2
REGISTERED
neg-risk
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Volume, 24h
$0
Total volume
$7,176
Trades, 24h
0
Traders, 24h
0
Last price
0.053
Created
2026-07-27
where-will-2026-rank-among-the-hottest-years-on-record
Outcomes
| Outcome | Status | Token id |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | 2370867494… |
| No | — | 7170560781… |
Order book
as of 2026-11-12 12:05:06 UTC| Bids: price | Shares |
|---|---|
| 0.053 | 200 |
| 0.002 | 29,781 |
| Asks: price | Shares |
|---|---|
| 0.108 | 100 |
| 0.109 | 3 |
| 0.110 | 400 |
| 0.120 | 1,000 |
| 0.997 | 29,973 |
Latest trades
newest first · one row per fill, the maker's side| Time (UTC) | Wallet | Side | Role | Price | Shares | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 15:18:08 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.053 | 3 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:18:08 | 0x8b79…3fd1 | BUY | maker | 0.053 | 3 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-28 10:20:58 | 0x16b0…bc82 | SELL | taker | 0.080 | 548 | $44 | |
| 2026-10-28 10:20:58 | 0x61bd…2b00 | BUY | maker | 0.080 | 548 | $44 | |
| 2026-10-26 11:06:10 | 0xa2f2…17da | SELL | taker | 0.117 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-26 11:06:10 | 0xfed5…9e93 | SELL | maker | 0.883 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-26 11:06:10 | 0xa2f2…17da | SELL | taker | 0.116 | 31 | $4 | |
| 2026-10-26 11:06:10 | 0x61bd…2b00 | BUY | maker | 0.116 | 31 | $4 | |
| 2026-10-24 11:25:45 | 0xcd49…f70c | SELL | taker | 0.867 | 21 | $18 | |
| 2026-10-24 11:25:45 | 0x61bd…2b00 | SELL | maker | 0.133 | 21 | $3 | |
| 2026-10-23 06:31:13 | 0xf46a…7eaf | SELL | taker | 0.128 | 103 | $13 | |
| 2026-10-23 06:31:13 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.128 | 103 | $13 | |
| 2026-10-23 06:28:13 | 0x38da…1579 | SELL | taker | 0.129 | 52 | $7 | |
| 2026-10-23 06:28:13 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.128 | 3 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-23 06:28:13 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.129 | 49 | $6 | |
| 2026-10-23 06:26:52 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | taker | 0.129 | 101 | $13 | |
| 2026-10-23 06:26:52 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.129 | 101 | $13 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:27:04 | 0xf46a…7eaf | SELL | taker | 0.863 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:27:04 | 0x38da…1579 | SELL | maker | 0.137 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:26:54 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | taker | 0.863 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:26:54 | 0x38da…1579 | SELL | maker | 0.137 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:26:51 | 0x38da…1579 | SELL | taker | 0.863 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:26:51 | 0x38da…1579 | SELL | maker | 0.137 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:26:30 | 0xcd49…f70c | SELL | taker | 0.863 | 50 | $43 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:26:30 | 0x38da…1579 | SELL | maker | 0.137 | 50 | $7 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:26:28 | 0xc1b8…d301 | BUY | taker | 0.847 | 203 | $172 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:26:28 | 0x38da…1579 | BUY | maker | 0.153 | 102 | $16 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:26:28 | 0x4a6a…7fde | BUY | maker | 0.153 | 101 | $15 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:26:28 | 0xc1b8…d301 | BUY | taker | 0.847 | 234 | $198 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:26:28 | 0xf46a…7eaf | BUY | maker | 0.153 | 103 | $16 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:26:28 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.153 | 131 | $20 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:26:28 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.154 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:26:19 | 0xc1b8…d301 | BUY | taker | 0.846 | 131 | $111 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:26:19 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.154 | 131 | $20 | |
| 2026-10-22 00:20:30 | 0x24cf…07c3 | SELL | taker | 0.868 | 2 | $2 | |
| 2026-10-22 00:20:30 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.868 | 2 | $2 | |
| 2026-10-22 00:20:28 | 0xcd49…f70c | SELL | taker | 0.868 | 32 | $28 | |
| 2026-10-22 00:20:28 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.868 | 32 | $28 | |
| 2026-10-17 01:04:16 | 0xe2fa…78c1 | SELL | taker | 0.826 | 51 | $42 | |
| 2026-10-17 01:04:16 | 0x16b0…bc82 | SELL | maker | 0.174 | 51 | $9 | |
| 2026-10-16 11:39:39 | 0xe91b…b455 | BUY | taker | 0.741 | 52 | $39 | |
| 2026-10-16 11:39:39 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.259 | 52 | $14 | |
