Earnest-Lymphocyte — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$100

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$3.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 08-25 09:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

59% 99% -$135

Sports

21% 0% -$6

Politics

19% 100% +$30

Crypto

0% 100% +$11

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$964	489	489	+0	Yes	+$1	04-27 03:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$570	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$30	05-29 07:35
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$556	1,100	0	+1,100	Spurs	-$6	05-28 02:40
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	3	$143	200	200	+0	No	+$3	03-12 11:48
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	1	$140	778	0	+778	Yes	-$140	06-17 01:35
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$87	140	140	+0	Yes	$0	06-17 01:26
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-13 04:59
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 10°C on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on May 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-15 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C or below on July 3?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-02 07:24
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 14?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-13 04:56
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 27?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-25 08:23
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or below on May 26?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-25 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on June 13?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-12 03:54
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 25?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-24 08:27
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 15?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-14 08:18
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C on August 27?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	08-25 09:49
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C or below on May 22?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-21 10:10
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on June 12?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-12 03:50
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on May 15?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-14 08:19
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on May 14?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-13 05:00
bitcoin up or down march 4 3am et	3	$9	20	0	+20	Up	+$11	03-04 07:45
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on May 25?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-25 03:45
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on May 14?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-13 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 26?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-25 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 47°C on May 25?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-25 03:44
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 25?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-25 08:19
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 9?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-09 03:50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 26?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-25 08:54
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C or below on June 9?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-09 03:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 09:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on August 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe6f35a…
08-25 09:49:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C on August 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7765a4…
08-25 09:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x83d72f…
07-24 08:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3a30fe…
07-24 08:27:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf9c3d1…
07-24 08:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf584d5…
07-17 03:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xdcce25…
07-17 03:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2d0807…
07-17 03:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa5aa1f…
07-14 07:31:17	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x140498…
07-14 07:29:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd689a0…
07-14 07:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76504f…
07-02 07:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x279bb6…
07-02 07:24:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C or below on July 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe937fc…
07-02 07:23:23	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6143f…
06-17 01:35:10	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	778	18¢	$140	0xb3f34f…
06-17 01:26:55	Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	140	31¢	$43	0xce0a21…
06-16 23:57:25	Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	140	31¢	$43	0xc9212d…
06-12 03:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x684999…
06-12 03:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x7a4bef…
06-12 03:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on June 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xca07e9…
06-09 03:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbac464…
06-09 03:52:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C or below on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8ea39d…
06-09 03:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfcfb40…
06-09 03:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xf1788b…
06-09 03:48:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1bb48…
05-29 07:35:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,683	10¢	$168	0xd129e2…
05-29 07:34:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xb52c81…
05-29 07:33:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x2f639f…
05-29 07:33:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,296	10¢	$130	0x0da76b…
05-29 07:16:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	9¢	$90	0x19485c…
05-29 07:16:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	9¢	$180	0x86a14b…
05-28 02:40:01	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	550	60¢	$330	0x2d9253…
05-28 01:08:19	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	550	41¢	$226	0x3b72da…
05-25 08:54:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0c5e0d…
05-25 08:45:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf088e…
05-25 08:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x733bd8…
05-25 08:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5adfef…
05-25 08:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x272a4a…
05-25 08:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe527be…
05-25 03:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or below on May 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x444c6b…
05-25 03:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb108f…
05-25 03:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on May 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xff91ad…
05-25 03:44:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 47°C on May 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x60b942…
05-25 03:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 24°C on May 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a06e7…
05-25 03:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3bbf36…
05-21 10:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x88b83c…
05-21 10:13:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8ae930…
05-21 10:12:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 47°C on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98fe9b…
05-21 10:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 71°F or below on May 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd51c9e…
05-21 10:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x057ee1…
05-21 10:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4a0573…
05-20 07:43:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc23df2…
05-20 07:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or below on May 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xa1bdbc…
05-20 07:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5af5f9…
05-15 08:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on May 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xebc784…
05-15 08:19:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 16?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x89efc8…
05-15 08:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x287c9c…
05-15 08:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on May 16?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x327e61…
05-15 08:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa47f2f…
05-15 08:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef0106…
05-14 08:20:47	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 10°C on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x65e98c…
05-14 08:19:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x080e0a…
05-14 08:18:34	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc6c427…
05-13 05:01:32	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x21bd40…
05-13 05:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7f5318…
05-13 04:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbeab39…
05-13 04:58:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x53aff2…
05-13 04:57:13	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 64°F or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f013f…
05-13 04:56:11	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x00b994…
05-13 04:55:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f2e0d…
05-13 04:52:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x373737…
05-13 04:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa99e9c…
05-11 03:50:09	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3c860c…
05-11 03:48:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3e63c2…
05-11 03:47:40	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x30829d…
05-11 03:46:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xef93f4…
05-11 03:45:27	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 0°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xa2305d…
05-11 03:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x842e1d…
05-11 03:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 71°F or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdd1d57…
05-11 03:41:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9eafc7…
05-11 03:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x170e90…
05-11 03:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc267a8…
05-11 03:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc026f4…
05-11 03:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x56c25b…
05-09 07:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x06cfc6…
05-09 07:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x389229…
05-09 07:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc87269…
05-08 09:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x43b13d…
05-08 09:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe970e1…
05-08 09:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb50ecc…
05-07 09:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or below on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x39cba4…
05-07 09:46:17	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 6°C or below on May 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7c91de…
05-07 09:44:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0c00a0…
04-30 04:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C or below on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6a966c…
04-30 04:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7c85df…
04-30 04:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x013b02…
04-27 07:36:32	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x72228c…
04-27 07:34:20	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8196bd…
04-27 07:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x54cb44…