0x7c8285f45212946514b5076cbd66c6f14fc662d7
Positions
100
Open positions
23
Cost
$365,600
Proceeds
$146,662
Value
$14,240
P&L
+$297,851
Realized P&L
+$289,249
Unrealized P&L
+$8,603
Unpriced
0
Positions
mark = the price each position is valued at| Market | Outcome | Shares | Cost | Mark | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | No | 2,852 | $3,285 | 0.851 | +$3,936 |
| June 30, 2027 | No | 3,127 | $11,537 | 0.839 | +$1,460 |
| $2B | No | -9 | $690 | 0.689 | +$1,379 |
| $6B | No | -16 | $2,848 | 0.728 | +$1,342 |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 8,836 | $2,859 | 0.010 | -$1,015 |
| $8B | No | 2,740 | $1,846 | 0.754 | +$584 |
| No migration in 2026 | Yes | 1,091 | $635 | 0.945 | +$396 |
| June 30, 2027 | Yes | 2,876 | $951 | 0.103 | -$338 |
| $4B | No | 404 | $33 | 0.683 | +$243 |
| $10B | No | 1,749 | $1,133 | 0.749 | +$177 |
| June 30, 2027 | Yes | 3,012 | $318 | 0.161 | +$167 |
| March 31, 2027 | Yes | -23 | $740 | 0.070 | +$135 |
| December 31, 2026 | Yes | 649 | $2,017 | 0.018 | +$94 |
| $15B | No | -1 | $614 | 0.722 | +$94 |
| $8B | Yes | 2,066 | $586 | 0.246 | -$78 |
| December 31, 2027 | No | 345 | $5,583 | 0.691 | +$76 |
| 50+ bps increase | Yes | 762 | $37 | 0.068 | +$60 |
| December 31, 2026 | No | 393 | $84 | 0.010 | -$54 |
| $10B | Yes | 1,764 | $488 | 0.251 | -$45 |
| $4B | Yes | 490 | $198 | 0.318 | -$42 |
| December 31st, 2026 | No | -0 | $86 | 0.983 | +$33 |
| $15B | Yes | 2,940 | $834 | 0.278 | -$17 |
| March 31, 2027 | No | 27 | $15 | 0.900 | +$9 |
| December 31, 2026 | No | 10 | $4 | 0.982 | +$6 |
| December 31, 2027 | Yes | 4,197 | $1,301 | 0.309 | -$5 |
| New Polymarket chain | Yes | 0 | $15 | 0.014 | +$4 |
| 25 bps decrease | Yes | 2,242 | $4 | 0.003 | +$2 |
| December 31, 2027 | Yes | 196 | $74 | 0.370 | -$1 |
| March 31, 2027 | Yes | 232 | $18 | 0.074 | -$1 |
| Kevin Warsh | No | 183,454 | $24,415 | 0.961 | +$179,242 |
| Other/None before February 2026 | Yes | 51,355 | $6,062 | 0.977 | +$52,414 |
| No change | No | 98,501 | $101,610 | 0.999 | +$34,982 |
| No change | Yes | 48,658 | $27,873 | 0.999 | +$20,785 |
| 25 bps increase | Yes | 25,582 | $20,515 | 0.999 | +$12,677 |
| 25 bps increase | Yes | 28,639 | $7,205 | 0.001 | -$7,202 |
| Kevin Warsh | Yes | 125,493 | $7,030 | 0.039 | -$7,030 |
| September 30th, 2026 | No | 8,309 | $4,181 | 0.004 | -$4,162 |
| Will Lighter launch a governance token before 2026? | Yes | 23,945 | $24,222 | 0.990 | +$3,860 |
| June 30, 2026 | Yes | 15,948 | $13,363 | 0.969 | +$3,547 |
| Other/None before February 2026 | No | 32,925 | $18,091 | 0.083 | -$3,403 |
| March 31, 2026 | No | 26,544 | $3,345 | 0.001 | -$3,345 |
| 25 bps increase | No | 14,295 | $11,122 | 0.999 | +$3,172 |
| No change | No | 7,646 | $3,135 | 0.001 | -$3,135 |
| December 31st, 2026 | Yes | -23 | $5,448 | 0.987 | +$3,097 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 10,767 | $10,829 | 0.999 | +$2,211 |
| June 30, 2026 | No | 44,745 | $1,857 | 0.001 | -$1,857 |
| September 30th, 2026 | Yes | 6,245 | $4,485 | 0.993 | +$1,761 |
| June 30, 2026 | No | 14,143 | $1,535 | 0.032 | -$1,535 |
| March 31, 2026 | Yes | 1,550 | $315 | 0.991 | +$1,236 |
| 50+ bps increase | Yes | -68,582 | $70 | 0.001 | +$1,095 |
| December 31st, 2026 | No | 9,395 | $1,533 | 0.001 | -$1,087 |
| Will 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin before May 31' YES holders on Polymarket receive any money before July? | No | 687 | $10 | 0.998 | +$973 |
| March 31, 2026 | No | 8,436 | $94 | 0.009 | +$610 |
| Christopher Waller | Yes | 5,482 | $1,269 | 0.001 | -$527 |
| Will Trump release Epstein files in 2025? | Yes | 2,401 | $1,899 | 0.990 | +$502 |
| 25 bps decrease | Yes | -94,000 | $0 | 0.008 | +$412 |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? | Yes | 500 | $126 | 0.995 | +$374 |
| Will Shayne Coplan publicly mention Polymarket's token on stage at 2049? | Yes | 777 | $373 | 0.020 | -$373 |
| Maduro out in 2025? | Yes | 15,820 | $336 | 0.010 | -$336 |
| Will Trump announce the next Fed Chair in 2025? | Yes | 12,115 | $398 | 0.010 | -$324 |
| Will Shayne Coplan publicly mention Polymarket's token on stage at 2049? | No | 605 | $302 | 0.980 | +$303 |
| Kevin Hassett | No | 1,422 | $1,144 | 0.999 | +$278 |
| Christopher Waller | No | 2,384 | $2,232 | 0.999 | +$277 |
