Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$144,516

Trades

6,875

Unique wallets

1,476

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-03-16

First seen

2026-03-15

last 03-16 08:06

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Near-Adjustment +8,890 (anon) +6,745 (anon) +5,648 (anon) +4,381 (anon) +2,812 Wan-Promenade +2,000 (anon) +1,850 (anon) +1,790

NO holders

(anon) +16,428 (anon) +3,541 Unlawful-Autumn +3,066 (anon) +2,683 (anon) +2,247 (anon) +2,000 (anon) +2,000 (anon) +1,981

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -0.9¢ (top1%: 92% YES on $51.1K vs crowd: 93% YES on $126.2K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	185	$68.0K	$3.8K	+$64.2K
🐬 Dolphin	386	$39.8K	$2.5K	+$37.3K
🐟 Fish	513	$8.2K	$1.7K	+$6.5K
🦐 Shrimp	392	$1.1K	$1.1K	+$90

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	160	$46.9K	$4.1K	+$42.8K
🏆 Top 5%	199	$14.5K	$1.0K	+$13.5K
✅ Top 10%	125	$2.7K	$318	+$2.4K
Median	137	$1.1K	$156	+$991
Below median	390	$3.2K	$796	+$2.4K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	170	$3.2K	$527	+$2.6K
🔻 Bottom 5%	201	$22.1K	$1.1K	+$21.1K
💀 Bottom 1%	94	$23.4K	$1.0K	+$22.4K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0x6be5…32d4	Down	+16,428	$553	$553	65	03-16 08:03
Near-Adjustment 0xa5c3…1f5f	Up	+8,890	$8,881	$8,881	14	03-16 08:04
(anonymous) 0x3623…0f76	Up	+6,745	$6,644	$16,634	54	03-16 08:06
(anonymous) 0x0b79…b400	Up	+5,648	$5,440	$5,440	27	03-16 08:01
(anonymous) 0x5485…04a0	Up	+4,381	$4,339	$4,339	19	03-16 08:05
(anonymous) 0x30af…1879	Down	+3,541	$35	$35	50	03-16 08:02
Unlawful-Autumn 0xdc43…ce91	Down	+3,066	$60	$60	7	03-16 08:03
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	Up	+2,812	$2,354	$2,354	82	03-16 08:03
(anonymous) 0xbc84…20fd	Down	+2,683	$21	$21	8	03-16 08:04
(anonymous) 0x098f…3da0	Down	+2,247	$42	$42	65	03-16 08:03
(anonymous) 0x1ee6…74a4	Down	+2,000	$21	$21	2	03-16 08:04
(anonymous) 0x7712…88fa	Down	+2,000	$2	$2	1	03-16 08:04
Wan-Promenade 0x4305…bab7	Up	+2,000	$1,980	$1,980	13	03-16 08:03
(anonymous) 0x1f0e…cf86	Down	+1,981	$40	$40	54	03-16 08:01
(anonymous) 0xecd1…6256	Down	+1,965	$53	$53	5	03-16 08:03
Poised-Classmate 0x41aa…dbd1	Down	+1,945	$38	$38	72	03-16 08:03
(anonymous) 0x1f0e…cf86	Up	+1,850	$1,809	$1,809	4	03-16 08:02
(anonymous) 0x7a1f…1033	Up	+1,790	$1,653	$1,653	16	03-16 08:01
Sweet-Captain 0x59d9…1301	Up	+1,780	$1,779	$1,779	6	03-16 08:04
(anonymous) 0x2eb5…f4d4	Down	+1,605	$60	$60	52	03-16 08:03
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	Down	+1,590	$366	$366	79	03-16 08:01
Poised-Classmate 0x41aa…dbd1	Up	+1,576	$1,529	$1,529	40	03-16 08:03
(anonymous) 0xf73e…604c	Up	+1,512	$1,497	$1,497	9	03-16 08:03
(anonymous) 0x2eb5…f4d4	Up	+1,509	$1,460	$1,460	28	03-16 08:03
(anonymous) 0x4ebe…37a5	Up	+1,500	$1,465	$1,465	8	03-16 08:02
(anonymous) 0xba26…23c9	Up	+1,500	$1,485	$1,485	10	03-16 08:03
Notable-Snuggle 0xadce…a482	Up	+1,500	$1,474	$1,474	5	03-16 08:04
(anonymous) 0xe6ab…cd8d	Down	+1,333	$40	$40	2	03-16 08:01
Sturdy-Chinchilla 0xd1dc…cc46	Up	+1,332	$1,302	$1,302	8	03-16 08:03
Sturdy-Chinchilla 0xd1dc…cc46	Down	+1,332	$17	$17	2	03-16 08:03
(anonymous) 0x098f…3da0	Up	+1,315	$1,274	$1,274	30	03-16 08:03
Plaintive-Allergist 0x4b1c…1e90	Down	+1,250	$42	$42	58	03-16 08:02
Feisty-Attempt 0xc5ab…8bca	Down	+1,250	$20	$20	6	03-16 08:03
Insignificant-Fund 0x6743…34d0	Down	+1,230	$2	$2	2	03-16 08:04
(anonymous) 0x29bc…683c	Down	+1,226	$257	$394	73	03-16 08:01
(anonymous) 0xd07a…fa94	Down	+1,221	$9	$9	13	03-16 08:04
Intentional-Mini 0x89a0…b8a2	Down	+1,218	$27	$27	7	03-16 08:02
(anonymous) 0x2633…ce1e	Down	+1,205	$45	$45	4	03-16 08:03
(anonymous) 0xa1a6…41d0	Up	+1,200	$1,159	$1,159	23	03-16 08:02
(anonymous) 0x0ea5…17e4	Up	+1,200	$1,140	$1,140	8	03-16 08:03
(anonymous) 0x6c82…34ac	Down	+1,183	$30	$30	3	03-16 08:02
(anonymous) 0x3d3a…f3ae	Down	+1,108	$50	$50	1	03-16 08:01
High-Adverb 0x680f…668d	Down	+1,067	$11	$11	12	03-16 08:03
(anonymous) 0x4bbc…bf46	Up	+1,000	$990	$990	1	03-16 08:02
Minor-Reluctance 0xad88…d4fd	Down	+1,000	$1	$1	1	03-16 08:04
Soft-Action 0xd856…a9c9	Down	+1,000	$1	$1	1	03-16 08:04
Loud-Astrolabe 0xd26a…c5ea	Up	+1,000	$999	$999	3	03-16 08:04
Used-Wont 0xac61…4f1b	Down	+960	$32	$32	1	03-16 08:01
Grumpy-Haversack 0x9481…b947	Up	+943	$934	$934	13	03-16 08:04
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	Up	+852	$730	$730	50	03-16 08:03
(anonymous) 0xffdb…1aee	Down	+850	$85	$105	20	03-16 08:03
(anonymous) 0x253a…af26	Down	+839	$82	$82	18	03-16 08:01
Juicy-Comedy 0xb482…2ac7	Up	+825	$817	$817	10	03-16 08:04
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	Down	+809	$22	$22	2	03-16 08:02
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Up	+806	$628	$628	49	03-16 08:00
(anonymous) 0x29bc…683c	Up	+801	$567	$567	36	03-16 08:01
(anonymous) 0x970e…5c26	Up	+800	$423	$423	1	03-16 07:55
(anonymous) 0x253a…af26	Up	+785	$682	$682	13	03-16 08:03
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	Up	+684	$603	$603	8	03-16 08:01
(anonymous) 0xe392…7922	Up	+672	$669	$669	2	03-16 08:04