Hike–Pause–Pause
REGISTERED
neg-risk
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Volume, 24h
$1
Total volume
$2,617
Trades, 24h
2
Traders, 24h
3
Last price
0.003
Created
2026-09-02
fed-decisions-sepdec
Outcomes
| Outcome | Status | Token id |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | 1177417257… |
| No | — | 8963233335… |
Order book
as of 2026-11-12 20:45:31 UTC| Bids: price | Shares |
|---|---|
| 0.002 | 451 |
| 0.001 | 1,000 |
| Asks: price | Shares |
|---|---|
| 0.047 | 144 |
| 0.050 | 753 |
| 0.070 | 300 |
| 0.859 | 142 |
| 0.860 | 118 |
| 0.999 | 29,793 |
Latest trades
newest first · one row per fill, the maker's side| Time (UTC) | Wallet | Side | Role | Price | Shares | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 06:46:27 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | SELL | taker | 0.003 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 06:46:27 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | SELL | maker | 0.997 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 06:46:19 | 0x98d3…b92d | BUY | taker | 0.048 | 21 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 06:46:19 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | BUY | maker | 0.952 | 21 | $20 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:23:20 | 0x6313…4719 | BUY | taker | 0.808 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:23:20 | 0xe7b4…7e38 | BUY | maker | 0.192 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-09 20:15:07 | 0xe95c…4ae7 | BUY | taker | 0.808 | 20 | $16 | |
| 2026-11-09 20:15:07 | 0xe7b4…7e38 | BUY | maker | 0.192 | 20 | $4 | |
| 2026-11-07 14:15:17 | 0x7f74…043c | SELL | taker | 0.201 | 5 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-07 14:15:17 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | SELL | maker | 0.799 | 5 | $4 | |
| 2026-11-06 16:34:53 | 0x3d30…a142 | BUY | taker | 0.248 | 298 | $74 | |
| 2026-11-06 16:34:53 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | BUY | maker | 0.752 | 298 | $224 | |
| 2026-11-06 16:34:06 | 0x3d30…a142 | BUY | taker | 0.240 | 227 | $54 | |
| 2026-11-06 16:34:06 | 0x892c…cc3d | BUY | maker | 0.760 | 27 | $20 | |
| 2026-11-06 16:34:06 | 0xda48…1eaa | BUY | maker | 0.760 | 200 | $152 | |
| 2026-10-31 14:11:46 | 0xed4a…b0a0 | SELL | taker | 0.241 | 111 | $27 | |
| 2026-10-31 14:11:46 | 0x892c…cc3d | BUY | maker | 0.241 | 111 | $27 | |
| 2026-10-31 14:11:38 | 0xed4a…b0a0 | SELL | taker | 0.241 | 111 | $27 | |
| 2026-10-31 14:11:38 | 0x892c…cc3d | BUY | maker | 0.241 | 111 | $27 | |
| 2026-10-29 00:26:13 | 0x7ccb…7b43 | BUY | taker | 0.210 | 48 | $10 | |
| 2026-10-29 00:26:13 | 0xda48…1eaa | BUY | maker | 0.790 | 48 | $38 | |
| 2026-10-26 01:59:27 | 0x5b55…5f8c | BUY | taker | 0.228 | 4 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-26 01:59:27 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | BUY | maker | 0.772 | 4 | $3 | |
| 2026-10-25 15:40:04 | 0x465b…3f69 | BUY | taker | 0.232 | 4 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-25 15:40:04 | 0x0391…c22b | BUY | maker | 0.768 | 4 | $3 | |