| September 30th, 2026 | No | 13,057 | $278 | 0.001 | -$271 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Yes | 4,694 | $4,438 | 0.999 | +$257 |
| September 30th, 2026 | No | 0 | $2,175 | 0.999 | +$204 |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? | No | 520 | $181 | 0.005 | -$181 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million? | No | 1,000 | $160 | 0.001 | -$160 |
| Kevin Hassett | Yes | 2,493 | $227 | 0.001 | -$135 |
| January 31, 2026 | Yes | 12 | $44 | 0.001 | +$122 |
| 50+ bps decrease | Yes | -46,000 | $0 | 0.001 | +$112 |
| Will Trump release Epstein files in 2025? | No | 822 | $91 | 0.020 | -$91 |
| Rank 2 or 3 | Yes | 500 | $80 | 0.001 | -$80 |
| December 31, 2026 | No | 5,000 | $55 | 0.010 | -$55 |
| June 30, 2026 | No | 0 | $1,780 | 0.998 | +$41 |
| 50+ bps increase | Yes | -91 | $380 | 0.001 | -$40 |
| 25 bps decrease | No | 3,157 | $3,121 | 0.999 | +$36 |
| Will 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin before May 31' YES holders on Polymarket receive any money before July? | Yes | 686 | $32 | 0.008 | -$32 |
| >¥20M | No | 2,950 | $39 | 0.001 | -$32 |
| 50+ bps increase | No | 60 | $30 | 0.999 | +$30 |
| 50+ bps decrease | No | 3,000 | $2,976 | 0.999 | +$24 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | No | 4,896 | $23 | 0.001 | -$23 |
| >¥15M | No | 10,000 | $20 | 0.001 | -$20 |
| $550 | Yes | 2,940 | $15 | 0.001 | -$15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | Down | 50 | $35 | 0.990 | +$15 |
| June 30, 2026 | Yes | 0 | $40 | 0.001 | +$15 |
| Polymarket | No | 339 | $325 | 0.999 | +$14 |
| 25 bps decrease | No | 250 | $908 | 0.992 | +$13 |
| January 31, 2026 | No | 12 | $2 | 0.999 | +$10 |
| No change | Yes | 1,600 | $1,592 | 0.999 | +$8 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million? | Yes | 700 | $694 | 0.999 | +$6 |
| 25 bps decrease | Yes | 3,157 | $40 | 0.001 | -$5 |
| $250M | No | 2,000 | $12 | 0.001 | -$5 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | No | 20 | $15 | 0.999 | +$5 |
| 50+ bps decrease | Yes | 3,000 | $10 | 0.001 | -$4 |
| 25 bps increase | No | 1,000 | $3 | 0.001 | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | Down | 99 | $1 | 0.010 | -$1 |
| 50+ bps decrease | No | 0 | $130 | 0.997 | +$1 |
| 50+ bps decrease | No | 390 | $389 | 0.998 | +$1 |
| >¥30M | No | 21 | $0 | 0.001 | $0 |
Latest trades
newest first · one row per fill, the maker's side| Time (UTC) | Market | Side | Role | Price | Shares | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 13:50:30 | December 31, 2026 | BUY | maker | 0.011 | 2,163 | $24 | |
| 2026-11-12 13:50:26 | December 31, 2026 | BUY | maker | 0.011 | 38 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 13:50:22 | December 31, 2026 | BUY | maker | 0.011 | 18 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 13:50:18 | December 31, 2026 | BUY | maker | 0.011 | 44 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 13:50:08 | December 31, 2026 | BUY | maker | 0.011 | 2,510 | $28 | |
| 2026-11-12 13:50:06 | December 31, 2026 | BUY | maker | 0.011 | 76 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 13:49:37 | December 31, 2026 | BUY | maker | 0.011 | 151 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:37:30 | 50+ bps increase | SELL | maker | 0.019 | 36 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:13:03 | 50+ bps increase | SELL | maker | 0.019 | 59 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:12:15 | 50+ bps increase | SELL | maker | 0.019 | 525 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:11:33 | 50+ bps increase | SELL | maker | 0.019 | 59 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:11:23 | 50+ bps increase | SELL | maker | 0.019 | 59 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:11:13 | 50+ bps increase | SELL | maker | 0.019 | 59 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:10:39 | 50+ bps increase | SELL | maker | 0.019 | 60 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:09:40 | 50+ bps increase | SELL | maker | 0.019 | 210 | $4 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:08:28 | 50+ bps increase | SELL | maker | 0.019 | 53 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:07:29 | 50+ bps increase | SELL | maker | 0.019 | 330 | $6 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:07:29 | 50+ bps increase | SELL | maker | 0.019 | 905 | $17 | |
