Bare-Initialise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

77.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$46

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$30

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-14 21:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% 0% $-1

Politics

47% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No		+20	$18	88¢	$18	$-0	05-14 21:12
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	Yes		-13	$-12	90¢	$-12	+$0	05-13 21:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 21:12:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xb84f8f…
05-14 15:31:10	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x31892c…
05-13 21:48:23	Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x432879…
05-08 18:47:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xd1c409…
05-07 20:06:08	Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	95	1¢	$1	0x3d8c88…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	05-14 21:12
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	1	$12	0	13	-13	open	—	05-13 21:48
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	1	$11	0	11	-11	open	—	05-14 15:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$3	6	0	+6	Yes	+$3	05-08 18:47
Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	1	$1	95	0	+95	No	$-1	05-07 20:06