| 2026-10-16 11:39:38 | 0xf479…aa57 | BUY | taker | 0.741 | 52 | $38 | |
| 2026-10-16 11:39:38 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.259 | 52 | $13 | |
| 2026-10-16 11:39:38 | 0xd31e…50c3 | BUY | taker | 0.741 | 52 | $38 | |
| 2026-10-16 11:39:38 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.259 | 52 | $13 | |
| 2026-10-16 07:20:26 | 0x234f…ee31 | SELL | taker | 0.748 | 98 | $73 | |
| 2026-10-16 07:20:26 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.748 | 98 | $73 | |
| 2026-10-16 06:50:22 | 0x24cf…07c3 | BUY | taker | 0.248 | 100 | $25 | |
| 2026-10-16 06:50:22 | 0x16b0…bc82 | SELL | maker | 0.248 | 100 | $25 | |
| 2026-10-16 03:18:16 | 0xba7d…a9be | BUY | taker | 0.699 | 20 | $14 | |
| 2026-10-16 03:18:16 | 0x61bd…2b00 | BUY | maker | 0.301 | 20 | $6 | |
| 2026-10-16 03:16:43 | 0x24cf…07c3 | BUY | taker | 0.699 | 101 | $71 | |
| 2026-10-16 03:16:43 | 0x61bd…2b00 | BUY | maker | 0.301 | 101 | $30 | |
| 2026-10-16 03:01:25 | 0x234f…ee31 | BUY | taker | 0.699 | 100 | $70 | |
| 2026-10-16 03:01:25 | 0x61bd…2b00 | BUY | maker | 0.301 | 100 | $30 | |
| 2026-10-16 02:27:37 | 0xcd49…f70c | BUY | taker | 0.699 | 103 | $72 | |
| 2026-10-16 02:27:37 | 0x61bd…2b00 | BUY | maker | 0.301 | 103 | $31 | |
| 2026-10-16 02:12:50 | 0xe2fa…78c1 | BUY | taker | 0.699 | 51 | $36 | |
| 2026-10-16 02:12:50 | 0x61bd…2b00 | BUY | maker | 0.301 | 51 | $15 | |
| 2026-10-12 15:42:29 | 0x24cf…07c3 | SELL | taker | 0.698 | 77 | $54 | |
| 2026-10-12 15:42:29 | 0x16b0…bc82 | SELL | maker | 0.302 | 77 | $23 | |
| 2026-10-12 15:32:50 | 0x61bd…2b00 | SELL | taker | 0.311 | 176 | $55 | |
| 2026-10-12 15:32:50 | 0xa2f2…17da | BUY | maker | 0.310 | 32 | $10 | |
| 2026-10-12 15:32:50 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.311 | 144 | $45 | |
| 2026-10-12 12:38:02 | 0x24cf…07c3 | BUY | taker | 0.632 | 78 | $49 | |
| 2026-10-12 12:38:02 | 0x61bd…2b00 | BUY | maker | 0.368 | 78 | $29 | |
| 2026-10-12 12:38:01 | 0xcd49…f70c | SELL | taker | 0.368 | 70 | $26 | |
| 2026-10-12 12:38:01 | 0x61bd…2b00 | BUY | maker | 0.368 | 70 | $26 | |
| 2026-10-12 11:44:12 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.368 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-12 11:44:12 | 0x61bd…2b00 | BUY | maker | 0.368 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-12 11:43:01 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.368 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-12 11:43:01 | 0x61bd…2b00 | BUY | maker | 0.368 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-12 11:28:56 | 0x892c…cc3d | SELL | taker | 0.368 | 26 | $10 | |
| 2026-10-12 11:28:56 | 0x61bd…2b00 | BUY | maker | 0.368 | 26 | $10 | |
| 2026-10-12 07:34:37 | 0x24cf…07c3 | SELL | taker | 0.392 | 59 | $23 | |
| 2026-10-12 07:34:37 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.392 | 59 | $23 | |
| 2026-10-12 07:34:35 | 0xcd49…f70c | SELL | taker | 0.392 | 30 | $12 | |
| 2026-10-12 07:34:35 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.392 | 30 | $12 | |
| 2026-10-10 08:29:42 | 0x3455…69ed | SELL | taker | 0.605 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-10 08:29:42 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.605 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-10 03:26:58 | 0x7520…221d | SELL | taker | 0.334 | 57 | $19 | |
| 2026-10-10 03:26:58 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | BUY | maker | 0.334 | 57 | $19 | |
| 2026-09-30 06:44:05 | 0x3455…69ed | SELL | taker | 0.590 | 120 | $71 | |
| 2026-09-30 06:44:05 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | BUY | maker | 0.590 | 120 | $71 | |
| 2026-09-30 06:33:40 | 0x300c…4a19 | SELL | taker | 0.640 | 120 | $77 | |
| 2026-09-30 06:33:40 | 0x3455…69ed | BUY | maker | 0.640 | 120 | $77 | |
| 2026-09-28 21:02:40 | 0x300c…4a19 | SELL | taker | 0.690 | 100 | $69 | |
| 2026-09-28 21:02:40 | 0x32f1…2c3b | SELL | maker | 0.310 | 100 | $31 | |
| 2026-09-27 21:09:59 | 0xe680…facb | SELL | taker | 0.310 | 100 | $31 | |
| 2026-09-27 21:09:59 | 0x32f1…2c3b | BUY | maker | 0.310 | 100 | $31 | |
| 2026-09-27 21:09:51 | 0xec77…4d11 | SELL | taker | 0.310 | 100 | $31 | |
| 2026-09-27 21:09:51 | 0xe680…facb | BUY | maker | 0.310 | 100 | $31 | |
| 2026-09-27 21:09:43 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | taker | 0.310 | 100 | $31 | |
| 2026-09-27 21:09:43 | 0xec77…4d11 | BUY | maker | 0.310 | 100 | $31 | |
| 2026-09-27 21:09:43 | 0x38da…1579 | SELL | taker | 0.319 | 100 | $32 | |
| 2026-09-27 21:09:43 | 0x4a6a…7fde | BUY | maker | 0.319 | 100 | $32 | |
| 2026-09-27 21:09:38 | 0xf46a…7eaf | SELL | taker | 0.319 | 100 | $32 | |
| 2026-09-27 21:09:38 | 0x38da…1579 | BUY | maker | 0.319 | 100 | $32 | |
| 2026-09-27 21:09:37 | 0x24cf…07c3 | SELL | taker | 0.319 | 100 | $32 |