| 2026-11-09 16:55:47 | March 31, 2027 | BUY | maker | 0.550 | 27 | $15 | |
| 2026-11-09 16:48:53 | December 31, 2027 | BUY | taker | 0.370 | 200 | $74 | |
| 2026-11-09 16:47:45 | $15B | BUY | taker | 0.278 | 3,000 | $834 | |
| 2026-11-09 16:47:19 | $15B | SELL | taker | 0.722 | 989 | $714 | |
| 2026-11-09 16:44:51 | June 30, 2027 | BUY | taker | 0.117 | 201 | $24 | |
| 2026-11-09 16:44:51 | June 30, 2027 | BUY | taker | 0.122 | 549 | $67 | |
| 2026-11-09 16:44:07 | December 31, 2027 | BUY | taker | 0.309 | 2,500 | $772 | |
| 2026-11-09 16:42:21 | December 31, 2027 | BUY | taker | 0.306 | 1,200 | $368 | |
| 2026-11-09 16:41:13 | June 30, 2027 | BUY | taker | 0.104 | 1,524 | $158 | |
| 2026-11-09 16:41:13 | June 30, 2027 | BUY | taker | 0.076 | 500 | $38 | |
| 2026-11-09 16:41:13 | June 30, 2027 | BUY | taker | 0.104 | 300 | $31 | |
| 2026-11-09 16:41:04 | December 31, 2027 | BUY | taker | 0.277 | 396 | $110 | |
| 2026-11-09 16:41:04 | December 31, 2027 | BUY | taker | 0.278 | 186 | $52 | |
| 2026-11-06 13:30:31 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 100 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-06 04:24:12 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 157 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-06 04:24:10 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 280 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-06 04:15:52 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 78 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-05 17:43:39 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 15 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:27:34 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 129 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-05 15:27:34 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 129 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-05 14:00:54 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-05 12:10:07 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-05 12:10:07 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-05 08:42:16 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-05 08:42:16 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-04 17:13:41 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 2 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-04 17:13:41 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.015 | 2 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-04 15:21:38 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 119 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-04 15:21:38 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.015 | 119 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-04 15:18:21 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 90 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-04 15:18:21 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.015 | 90 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-04 14:29:20 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.015 | 238 | $4 | |
| 2026-11-04 14:29:20 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 238 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-04 14:28:11 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.015 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-04 14:28:09 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-04 14:27:28 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.015 | 136 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-04 14:27:25 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 136 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-04 14:27:17 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.015 | 201 | $3 | |
| 2026-11-04 14:27:15 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 201 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-04 14:27:05 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.015 | 130 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-04 14:27:03 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 130 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-04 14:26:58 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.015 | 201 | $3 | |