| 2026-10-22 15:24:52 | 0xd14c…a660 | SELL | taker | 0.161 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-22 15:24:52 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | BUY | maker | 0.161 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-18 23:27:39 | 0x8b33…d68a | SELL | taker | 0.171 | 18 | $3 | |
| 2026-10-18 23:27:39 | 0x61bd…2b00 | BUY | maker | 0.171 | 18 | $3 | |
| 2026-10-16 12:26:49 | 0x1677…b9a4 | BUY | taker | 0.180 | 120 | $22 | |
| 2026-10-16 12:26:49 | 0x211b…366b | BUY | maker | 0.820 | 119 | $98 | |
| 2026-10-16 12:26:49 | 0xabc1…1ef6 | SELL | maker | 0.125 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-16 03:50:33 | 0x1677…b9a4 | BUY | taker | 0.125 | 76 | $10 | |
| 2026-10-16 03:50:33 | 0xabc1…1ef6 | SELL | maker | 0.125 | 67 | $8 | |
| 2026-10-16 03:50:33 | 0x8b79…3fd1 | SELL | maker | 0.125 | 9 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-15 12:15:54 | 0x1677…b9a4 | BUY | taker | 0.906 | 77 | $70 | |
| 2026-10-15 12:15:54 | 0x8b79…3fd1 | BUY | maker | 0.090 | 9 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-15 12:15:54 | 0xabc1…1ef6 | BUY | maker | 0.094 | 68 | $6 | |
| 2026-10-14 10:56:09 | 0x1677…b9a4 | BUY | taker | 0.796 | 120 | $95 | |
| 2026-10-14 10:56:09 | 0x211b…366b | SELL | maker | 0.796 | 120 | $95 | |
| 2026-10-13 20:42:46 | 0xed4a…b0a0 | BUY | taker | 0.220 | 227 | $50 | |
| 2026-10-13 20:42:46 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | BUY | maker | 0.770 | 96 | $74 | |
| 2026-10-13 20:42:46 | 0x211b…366b | BUY | maker | 0.786 | 120 | $94 | |
| 2026-10-13 20:42:46 | 0xa734…dc5a | BUY | maker | 0.796 | 5 | $4 | |
| 2026-10-13 20:42:46 | 0x7f74…043c | SELL | maker | 0.204 | 6 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-13 13:40:07 | 0x1677…b9a4 | BUY | taker | 0.190 | 409 | $78 | |
| 2026-10-13 13:40:07 | 0x61bd…2b00 | SELL | maker | 0.190 | 409 | $78 | |
| 2026-10-13 10:00:46 | 0x61bd…2b00 | SELL | taker | 0.180 | 364 | $66 | |
| 2026-10-13 10:00:46 | 0xa734…dc5a | BUY | maker | 0.180 | 5 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-13 10:00:46 | 0xda48…1eaa | BUY | maker | 0.180 | 359 | $65 | |
| 2026-10-13 05:17:11 | 0x55b0…e201 | SELL | taker | 0.180 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-13 05:17:11 | 0xda48…1eaa | BUY | maker | 0.180 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-12 19:54:30 | 0x82d9…fee7 | BUY | taker | 0.210 | 24 | $5 | |
| 2026-10-12 19:54:30 | 0x61bd…2b00 | SELL | maker | 0.210 | 24 | $5 | |
| 2026-10-12 17:05:05 | 0x24cf…07c3 | BUY | taker | 0.210 | 82 | $17 | |
| 2026-10-12 17:05:05 | 0x61bd…2b00 | SELL | maker | 0.210 | 82 | $17 | |
| 2026-10-12 17:00:20 | 0x24cf…07c3 | SELL | taker | 0.790 | 18 | $14 | |
| 2026-10-12 17:00:20 | 0x61bd…2b00 | SELL | maker | 0.210 | 18 | $4 | |
| 2026-10-12 15:47:56 | 0x7f74…043c | SELL | taker | 0.790 | 3 | $2 | |
| 2026-10-12 15:47:56 | 0x61bd…2b00 | SELL | maker | 0.210 | 3 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-12 15:11:46 | 0x283a…b472 | BUY | taker | 0.800 | 237 | $190 | |
| 2026-10-12 15:11:46 | 0x61bd…2b00 | BUY | maker | 0.200 | 237 | $47 | |
