1 (25 bps)
REGISTERED
neg-risk
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
Volume, 24h
$371
Total volume
$5,775
Trades, 24h
4
Traders, 24h
7
Last price
0.030
Created
2026-06-23
how-many-fed-rate-hikes-in-2026-20260623190717369
Outcomes
| Outcome | Status | Token id |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | 8298059896… |
| No | — | 6258243830… |
Order book
as of 2026-11-12 20:41:24 UTC| Bids: price | Shares |
|---|---|
| 0.020 | 153 |
| 0.010 | 400 |
| Asks: price | Shares |
|---|---|
| 0.040 | 255 |
| 0.050 | 529 |
| 0.100 | 55 |
| 0.990 | 2,089 |
Latest trades
newest first · one row per fill, the maker's side| Time (UTC) | Wallet | Side | Role | Price | Shares | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 18:21:46 | 0x1677…b9a4 | BUY | taker | 0.970 | 380 | $369 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:21:46 | 0x8f36…aca4 | BUY | maker | 0.030 | 164 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:21:46 | 0x8cda…96ae | BUY | maker | 0.030 | 216 | $6 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:21:30 | 0x9ab9…d2cf | SELL | taker | 0.030 | 8 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:21:30 | 0x8cda…96ae | BUY | maker | 0.030 | 8 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 06:43:08 | 0x98d3…b92d | BUY | taker | 0.050 | 20 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 06:43:08 | 0x9a97…6d13 | BUY | maker | 0.950 | 20 | $19 | |
| 2026-11-12 05:58:34 | 0x6199…fa30 | SELL | taker | 0.950 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 05:58:34 | 0x9a97…6d13 | BUY | maker | 0.950 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-10 21:40:54 | 0x26d0…5f45 | BUY | taker | 0.960 | 43 | $42 | |
| 2026-11-10 21:40:54 | 0x8f36…aca4 | BUY | maker | 0.040 | 43 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-10 12:18:08 | 0x8131…7ced | BUY | taker | 0.120 | 8 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-10 12:18:08 | 0x892c…cc3d | BUY | maker | 0.880 | 8 | $7 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:25:31 | 0x8f36…aca4 | BUY | taker | 0.880 | 90 | $79 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:25:31 | 0x26d0…5f45 | BUY | maker | 0.120 | 90 | $11 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:25:31 | 0x8f36…aca4 | BUY | taker | 0.890 | 634 | $564 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:25:31 | 0x26d0…5f45 | BUY | maker | 0.110 | 634 | $70 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:21:51 | 0x1677…b9a4 | BUY | taker | 0.848 | 259 | $220 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:21:51 | 0xcd71…cd7b | SELL | maker | 0.860 | 47 | $41 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:21:51 | 0xcd71…cd7b | SELL | maker | 0.850 | 124 | $105 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:21:51 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | SELL | maker | 0.840 | 88 | $74 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:21:51 | 0x8f36…aca4 | BUY | taker | 0.840 | 212 | $178 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:21:51 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | SELL | maker | 0.840 | 212 | $178 | |
| 2026-11-10 04:46:44 | 0x6199…fa30 | BUY | taker | 0.810 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-10 04:46:44 | 0xcd71…cd7b | SELL | maker | 0.810 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-09 15:54:10 | 0x7f74…043c | SELL | taker | 0.760 | 3 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-09 15:54:10 | 0x892c…cc3d | BUY | maker | 0.760 | 3 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-09 15:49:33 | 0x9ab9…d2cf | SELL | taker | 0.230 | 12 | $3 | |
| 2026-11-09 15:49:33 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | SELL | maker | 0.770 | 12 | $9 | |
| 2026-11-09 15:49:33 | 0x1677…b9a4 | BUY | taker | 0.770 | 171 | $132 | |
| 2026-11-09 15:49:33 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | SELL | maker | 0.770 | 171 | $132 | |
| 2026-11-09 03:46:48 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.760 | 13 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-09 03:46:48 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | SELL | maker | 0.760 | 13 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-09 02:20:35 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.770 | 81 | $63 | |
| 2026-11-09 02:20:35 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | SELL | maker | 0.770 | 81 | $63 | |
| 2026-11-09 02:18:41 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.770 | 108 | $83 | |
| 2026-11-09 02:18:41 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | SELL | maker | 0.770 | 108 | $83 | |
| 2026-11-07 23:55:23 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.230 | 38 | $9 | |
| 2026-11-07 23:55:23 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | SELL | maker | 0.770 | 38 | $30 | |
| 2026-11-06 13:50:48 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.710 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-06 13:50:48 | 0x8f36…aca4 | BUY | maker | 0.710 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-06 13:30:14 | 0x8f36…aca4 | BUY | taker | 0.710 | 448 | $318 | |
| 2026-11-06 13:30:14 | 0xda48…1eaa | BUY | maker | 0.290 | 448 | $130 | |
| 2026-11-05 16:03:53 | 0x24e2…27e6 | SELL | taker | 0.272 | 131 | $36 | |
| 2026-11-05 16:03:53 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | BUY | maker | 0.270 | 101 | $27 | |
