Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-17?
open
Total volume
$1,927
Trades
85
Unique wallets
59
Liquidity
$3,783
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-16
last 05-17 06:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-14.3¢
(top1%: 21% YES on $60
vs crowd: 35% YES on $1.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $13 | $48 | $35 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $9 | $63 | $54 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $29 | $812 | $783 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 44 | $577 | $230 | +$346 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $13 | $48 | $35 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $115 | $688 | $574 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $7 | $29 | $22 |
| Median | 11 | $6 | $112 | $106 |
| Below median | 12 | $26 | $42 | $16 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $30 | $2 | +$28 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $20 | $148 | $128 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $404 | $66 | +$338 |
| unranked | 8 | $8 | $19 | $11 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twin-Gum 0x26a6…dede | Yes | +2,328 | $391 | $391 | 1 | 05-17 04:59 |
| Mellow-Settlement 0x9b55…1167 | No | +353 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 05-17 04:54 |
| Artistic-Temporariness 0xc117…6dda | Yes | +300 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 05-17 05:02 |
| Unripe-Bamboo 0xdb71…10cd | Yes | +275 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 05-17 04:54 |
| Demanding-Standoff 0x325f…4511 | No | +214 | $178 | $178 | 4 | 05-17 05:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x697e…9904 | No | +118 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 05-17 05:02 |
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | +114 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 05-17 05:49 |
| Instructive-Use 0x320b…6057 | Yes | +105 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-17 04:33 |
| Near-Failure 0x629d…756c | Yes | +100 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-17 05:49 |
| Flat-Riot 0x9fd7…d5a3 | No | +98 | $73 | $73 | 1 | 05-17 04:24 |
| Pleasing-Liability 0x8de6…8b3c | No | +98 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 05-17 04:24 |
| Insistent-Kit 0x204e…8d08 | No | +97 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 05-17 05:57 |
| Stylish-Wasabi 0x8b0b…12ff | Yes | +82 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-17 03:33 |
| Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995 | No | +74 | $63 | $63 | 4 | 05-17 05:29 |
| Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | Yes | +55 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-17 05:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x1526…e5f5 | Yes | +54 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-17 05:52 |
| Blue-Hexagon-Dial 0x2b7d…d2dc | No | +53 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-17 04:09 |
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | +53 | $48 | $48 | 3 | 05-17 05:49 |
| Peaceful-Goggles 0x352b…abd8 | Yes | +50 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-17 03:29 |
| Near-Failure 0x629d…756c | No | +50 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-17 05:29 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | +43 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-17 05:19 |
| Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | Yes | +39 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-17 05:52 |
| Pleased-Cargo 0x134c…eeef | Yes | +35 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-17 04:29 |
| Disgusting-Rock 0x0e15…8ea4 | Yes | +33 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-17 05:49 |
| Serious-Supper 0xde37…1911 | Yes | +31 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-17 05:04 |
| Beloved-Soldier 0x2b81…88e7 | No | +31 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-17 04:59 |
| Flat-Follower 0xec6c…5e39 | Yes | +29 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-17 05:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xab77…be6a | Yes | +26 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-17 04:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x0736…a8c8 | Yes | +25 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-17 04:32 |
| Worn-Policy 0x1d01…2462 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 04:42 |
| Bronze-Elk 0xf095…20a6 | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-17 05:47 |
| Demanding-Standoff 0x325f…4511 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 05:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x82a5…674e | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-17 05:19 |
| Soggy-Leek-Outrage 0x7891…c020 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-17 05:19 |
| Melodic-Chocolate 0xd7f9…29a9 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-17 05:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xec79…1e2a | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 05:52 |
| Determined-Balaclava 0xffb3…fbaf | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-17 05:19 |
| Melodic-Chocolate 0xd7f9…29a9 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-17 04:05 |
