Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$231
$104 in 24h
Trades
22
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$1,141
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 01:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $39 | $39 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $64 | $64 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $5 | $87 | $82 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $68 | $68 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $35 | $35 |
| Median | 9 | $1 | $41 | $40 |
| Below median | 5 | $4 | $10 | $6 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $36 | $36 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swift-Symptom 0xd6d9…cf16 | Yes | +353 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-15 11:57 |
| Vivacious-Deputy 0xa9ab…924c | Yes | +200 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 15:52 |
| Apprehensive-Venison 0xfb88…56ba | Yes | +200 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 13:47 |
| Dear-Gratitude 0x8697…190d | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-15 11:50 |
| Grouchy-Farming 0x9722…a46d | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-15 10:59 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-14 13:19 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-15 21:44 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 06:16 |
| Gigantic-Outhouse 0x208f…88a8 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-15 08:30 |
| Huge-Cria 0x2fea…e651 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-15 08:46 |
| Grubby-Chance 0x9bce…dbdf | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-15 07:14 |
| Common-Experimentation 0x0b57…4a67 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-15 06:54 |
| Earnest-Lymphocyte 0x5982…769a | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-15 08:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xecc6…55bf | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 11:19 |
| Stupendous-Objective 0x0ec4…5ed3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 17:26 |
| Uneven-Textual 0x02c7…8ca5 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 10:54 |
| Hearty-Graft 0x0146…7390 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 11:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 11:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 01:00:59 | Dangerous-Minnow 0xbfb4…96ed | No | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x55f49d… |
| 05-15 21:44:03 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xe96b6f… |
| 05-15 17:26:53 | Stupendous-Objective 0x0ec4…5ed3 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x2cdee7… |
| 05-15 15:52:04 | Vivacious-Deputy 0xa9ab…924c | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xcc6a00… |
| 05-15 13:47:10 | Apprehensive-Venison 0xfb88…56ba | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xc74a4b… |
| 05-15 11:57:01 | Swift-Symptom 0xd6d9…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 128 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x16823c… |
| 05-15 11:50:23 | Dear-Gratitude 0x8697…190d | No | BUY | 35 | 100¢ | $35 | 0x2f00b1… |
| 05-15 11:01:18 | Swift-Symptom 0xd6d9…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 226 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x73806c… |
| 05-15 11:00:27 | Hearty-Graft 0x0146…7390 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xee0eb5… |
| 05-15 10:59:37 | Grouchy-Farming 0x9722…a46d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x3abf75… |
| 05-15 08:46:26 | Huge-Cria 0x2fea…e651 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xc43667… |
| 05-15 08:30:15 | Gigantic-Outhouse 0x208f…88a8 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x447f7b… |
| 05-15 08:19:38 | Earnest-Lymphocyte 0x5982…769a | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x89efc8… |
| 05-15 07:14:30 | Grubby-Chance 0x9bce…dbdf | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x2231d8… |
| 05-15 06:54:24 | Common-Experimentation 0x0b57…4a67 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xa6c428… |
| 05-14 17:31:53 | (anonymous) 0x044d…ca4f | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x074ac8… |
| 05-14 13:19:27 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x633067… |
| 05-14 11:19:26 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x21c769… |
| 05-14 11:19:24 | (anonymous) 0xecc6…55bf | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x2d5f45… |
| 05-14 10:54:35 | Uneven-Textual 0x02c7…8ca5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc64144… |
| 05-14 07:19:02 | Bad-Chrome 0x1d1f…e428 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa6b507… |
| 05-14 06:16:20 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x06f90b… |