2026-11-11 03:41:08 | 0xe95c…4ae7 | BUY | taker | 0.986 | 143 | $141 | |
| 2026-11-11 03:41:08 | 0x2b15…e84d | SELL | maker | 0.986 | 81 | $80 | |
| 2026-11-11 03:41:08 | 0xd715…63c3 | SELL | maker | 0.985 | 62 | $61 | |
| 2026-11-11 01:40:28 | 0x5449…4826 | SELL | taker | 0.015 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-11 01:40:28 | 0xd715…63c3 | SELL | maker | 0.985 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-10 22:53:53 | 0xe95c…4ae7 | BUY | taker | 0.985 | 138 | $135 | |
| 2026-11-10 22:53:53 | 0xd715…63c3 | SELL | maker | 0.985 | 138 | $135 |