| 2026-11-04 14:26:56 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 201 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-04 14:26:51 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.015 | 124 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-04 14:26:49 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 124 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-04 14:26:43 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.015 | 200 | $3 | |
| 2026-11-04 14:26:41 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 544 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-04 14:26:41 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.015 | 544 | $8 | |
| 2026-11-04 14:26:40 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 200 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-04 14:26:37 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.015 | 105 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-04 12:56:54 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.015 | 37 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-04 12:56:54 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.015 | 102 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-04 12:53:57 | 50+ bps increase | BUY | maker | 0.015 | 125 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-04 12:53:57 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 125 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-27 13:04:25 | June 30, 2027 | SELL | taker | 0.878 | 11,825 | $10,382 | |
| 2026-10-21 14:38:55 | 25 bps decrease | SELL | taker | 0.002 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-21 14:38:42 | 25 bps decrease | SELL | taker | 0.002 | 16,000 | $32 | |
| 2026-10-21 14:19:14 | 25 bps increase | BUY | taker | 0.120 | 2,000 | $240 | |
| 2026-10-21 14:19:08 | 25 bps increase | BUY | taker | 0.118 | 4,568 | $539 | |
| 2026-10-21 04:16:35 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 6,730 | $13 | |
| 2026-10-20 16:51:13 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 8 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-20 15:02:22 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 10 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-20 14:55:56 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 11 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-20 14:43:31 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 113 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-20 10:04:53 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 47 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-20 05:37:13 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 107 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-19 18:50:12 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 5,005 | $10 | |
| 2026-10-19 16:16:15 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 2 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-19 13:50:12 | 25 bps increase | BUY | taker | 0.140 | 2,639 | $369 | |
| 2026-10-19 13:50:12 | 25 bps increase | BUY | taker | 0.140 | 348 | $49 | |
| 2026-10-19 13:50:12 | 25 bps increase | BUY | taker | 0.140 | 200 | $28 | |
| 2026-10-19 13:50:01 | No change | BUY | taker | 0.140 | 1,576 | $221 | |
| 2026-10-19 13:43:53 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 115 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-19 13:43:44 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 128 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-19 13:43:40 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 115 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-19 13:43:27 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 115 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-19 13:43:14 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 692 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-19 08:54:37 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 66 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-18 22:27:48 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 100 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-17 11:37:15 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 133 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-17 11:37:13 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 114 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-17 11:37:02 | 25 bps decrease | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 724 | $1 |