Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$184
$492 in 24h
Trades
22
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$1,403
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 02:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $79 | $79 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | — | $104 | $104 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $105 | $105 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | — | $29 | $29 |
| Median | 5 | — | $20 | $20 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $28 | $28 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +80 | $79 | $79 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| French-Boundary 0x3b8c…e802 | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 05-10 02:03 |
| Monstrous-Divan 0x6086…a5f9 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-09 19:02 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-10 02:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x6596…ed47 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 02:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xf514…8e20 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 02:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xae0d…d398 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 02:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd73…ec44 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 02:33 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 15:52 |
| Advanced-Lunch 0xd7fa…013a | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 02:40:27 | (anonymous) 0x6596…ed47 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x40c6df… |
| 05-10 02:40:27 | (anonymous) 0xf514…8e20 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5ad1fc… |
| 05-10 02:40:22 | (anonymous) 0xae0d…d398 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3df509… |
| 05-10 02:33:54 | (anonymous) 0xbd73…ec44 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x91e1a9… |
| 05-10 02:20:51 | Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb3956b… |
| 05-10 02:03:55 | French-Boundary 0x3b8c…e802 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x363f39… |
| 05-10 01:00:51 | Advanced-Lunch 0xd7fa…013a | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xacf8e7… |
| 05-10 01:00:49 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4f7ba2… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6478aa… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x065209… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x14e38b… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x8c4691… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4783a2… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7e7622… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6b4327… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfef4ae… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 80 | 99¢ | $79 | 0x0dbae1… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2f2a89… |
| 05-09 19:02:31 | Monstrous-Divan 0x6086…a5f9 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xe99143… |
| 05-09 15:52:38 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x490da0… |
| 05-09 10:05:23 | Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x719a51… |
| 05-09 06:29:34 | French-Boundary 0x3b8c…e802 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x521eb7… |