| 2026-10-12 15:10:30 | 0x1677…b9a4 | BUY | taker | 0.800 | 135 | $108 | |
| 2026-10-12 15:10:30 | 0x61bd…2b00 | BUY | maker | 0.200 | 135 | $27 | |
| 2026-10-12 14:16:13 | 0x55b0…e201 | SELL | taker | 0.200 | 28 | $6 | |
| 2026-10-12 14:16:13 | 0x61bd…2b00 | BUY | maker | 0.200 | 28 | $6 | |
| 2026-10-12 14:11:48 | 0x55b0…e201 | SELL | taker | 0.205 | 28 | $6 | |
| 2026-10-12 14:11:48 | 0x55b0…e201 | BUY | maker | 0.205 | 28 | $6 | |
| 2026-10-12 14:10:18 | 0x1677…b9a4 | BUY | taker | 0.795 | 278 | $221 | |
| 2026-10-12 14:10:18 | 0x55b0…e201 | BUY | maker | 0.205 | 28 | $6 | |
| 2026-10-12 14:10:18 | 0x61bd…2b00 | BUY | maker | 0.205 | 250 | $51 | |
| 2026-10-12 14:10:07 | 0x1677…b9a4 | BUY | taker | 0.780 | 269 | $210 | |
| 2026-10-12 14:10:07 | 0x61bd…2b00 | BUY | maker | 0.220 | 250 | $55 | |
| 2026-10-12 14:10:07 | 0x74df…8437 | SELL | maker | 0.780 | 19 | $15 | |
| 2026-10-12 14:10:03 | 0x1677…b9a4 | BUY | taker | 0.780 | 190 | $148 | |
| 2026-10-12 14:10:03 | 0x74df…8437 | SELL | maker | 0.780 | 190 | $148 | |
| 2026-10-12 07:02:26 | 0x3d30…a142 | BUY | taker | 0.247 | 40 | $10 | |
| 2026-10-12 07:02:26 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | BUY | maker | 0.753 | 40 | $30 | |
| 2026-10-11 17:15:06 | 0xe38c…e78f | BUY | taker | 0.247 | 4 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-11 17:15:06 | 0x0391…c22b | BUY | maker | 0.753 | 4 | $3 | |
| 2026-10-11 13:50:14 | 0x3d30…a142 | BUY | taker | 0.253 | 198 | $50 | |
| 2026-10-11 13:50:14 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | BUY | maker | 0.747 | 198 | $148 | |
| 2026-10-10 08:31:32 | 0x2b8f…026d | SELL | taker | 0.746 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-10 08:31:32 | 0x892c…cc3d | BUY | maker | 0.746 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-10 08:29:17 | 0x6790…75c8 | SELL | taker | 0.746 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-10 08:29:17 | 0x892c…cc3d | BUY | maker | 0.746 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-08 14:18:29 | 0x8b33…d68a | BUY | taker | 0.270 | 19 | $5 | |
| 2026-10-08 14:18:29 | 0x892c…cc3d | BUY | maker | 0.730 | 19 | $14 | |
| 2026-10-05 04:34:02 | 0x892c…cc3d | BUY | taker | 0.730 | 134 | $98 | |
| 2026-10-05 04:34:02 | 0x5aab…86ff | SELL | maker | 0.730 | 14 | $10 | |
| 2026-10-05 04:34:02 | 0x605e…efdb | SELL | maker | 0.730 | 120 | $88 | |
| 2026-10-04 13:21:16 | 0x954f…2c7b | BUY | taker | 0.271 | 18 | $5 | |
| 2026-10-04 13:21:16 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | BUY | maker | 0.729 | 18 | $13 | |
| 2026-10-03 17:24:02 | 0x24cf…07c3 | BUY | taker | 0.730 | 101 | $74 | |
| 2026-10-03 17:24:02 | 0x5aab…86ff | SELL | maker | 0.730 | 101 | $74 | |
| 2026-10-03 15:38:08 | 0x9e10…4b39 | SELL | taker | 0.718 | 120 | $86 | |
| 2026-10-03 15:38:08 | 0xda48…1eaa | BUY | maker | 0.710 | 20 | $14 | |
| 2026-10-03 15:38:08 | 0xda48…1eaa | BUY | maker | 0.720 | 100 | $72 | |
| 2026-10-03 15:24:55 | 0x2b8f…026d | SELL | taker | 0.699 | 120 | $84 | |
| 2026-10-03 15:24:55 | 0x605e…efdb | BUY | maker | 0.699 | 120 | $84 |