| 2026-11-05 16:03:53 | 0x8f36…aca4 | BUY | maker | 0.280 | 30 | $8 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:48:47 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | taker | 0.670 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:48:47 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | BUY | maker | 0.670 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:46:43 | 0x38da…1579 | SELL | taker | 0.260 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:46:43 | 0x8f36…aca4 | BUY | maker | 0.260 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:46:42 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.660 | 4 | $3 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:46:42 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | maker | 0.660 | 4 | $3 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:46:41 | 0x9ab9…d2cf | BUY | taker | 0.660 | 9 | $6 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:46:41 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | maker | 0.660 | 9 | $6 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:46:39 | 0xf46a…7eaf | SELL | taker | 0.660 | 82 | $54 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:46:39 | 0x8f36…aca4 | BUY | maker | 0.660 | 82 | $54 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:46:38 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | taker | 0.740 | 82 | $61 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:46:38 | 0xf46a…7eaf | BUY | maker | 0.740 | 82 | $61 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:46:36 | 0x9ab9…d2cf | SELL | taker | 0.740 | 13 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:46:36 | 0x4a6a…7fde | BUY | maker | 0.740 | 13 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:46:36 | 0x38da…1579 | SELL | taker | 0.740 | 82 | $61 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:46:36 | 0x4a6a…7fde | BUY | maker | 0.740 | 82 | $61 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:46:35 | 0x1677…b9a4 | BUY | taker | 0.260 | 82 | $21 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:46:35 | 0x38da…1579 | BUY | maker | 0.740 | 82 | $61 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:46:35 | 0xdd7a…c59f | BUY | maker | 0.750 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:46:32 | 0x9ab9…d2cf | SELL | taker | 0.750 | 5 | $4 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:46:32 | 0xdd7a…c59f | BUY | maker | 0.750 | 5 | $4 | |
| 2026-11-04 23:28:51 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.210 | 279 | $59 | |
| 2026-11-04 23:28:51 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | SELL | maker | 0.790 | 279 | $221 | |
| 2026-11-04 03:43:41 | 0x7f74…043c | SELL | taker | 0.240 | 6 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-04 03:43:41 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | SELL | maker | 0.760 | 6 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-04 03:39:03 | 0xa56e…4090 | BUY | taker | 0.290 | 345 | $100 | |
| 2026-11-04 03:39:03 | 0x892c…cc3d | BUY | maker | 0.710 | 345 | $245 | |
| 2026-11-04 03:38:18 | 0xa56e…4090 | BUY | taker | 0.290 | 337 | $98 | |
| 2026-11-04 03:38:18 | 0x26d0…5f45 | BUY | maker | 0.710 | 337 | $239 | |
| 2026-11-04 03:38:04 | 0xa56e…4090 | BUY | taker | 0.297 | 337 | $100 | |
| 2026-11-04 03:38:04 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | BUY | maker | 0.700 | 285 | $200 | |
| 2026-11-04 03:38:04 | 0x892c…cc3d | BUY | maker | 0.720 | 16 | $12 | |
| 2026-11-04 03:38:04 | 0x26d0…5f45 | BUY | maker | 0.720 | 35 | $25 | |
| 2026-11-02 06:20:14 | 0x1bc1…5c62 | BUY | taker | 0.300 | 67 | $20 | |
| 2026-11-02 06:20:14 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | BUY | maker | 0.700 | 67 | $47 | |
| 2026-10-30 01:08:13 | 0xa734…dc5a | SELL | taker | 0.700 | 5 | $3 | |
| 2026-10-30 01:08:13 | 0x8f36…aca4 | BUY | maker | 0.700 | 5 | $3 | |
| 2026-10-28 17:49:39 | 0x26d0…5f45 | BUY | taker | 0.800 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-28 17:49:39 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | SELL | maker | 0.800 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-28 17:49:39 | 0x26d0…5f45 | BUY | taker | 0.800 | 9 | $7 | |
| 2026-10-28 17:49:39 | 0xfed5…9e93 | SELL | maker | 0.800 | 9 | $7 | |
| 2026-10-28 17:37:04 | 0xbc3d…3d96 | BUY | taker | 0.230 | 43 | $10 | |
| 2026-10-28 17:37:04 | 0x892c…cc3d | BUY | maker | 0.770 | 43 | $33 | |
| 2026-10-27 17:45:01 | 0x26d0…5f45 | BUY | taker | 0.780 | 30 | $23 | |
| 2026-10-27 17:45:01 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | SELL | maker | 0.780 | 30 | $23 | |
| 2026-10-26 12:05:31 | 0x61bd…2b00 | SELL | taker | 0.740 | 68 | $50 | |
| 2026-10-26 12:05:31 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | BUY | maker | 0.740 | 68 | $50 | |
| 2026-10-25 07:23:18 | 0x112f…6099 | BUY | taker | 0.260 | 137 | $36 | |
| 2026-10-25 07:23:18 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | BUY | maker | 0.740 | 137 | $102 | |
| 2026-10-25 04:58:40 | 0xdad5…3643 | SELL | taker | 0.210 | 170 | $36 | |
| 2026-10-25 04:58:40 | 0xda48…1eaa | BUY | maker | 0.210 | 164 | $34 | |
| 2026-10-25 04:58:40 | 0xabc1…1ef6 | SELL | maker | 0.780 | 6 | $5 | |
| 2026-10-24 08:24:40 | 0x24e2…27e6 | BUY | taker | 0.269 | 74 | $20 | |
| 2026-10-24 08:24:40 | 0x61bd…2b00 | BUY | maker | 0.730 | 68 | $50 |