Hike–Pause–Hike
REGISTERED
neg-risk
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Volume, 24h
$22
Total volume
$1,456
Trades, 24h
2
Traders, 24h
3
Last price
0.952
Created
2026-09-02
fed-decisions-sepdec
Outcomes
| Outcome | Status | Token id |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | 1128694802… |
| No | — | 3152818019… |
Order book
as of 2026-11-12 20:41:16 UTC| Bids: price | Shares |
|---|---|
| 0.951 | 183 |
| 0.950 | 3 |
| 0.940 | 218 |
| 0.930 | 300 |
| 0.920 | 1,000 |
| 0.672 | 3 |
| 0.671 | 0 |
| 0.628 | 23 |
| 0.500 | 6 |
| 0.324 | 22 |
| Asks: price | Shares |
|---|---|
| none | |
Latest trades
newest first · one row per fill, the maker's side| Time (UTC) | Wallet | Side | Role | Price | Shares | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 06:46:27 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | SELL | taker | 0.952 | 21 | $20 | |
| 2026-11-12 06:46:27 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | BUY | maker | 0.952 | 21 | $20 | |
| 2026-11-12 05:58:42 | 0x6199…fa30 | SELL | taker | 0.952 | 2 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-12 05:58:42 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | BUY | maker | 0.952 | 2 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-11 01:40:15 | 0x5449…4826 | SELL | taker | 0.952 | 208 | $198 | |
| 2026-11-11 01:40:15 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | BUY | maker | 0.952 | 208 | $198 | |
| 2026-11-10 13:52:04 | 0x5327…569b | BUY | taker | 0.950 | 18 | $17 | |
| 2026-11-10 13:52:04 | 0x8b79…3fd1 | BUY | maker | 0.050 | 18 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-10 04:39:32 | 0x6199…fa30 | BUY | taker | 0.829 | 2 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-10 04:39:32 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | BUY | maker | 0.171 | 2 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-09 16:08:15 | 0x892c…cc3d | SELL | taker | 0.770 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-09 16:08:15 | 0xda48…1eaa | BUY | maker | 0.770 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-09 16:07:36 | 0x892c…cc3d | BUY | taker | 0.784 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-09 16:07:36 | 0xe7b4…7e38 | BUY | maker | 0.216 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-09 16:07:34 | 0xe95c…4ae7 | BUY | taker | 0.784 | 20 | $15 | |
| 2026-11-09 16:07:34 | 0xe7b4…7e38 | BUY | maker | 0.216 | 20 | $4 | |
| 2026-11-06 13:49:50 | 0x1bff…aded | BUY | taker | 0.765 | 31 | $24 | |
| 2026-11-06 13:49:50 | 0x2b7f…de31 | BUY | maker | 0.235 | 31 | $7 | |
| 2026-11-05 18:36:43 | 0xfb6e…f184 | BUY | taker | 0.329 | 6 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-05 18:36:43 | 0x88c2…a793 | SELL | maker | 0.329 | 6 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-05 18:35:38 | 0xe95c…4ae7 | BUY | taker | 0.329 | 19 | $6 | |
| 2026-11-05 18:35:38 | 0x88c2…a793 | SELL | maker | 0.329 | 19 | $6 | |
| 2026-11-05 18:25:43 | 0xfb6e…f184 | BUY | taker | 0.329 | 20 | $7 | |
| 2026-11-05 18:25:43 | 0x88c2…a793 | SELL | maker | 0.329 | 20 | $7 | |
| 2026-11-05 18:25:36 | 0xfb6e…f184 | BUY | taker | 0.329 | 20 | $7 | |
| 2026-11-05 18:25:36 | 0x88c2…a793 | SELL | maker | 0.329 | 20 | $7 | |
| 2026-11-05 18:25:28 | 0xe95c…4ae7 | BUY | taker | 0.329 | 20 | $7 | |
| 2026-11-05 18:25:28 | 0x88c2…a793 | SELL | maker | 0.329 | 20 | $7 | |
| 2026-11-05 16:03:45 | 0xe95c…4ae7 | BUY | taker | 0.329 | 19 | $6 | |
| 2026-11-05 16:03:45 | 0x88c2…a793 | SELL | maker | 0.329 | 19 | $6 | |
| 2026-11-05 16:02:59 | 0xfb6e…f184 | BUY | taker | 0.329 | 15 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-05 16:02:59 | 0x88c2…a793 | SELL | maker | 0.329 | 15 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-05 16:02:51 | 0xfb6e…f184 | BUY | taker | 0.329 | 19 | $6 | |
| 2026-11-05 16:02:51 | 0x88c2…a793 | SELL | maker | 0.329 | 19 | $6 | |
| 2026-11-05 16:02:44 | 0xe95c…4ae7 | BUY | taker | 0.329 | 19 | $6 | |
| 2026-11-05 16:02:44 | 0x88c2…a793 | SELL | maker | 0.329 | 19 | $6 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:57:25 | 0x892c…cc3d | SELL | taker | 0.671 | 24 | $16 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:57:25 | 0x88c2…a793 | SELL | maker | 0.329 | 24 | $8 | |
| 2026-11-04 01:47:08 | 0x8395…6cb9 | BUY | taker | 0.760 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-04 01:47:08 | 0xda48…1eaa | BUY | maker | 0.240 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-29 00:45:11 | 0x5449…4826 | BUY | taker | 0.820 | 122 | $100 | |
| 2026-10-29 00:45:11 | 0xda48…1eaa | BUY | maker | 0.180 | 122 | $22 | |
| 2026-10-27 08:13:09 | 0x74df…8437 | SELL | taker | 0.240 | 60 | $14 | |
| 2026-10-27 08:13:09 | 0xda48…1eaa | BUY | maker | 0.240 | 60 | $14 | |
| 2026-10-25 15:40:25 | 0x465b…3f69 | BUY | taker | 0.747 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-25 15:40:25 | 0x61bd…2b00 | BUY | maker | 0.253 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-22 15:24:44 | 0xd14c…a660 | SELL | taker | 0.209 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-22 15:24:44 | 0xabc1…1ef6 | BUY | maker | 0.209 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-21 16:28:23 | 0x869c…f041 | BUY | taker | 0.329 | 6 | $2 | |
