Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$125,530

Trades

10,630

Unique wallets

1,905

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-03-12

First seen

2026-03-11

last 03-12 20:21

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +4,811 (anon) +3,772 (anon) +3,439 (anon) +3,186 (anon) +2,444 (anon) +2,384 (anon) +2,222 Lustrous-Painter +1,763

NO holders

Complete-Yourself +6,841 (anon) +4,093 (anon) +3,826 (anon) +3,280 (anon) +3,156 (anon) +2,854 (anon) +2,795 (anon) +2,444

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +0.2¢ (top1%: 24% YES on $56.8K vs crowd: 24% YES on $113.7K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	174	$16.5K	$53.6K	$37.1K
🐬 Dolphin	418	$5.6K	$20.8K	$15.2K
🐟 Fish	679	$3.1K	$9.7K	$6.6K
🦐 Shrimp	634	$1.8K	$2.5K	$703

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	157	$13.7K	$43.1K	$29.5K
🏆 Top 5%	188	$2.2K	$8.8K	$6.6K
✅ Top 10%	133	$195	$3.3K	$3.1K
Median	155	$127	$1.0K	$920
Below median	610	$1.3K	$6.8K	$5.5K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	286	$1.4K	$4.6K	$3.2K
🔻 Bottom 5%	248	$4.4K	$10.3K	$5.9K
💀 Bottom 1%	128	$3.7K	$8.6K	$4.9K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Complete-Yourself 0x278c…a9a1	Down	+6,841	$6,780	$6,780	39	03-12 20:21
(anonymous) 0x3143…69ff	Up	+4,811	$48	$48	2	03-12 20:20
(anonymous) 0x1e3c…8a62	Down	+4,093	$2,997	$2,997	226	03-12 20:19
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	Down	+3,826	$2,653	$2,653	108	03-12 20:18
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	Up	+3,772	$1,190	$1,190	157	03-12 20:18
(anonymous) 0x1e3c…8a62	Up	+3,439	$1,041	$1,041	233	03-12 20:19
(anonymous) 0xd84c…07b9	Down	+3,280	$3,116	$3,116	51	03-12 20:20
(anonymous) 0xd1eb…0f5c	Up	+3,186	$898	$898	111	03-12 20:19
(anonymous) 0xd1eb…0f5c	Down	+3,156	$2,187	$2,187	57	03-12 20:19
(anonymous) 0xba26…23c9	Down	+2,854	$2,812	$2,812	28	03-12 20:19
(anonymous) 0x1f0e…cf86	Down	+2,795	$1,703	$1,703	30	03-12 20:18
(anonymous) 0xb4d2…9ee1	Up	+2,444	$967	$967	13	03-12 20:18
(anonymous) 0xb4d2…9ee1	Down	+2,444	$1,491	$1,491	13	03-12 20:18
(anonymous) 0x1f0e…cf86	Up	+2,384	$1,084	$1,084	24	03-12 20:19
(anonymous) 0x4ee6…4594	Up	+2,222	$20	$20	1	03-12 20:19
(anonymous) 0xed48…5636	Down	+2,031	$2,000	$2,000	2	03-12 20:19
Lustrous-Painter 0x9b2b…5752	Up	+1,763	$902	$902	2	03-12 20:15
(anonymous) 0xa45f…2429	Down	+1,565	$928	$928	123	03-12 20:18
(anonymous) 0x827e…e4cf	Up	+1,546	$155	$155	5	03-12 20:18
(anonymous) 0xa45f…2429	Up	+1,452	$598	$598	115	03-12 20:18
(anonymous) 0x3963…2b0b	Down	+1,416	$978	$978	72	03-12 20:19
(anonymous) 0x2eb5…f4d4	Down	+1,356	$763	$763	48	03-12 20:18
(anonymous) 0x3963…2b0b	Up	+1,339	$434	$434	76	03-12 20:19
(anonymous) 0x2eb5…f4d4	Up	+1,331	$576	$576	17	03-12 20:18
(anonymous) 0xddd5…3a32	Down	+1,266	$1,223	$1,223	4	03-12 20:19
(anonymous) 0xdc24…4ab5	Down	+1,147	$745	$745	58	03-12 20:17
Notable-Dynasty 0x8851…3f95	Down	+1,145	$789	$789	1	03-12 20:16
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	Up	+1,134	$413	$413	100	03-12 20:19
(anonymous) 0x6318…3313	Up	+1,111	$10	$10	1	03-12 20:20
Melodic-Center 0x0999…b4e2	Up	+1,100	$350	$350	59	03-12 20:18
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	Down	+1,081	$699	$699	86	03-12 20:19
(anonymous) 0x70ec…bb5d	Up	+1,078	$327	$327	110	03-12 20:19
(anonymous) 0x70ec…bb5d	Down	+1,067	$730	$730	102	03-12 20:19
(anonymous) 0x29bc…683c	Down	+1,050	$627	$700	28	03-12 20:18
(anonymous) 0x098f…3da0	Up	+1,049	$21	$21	42	03-12 20:19
(anonymous) 0xf722…b5db	Down	+1,009	$1,000	$1,000	26	03-12 20:20
(anonymous) 0x67d9…2bb4	Down	+1,003	$714	$714	64	03-12 20:19
(anonymous) 0x67d9…2bb4	Up	+1,000	$240	$240	77	03-12 20:19
Difficult-Table 0xeaf1…c64e	Down	+1,000	$990	$990	1	03-12 20:19
Dense-Semantics 0x00e0…8a94	Up	+1,000	$400	$400	30	03-12 20:16
(anonymous) 0x212a…83cf	Down	+997	$988	$988	6	03-12 20:19
(anonymous) 0xdc24…4ab5	Up	+936	$495	$495	41	03-12 20:17
(anonymous) 0x2ad0…596d	Up	+924	$60	$60	5	03-12 20:19
(anonymous) 0x7a1f…1033	Up	+920	$132	$132	10	03-12 20:19
Submissive-Personality 0x8fc2…a7ef	Down	+909	$900	$900	2	03-12 20:19
Humongous-Fountain 0x737d…1f6b	Down	+900	$878	$878	28	03-12 20:19
(anonymous) 0x8b69…f11b	Up	+897	$50	$50	5	03-12 20:19
Rubbery-Chiffonier 0xe8d6…c964	Up	+870	$11	$11	2	03-12 20:19
Canine-Folklore 0xaef3…9f90	Up	+864	$27	$30	64	03-12 20:19
(anonymous) 0x84dc…8518	Up	+838	$200	$200	4	03-12 20:18
Slim-Recovery 0x8de6…6a4e	Up	+826	$368	$368	37	03-12 20:16
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Down	+801	$527	$527	43	03-12 20:18
(anonymous) 0x970e…5c26	Down	+800	$405	$405	1	03-12 20:10
Open-Location 0x90c9…7e8b	Up	+800	$10	$10	9	03-12 20:19
Attractive-Spleen 0x88ac…fb0b	Up	+800	$10	$10	19	03-12 20:19
(anonymous) 0x29bc…683c	Up	+776	$373	$1,240	159	03-12 20:18
(anonymous) 0x9fbe…8386	Down	+729	$700	$700	2	03-12 20:18
(anonymous) 0x098f…3da0	Down	+726	$705	$705	24	03-12 20:19
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	Down	+690	$467	$467	43	03-12 20:18
(anonymous) 0xd045…a1ff	Down	+683	$405	$405	45	03-12 20:19