| Yummy-Enterprise 0x5ec1…f57b | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 05:47 |
| Urban-Lute 0x2827…64f6 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-17 04:18 |
| Blond-Prevalence 0x2bea…c4b2 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 05:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xef93…388f | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-17 04:59 |
| Sane-Sweater 0xf0b3…bf0d | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-17 04:19 |
| Amazing-Genius 0x637f…e492 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-17 04:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d88…e709 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 05-17 05:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x2148…3da9 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-17 05:53 |
| Near-Stretch 0xf9a0…6e74 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-17 04:59 |
| Useful-Terminology 0xefde…6505 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 11:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xbcfe…4b94 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-17 04:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f94…1dba | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-17 05:02 |
| Bold-Meteorology 0xdb22…a11c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-17 04:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e1c…d375 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 04:59 |
| High-Counterforce 0x6aa1…19f2 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 05:04 |
| Simplistic-Petitioner-Superiority 0xed1d…cf1e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 05:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 06:02:26 | Embellished-Scrambled 0xb524…660b | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x9f9574… |
| 05-17 05:57:29 | (anonymous) 0xfa06…74c3 | No | SELL | 62 | 100¢ | $62 | 0x4fcd76… |
| 05-17 05:57:25 | Insistent-Kit 0x204e…8d08 | No | BUY | 97 | 100¢ | $97 | 0xb7ce71… |
| 05-17 05:57:22 | Envious-Cloth 0x6c73…8720 | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x3975fd… |
| 05-17 05:57:22 | Victorious-Paradise 0x83f0…45e7 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6651f4… |
| 05-17 05:54:23 | Envious-Cloth 0x6c73…8720 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x85e6c1… |
| 05-17 05:53:57 | Likely-Gentleman 0x9b37…0eb2 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x747fcd… |
| 05-17 05:53:34 | (anonymous) 0x2148…3da9 | No | BUY | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0xb8eace… |
| 05-17 05:52:52 | Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | Yes | BUY | 39 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xbeadf1… |
| 05-17 05:52:36 | (anonymous) 0xec79…1e2a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb66a2e… |
| 05-17 05:52:28 | (anonymous) 0x1526…e5f5 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 9¢ | $5 | 0xd7f619… |
| 05-17 05:49:59 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x587217… |
| 05-17 05:49:47 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x271859… |
| 05-17 05:49:45 | (anonymous) 0x4d88…e709 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x9f22bd… |
| 05-17 05:49:43 | Near-Failure 0x629d…756c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x94189a… |
| 05-17 05:49:06 | Disgusting-Rock 0x0e15…8ea4 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x9ce750… |
| 05-17 05:47:48 | Demanding-Standoff 0x325f…4511 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa73d23… |
| 05-17 05:47:42 | Bronze-Elk 0xf095…20a6 | No | BUY | 14 | 90¢ | $13 | 0xdee345… |
| 05-17 05:47:42 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 94 | 11¢ | $10 | 0x8a187c… |
| 05-17 05:47:28 | Yummy-Enterprise 0x5ec1…f57b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xc28b9e… |
| 05-17 05:44:44 | Victorious-Paradise 0x83f0…45e7 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x23eb3d… |
| 05-17 05:44:42 | Blond-Prevalence 0x2bea…c4b2 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xb43661… |
| 05-17 05:37:30 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 4 | 84¢ | $3 | 0xe5c5d1… |
| 05-17 05:29:51 | Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995 | No | BUY | 36 | 85¢ | $31 | 0x06387b… |
| 05-17 05:29:13 | Near-Failure 0x629d…756c | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x511584… |
| 05-17 05:27:45 | (anonymous) 0x4d88…e709 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x8dd21e… |
| 05-17 05:27:44 | Near-Failure 0x629d…756c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 17¢ | $8 | 0xe199d8… |
| 05-17 05:19:35 | Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995 | No | BUY | 32 | 83¢ | $27 | 0xcd8e68… |
| 05-17 05:19:13 | (anonymous) 0x4d88…e709 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x099539… |
| 05-17 05:19:13 | Determined-Balaclava 0xffb3…fbaf | No | BUY | 11 | 84¢ | $9 | 0x67ce66… |
| 05-17 05:19:13 | Demanding-Standoff 0x325f…4511 | No | BUY | 60 | 84¢ | $50 | 0xabddb4… |
| 05-17 05:19:13 | Demanding-Standoff 0x325f…4511 | No | BUY | 60 | 84¢ | $50 | 0xa21ad9… |
| 05-17 05:19:11 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | BUY | 43 | 17¢ | $7 | 0x64aef0… |