| 2026-10-21 16:28:23 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | BUY | maker | 0.671 | 6 | $4 | |
| 2026-10-21 01:31:26 | 0x5449…4826 | BUY | taker | 0.712 | 2 | $2 | |
| 2026-10-21 01:31:26 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | BUY | maker | 0.288 | 2 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-16 04:41:10 | 0xe91b…b455 | BUY | taker | 0.628 | 28 | $17 | |
| 2026-10-16 04:41:10 | 0x790e…4c4f | SELL | maker | 0.628 | 28 | $17 | |
| 2026-10-16 04:41:10 | 0x1677…b9a4 | BUY | taker | 0.628 | 212 | $133 | |
| 2026-10-16 04:41:10 | 0x790e…4c4f | SELL | maker | 0.628 | 212 | $133 | |
| 2026-10-15 12:31:03 | 0x1677…b9a4 | BUY | taker | 0.390 | 102 | $40 | |
| 2026-10-15 12:31:03 | 0x88c2…a793 | SELL | maker | 0.390 | 102 | $40 | |
| 2026-10-15 12:15:09 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | taker | 0.610 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-15 12:15:09 | 0x88c2…a793 | SELL | maker | 0.390 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-14 19:10:53 | 0x892c…cc3d | BUY | taker | 0.590 | 25 | $15 | |
| 2026-10-14 19:10:53 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | maker | 0.620 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-14 19:10:53 | 0xdc48…0359 | SELL | maker | 0.590 | 25 | $15 | |
| 2026-10-14 18:20:41 | 0x24cf…07c3 | SELL | taker | 0.410 | 30 | $12 | |
| 2026-10-14 18:20:41 | 0xdc48…0359 | SELL | maker | 0.590 | 30 | $18 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:44:01 | 0x7f74…043c | SELL | taker | 0.410 | 3 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:44:01 | 0xdc48…0359 | SELL | maker | 0.590 | 3 | $2 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:56 | 0xc5f8…0f2c | BUY | taker | 0.382 | 60 | $23 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:56 | 0x790e…4c4f | BUY | maker | 0.618 | 60 | $37 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:52 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | taker | 0.618 | 100 | $62 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:52 | 0x790e…4c4f | BUY | maker | 0.618 | 100 | $62 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:48 | 0xdc48…0359 | SELL | taker | 0.618 | 22 | $13 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:48 | 0x790e…4c4f | BUY | maker | 0.618 | 22 | $13 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:48 | 0xdc48…0359 | SELL | taker | 0.618 | 30 | $19 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:48 | 0x790e…4c4f | BUY | maker | 0.618 | 30 | $19 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:46 | 0xdc48…0359 | SELL | taker | 0.618 | 31 | $19 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:46 | 0x790e…4c4f | BUY | maker | 0.618 | 29 | $18 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:46 | 0x4a6a…7fde | BUY | maker | 0.620 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:46 | 0xdc48…0359 | SELL | taker | 0.620 | 121 | $75 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:46 | 0x4a6a…7fde | BUY | maker | 0.620 | 100 | $62 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:46 | 0xdc48…0359 | BUY | maker | 0.620 | 22 | $13 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:45 | 0xdc48…0359 | SELL | taker | 0.620 | 30 | $19 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:45 | 0xdc48…0359 | BUY | maker | 0.620 | 30 | $19 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:45 | 0x24cf…07c3 | BUY | taker | 0.380 | 31 | $12 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:45 | 0xdc48…0359 | BUY | maker | 0.620 | 31 | $19 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:44 | 0xdc48…0359 | SELL | taker | 0.620 | 30 | $19 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:44 | 0xdc48…0359 | BUY | maker | 0.620 | 30 | $19 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:43 | 0xe91b…b455 | BUY | taker | 0.380 | 30 | $11 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:43 | 0xdc48…0359 | BUY | maker | 0.620 | 30 | $19 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:43 | 0xdc48…0359 | SELL | taker | 0.620 | 179 | $111 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:43 | 0xdc48…0359 | BUY | maker | 0.620 | 58 | $36 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:43 | 0xdc48…0359 | BUY | maker | 0.620 | 121 | $75 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:42 | 0x88c2…a793 | BUY | taker | 0.380 | 179 | $68 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:42 | 0xdc48…0359 | BUY | maker | 0.620 | 179 | $111 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:42 | 0x88c2…a793 | BUY | taker | 0.377 | 112 | $42 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:35:42 | 0x790e…4c4f | SELL | maker | 0.377 | 112 | $42 | |
| 2026-10-14 00:23:22 | 0xb213…39a1 | SELL | taker | 0.001 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-14 00:23:22 | 0xfd1c…f2f6 | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-13 18:30:58 | 0xb213…39a1 | SELL | taker | 0.367 | 126 | $46 | |
| 2026-10-13 18:30:58 | 0x790e…4c4f | BUY | maker | 0.367 | 112 | $41 |