Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on May 8?
open
Total volume
$1,021
$1,515 in 24h
Trades
35
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$4,551
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 09:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $53 | $53 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $1 | $943 | $942 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | — | $524 | $524 |
| Median | 7 | $1 | $223 | $222 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $215 | $215 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $17 | $17 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| unranked | 4 | — | $7 | $7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winding-Eyestrain 0xd2d8…6a99 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 09:05 |
| Wan-Terracotta 0x27d0…7943 | No | +500 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 05-08 06:20 |
| Rectangular-Phenotype 0x02d3…2327 | No | +200 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 05-07 19:26 |
| Well-Lit-Drawer 0x5716…bbf6 | No | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-08 08:00 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +43 | $43 | $43 | 2 | 05-07 07:39 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-08 07:55 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 05-08 07:45 |
| Adorable-Cupcake 0x9d63…6f90 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-07 08:09 |
| Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 06:30 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 23:41 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 07:39 |
| Stupendous-Objective 0x0ec4…5ed3 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-08 08:04 |
| Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 05:30 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 12:19 |
| Rapid-Sheath 0x0dda…7bbc | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 02:33 |
| Unaware-Riser 0x8450…4462 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 03:52 |
| Careless-Core 0x8812…6f3f | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 08:04 |
| Naughty-Tog 0x67c3…98e8 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 07:33 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 09:05:30 | Winding-Eyestrain 0xd2d8…6a99 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x873963… |
| 05-08 08:04:11 | Stupendous-Objective 0x0ec4…5ed3 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xd46a49… |
| 05-08 08:00:25 | Well-Lit-Drawer 0x5716…bbf6 | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0x7bf863… |
| 05-08 07:55:44 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb97973… |
| 05-08 07:55:44 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x17019c… |
| 05-08 07:55:42 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x0c2a65… |
| 05-08 07:55:28 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7ab9d9… |
| 05-08 07:45:47 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xcd6c73… |
| 05-08 07:43:36 | Hasty-Junior 0x6be2…f498 | No | SELL | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x3d2b25… |
| 05-08 07:34:37 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x09af72… |
| 05-08 06:30:27 | Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x3cc473… |
| 05-08 06:20:28 | Wan-Terracotta 0x27d0…7943 | No | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0x4e4bec… |
| 05-08 06:03:38 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcb7a98… |
| 05-08 05:32:19 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x545987… |
| 05-08 05:30:20 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf4faf8… |
| 05-08 05:30:20 | Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xf7ff89… |
| 05-08 05:29:08 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8bb65e… |
| 05-08 04:35:02 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcc99cd… |
| 05-08 04:35:02 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe85763… |
| 05-08 04:35:02 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x41ab45… |
| 05-08 04:35:02 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb2fb35… |
| 05-07 23:41:19 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x9d875f… |
| 05-07 19:26:03 | Rectangular-Phenotype 0x02d3…2327 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x812972… |
| 05-07 12:50:46 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc64f4f… |
| 05-07 12:19:12 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0fc3ee… |
| 05-07 08:29:05 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x60106b… |
| 05-07 08:09:32 | Adorable-Cupcake 0x9d63…6f90 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x99e77d… |
| 05-07 08:04:50 | Careless-Core 0x8812…6f3f | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xb847bc… |
| 05-07 07:39:49 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xecb26d… |
| 05-07 07:39:49 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x0db277… |
| 05-07 07:39:47 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x730c8b… |
| 05-07 07:33:05 | Naughty-Tog 0x67c3…98e8 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xa8b83e… |
| 05-07 03:52:50 | Unaware-Riser 0x8450…4462 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x9f690e… |
| 05-07 02:33:29 | Rapid-Sheath 0x0dda…7bbc | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x123745… |
| 05-06 19:50:38 | Rectangular-Phenotype 0x02d3…2327 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xf93ce7… |