Will the median home value in the US be less than $429,000 on April 30?
closed
Total volume
$835
Trades
60
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-04-30
First seen
2026-04-01
last 04-27 19:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-35.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $7
vs crowd: 35% YES on $715)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $250 | $10 | +$240 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $1 | $445 | $444 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | $3 | $2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $13 | $7 | +$6 |
| Below median | 3 | $114 | $31 | +$83 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 3 | $123 | $414 | $291 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | +499 | $414 | $414 | 22 | 04-10 15:33 |
| Adolescent-Program 0x81b0…858c | Yes | +416 | $114 | $114 | 3 | 04-14 04:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | Yes | +248 | $10 | $234 | 9 | 04-14 04:36 |
| Villainous-Wave 0x03d0…d647 | Yes | +75 | $13 | $13 | 15 | 04-02 01:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c71…14a4 | No | +33 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 04-15 17:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 04-15 17:55 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 04-27 19:30 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 04-27 19:30 |
| Pungent-Meter 0x9e09…c25d | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-10 15:33 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 04-27 19:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x75b0…4e36 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-02 01:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 19:30:38 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x6dc27f… |
| 04-27 19:30:38 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6dc27f… |
| 04-27 19:30:38 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xd6febf… |
| 04-27 19:30:38 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd6febf… |
| 04-15 17:55:02 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x62578c… |
| 04-15 17:55:02 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | SELL | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x62578c… |
| 04-15 17:55:02 | (anonymous) 0x6c71…14a4 | No | BUY | 33 | 90¢ | $30 | 0x62578c… |
| 04-15 17:55:02 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x62578c… |
| 04-14 04:36:19 | Adolescent-Program 0x81b0…858c | Yes | BUY | 203 | 28¢ | $57 | 0x65955a… |
| 04-14 04:36:19 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | Yes | SELL | 203 | 28¢ | $57 | 0x65955a… |
| 04-14 04:36:09 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | Yes | SELL | 203 | 27¢ | $55 | 0x602c62… |
| 04-14 04:36:09 | Adolescent-Program 0x81b0…858c | Yes | BUY | 203 | 27¢ | $55 | 0x602c62… |
| 04-14 04:31:27 | Adolescent-Program 0x81b0…858c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x6f0555… |
| 04-14 04:31:27 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | BUY | 9 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x6f0555… |
| 04-10 15:33:47 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xecc623… |
| 04-10 15:33:47 | Pungent-Meter 0x9e09…c25d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xecc623… |
| 04-02 01:38:37 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x269be7… |
| 04-02 01:38:37 | (anonymous) 0x75b0…4e36 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x269be7… |
| 04-02 01:34:23 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | Yes | BUY | 339 | 16¢ | $54 | 0xef5c16… |
| 04-02 01:34:23 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | BUY | 339 | 84¢ | $285 | 0xef5c16… |
| 04-02 01:26:29 | Villainous-Wave 0x03d0…d647 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x84bd9e… |
| 04-02 01:26:29 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x84bd9e… |
| 04-02 01:15:31 | Villainous-Wave 0x03d0…d647 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x5d64a2… |
| 04-02 01:15:31 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x5d64a2… |
| 04-02 01:02:33 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xc9cf8b… |
| 04-02 01:02:33 | Villainous-Wave 0x03d0…d647 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xc9cf8b… |
| 04-02 00:47:51 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x1090b9… |
| 04-02 00:47:51 | Villainous-Wave 0x03d0…d647 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x1090b9… |
| 04-02 00:27:07 | Villainous-Wave 0x03d0…d647 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xb0a505… |
| 04-02 00:27:07 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xb0a505… |
| 04-02 00:14:43 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xc98254… |
| 04-02 00:14:43 | Villainous-Wave 0x03d0…d647 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xc98254… |
| 04-02 00:03:59 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x881157… |
| 04-02 00:03:59 | Villainous-Wave 0x03d0…d647 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x881157… |
| 04-01 23:48:17 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xeae75a… |
| 04-01 23:48:17 | Villainous-Wave 0x03d0…d647 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xeae75a… |
| 04-01 23:36:09 | Villainous-Wave 0x03d0…d647 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x321635… |
| 04-01 23:36:09 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x321635… |
| 04-01 23:21:29 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x3846b1… |
| 04-01 23:21:29 | Villainous-Wave 0x03d0…d647 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x3846b1… |
| 04-01 23:11:49 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x504f1a… |
| 04-01 23:11:49 | Villainous-Wave 0x03d0…d647 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x504f1a… |
| 04-01 22:56:35 | Villainous-Wave 0x03d0…d647 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x58be90… |
| 04-01 22:56:35 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x58be90… |
| 04-01 22:44:31 | Villainous-Wave 0x03d0…d647 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x95f196… |
| 04-01 22:44:31 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x95f196… |
| 04-01 22:29:05 | Villainous-Wave 0x03d0…d647 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xe96600… |
| 04-01 22:29:05 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xe96600… |
| 04-01 22:21:57 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xb3fa53… |
| 04-01 22:21:57 | Villainous-Wave 0x03d0…d647 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xb3fa53… |
| 04-01 22:03:13 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | Yes | BUY | 35 | 19¢ | $7 | 0x916c1b… |
| 04-01 22:03:13 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x916c1b… |
| 04-01 21:54:23 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x438480… |
| 04-01 21:54:23 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | Yes | BUY | 35 | 19¢ | $7 | 0x438480… |
| 04-01 21:35:11 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | Yes | BUY | 35 | 19¢ | $7 | 0x9a5c5a… |
| 04-01 21:35:11 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x9a5c5a… |
| 04-01 16:31:37 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x0ee4ed… |
| 04-01 16:31:37 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | Yes | BUY | 105 | 18¢ | $19 | 0x0ee4ed… |
| 04-01 16:19:39 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | Yes | BUY | 105 | 27¢ | $28 | 0x0d4232… |
| 04-01 16:19:39 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x0d4232… |