| 05-17 05:19:11 | Demanding-Standoff 0x325f…4511 | No | BUY | 60 | 84¢ | $50 | 0x532345… |
| 05-17 05:19:06 | Soggy-Leek-Outrage 0x7891…c020 | No | BUY | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x114bc5… |
| 05-17 05:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x82a5…674e | No | BUY | 13 | 84¢ | $11 | 0xe82544… |
| 05-17 05:17:40 | Simplistic-Petitioner-Superiority 0xed1d…cf1e | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x82db3b… |
| 05-17 05:12:51 | Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 16¢ | $9 | 0x6d03d0… |
| 05-17 05:12:28 | (anonymous) 0x4d88…e709 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x26f6ed… |
| 05-17 05:12:27 | Flat-Follower 0xec6c…5e39 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xc3d09f… |
| 05-17 05:12:21 | Melodic-Chocolate 0xd7f9…29a9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x68e480… |
| 05-17 05:04:41 | High-Counterforce 0x6aa1…19f2 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x04e7ad… |
| 05-17 05:04:27 | Serious-Supper 0xde37…1911 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x249460… |
| 05-17 05:02:30 | (anonymous) 0x697e…9904 | No | BUY | 59 | 85¢ | $50 | 0xb1a5b3… |
| 05-17 05:02:28 | (anonymous) 0x2f94…1dba | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xc9fde9… |
| 05-17 05:02:26 | Artistic-Temporariness 0xc117…6dda | Yes | BUY | 300 | 16¢ | $48 | 0x79b67c… |
| 05-17 05:00:03 | Ill-Hyphenation 0xd5ac…0929 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x6314eb… |
| 05-17 04:59:56 | Embellished-Scrambled 0xb524…660b | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xbefada… |
| 05-17 04:59:54 | (anonymous) 0xbcfe…4b94 | No | BUY | 3 | 85¢ | $3 | 0xc18ebf… |
| 05-17 04:59:54 | Near-Stretch 0xf9a0…6e74 | No | BUY | 4 | 85¢ | $3 | 0x563743… |
| 05-17 04:59:54 | (anonymous) 0x697e…9904 | No | BUY | 59 | 85¢ | $50 | 0x9533bc… |
| 05-17 04:59:52 | Beloved-Soldier 0x2b81…88e7 | No | BUY | 31 | 85¢ | $27 | 0x0b1161… |
| 05-17 04:59:52 | (anonymous) 0x3dc5…02b1 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xa4dccb… |
| 05-17 04:59:51 | Twin-Gum 0x26a6…dede | Yes | BUY | 2,328 | 17¢ | $391 | 0x0e19f0… |
| 05-17 04:59:51 | (anonymous) 0xef93…388f | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xc56316… |
| 05-17 04:59:51 | (anonymous) 0x9e1c…d375 | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x9d7c3a… |
| 05-17 04:59:51 | Bold-Meteorology 0xdb22…a11c | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x6ccedd… |
| 05-17 04:54:57 | Mellow-Settlement 0x9b55…1167 | No | BUY | 353 | 85¢ | $300 | 0x96ed54… |
| 05-17 04:54:53 | (anonymous) 0x2f94…1dba | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xfd2574… |
| 05-17 04:54:53 | Unripe-Bamboo 0xdb71…10cd | Yes | BUY | 275 | 16¢ | $44 | 0xcb0909… |
| 05-17 04:52:49 | Defiant-Door 0xac72…07c1 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x85c806… |
| 05-17 04:44:46 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 19 | 95¢ | $18 | 0x92ea70… |
| 05-17 04:44:46 | Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x204209… |
| 05-17 04:44:39 | Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5b2f04… |
| 05-17 04:42:36 | Worn-Policy 0x1d01…2462 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf1100b… |
| 05-17 04:38:51 | Defiant-Door 0xac72…07c1 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xfa45a5… |
| 05-17 04:37:44 | Amazing-Genius 0x637f…e492 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x5d219e… |
| 05-17 04:33:55 | Instructive-Use 0x320b…6057 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 19¢ | $20 | 0x8b7e70… |
| 05-17 04:32:45 | (anonymous) 0x0736…a8c8 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xf28c94… |
| 05-17 04:32:38 | (anonymous) 0xab77…be6a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 19¢ | $5 | 0xdee865… |
| 05-17 04:29:18 | Pleased-Cargo 0x134c…eeef | Yes | BUY | 35 | 42¢ | $15 | 0xeb46ca… |
| 05-17 04:24:21 | Pleasing-Liability 0x8de6…8b3c | No | BUY | 98 | 76¢ | $75 | 0xebb174… |
| 05-17 04:24:21 | Flat-Riot 0x9fd7…d5a3 | No | BUY | 98 | 74¢ | $73 | 0xc24bc0… |
| 05-17 04:19:13 | Sane-Sweater 0xf0b3…bf0d | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xff21f8… |
| 05-17 04:18:59 | Urban-Lute 0x2827…64f6 | No | BUY | 8 | 81¢ | $6 | 0xa6dcde… |
| 05-17 04:13:44 | Demanding-Standoff 0x325f…4511 | No | BUY | 35 | 79¢ | $28 | 0x6f65d9… |
| 05-17 04:09:37 | Blue-Hexagon-Dial 0x2b7d…d2dc | No | BUY | 53 | 80¢ | $43 | 0xecfaca… |
| 05-17 04:05:25 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x7721a9… |
| 05-17 04:05:04 | Melodic-Chocolate 0xd7f9…29a9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x58a1d9… |
| 05-17 04:05:04 | Melodic-Chocolate 0xd7f9…29a9 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xfa65ba… |
| 05-17 04:04:24 | Melodic-Chocolate 0xd7f9…29a9 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x51f2c7… |
| 05-17 04:04:06 | Muffled-Familiar 0xdc0d…8bca | Yes | SELL | 476 | 15¢ | $72 | 0x879330… |
| 05-17 03:33:41 | Stylish-Wasabi 0x8b0b…12ff | Yes | BUY | 82 | 19¢ | $16 | 0x6dc678… |
| 05-17 03:29:01 | Peaceful-Goggles 0x352b…abd8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x5fb89c… |
| 05-16 11:00:56 | Useful-Terminology 0xefde…6505 | No | BUY | 4 | 81¢ | $3 | 0xc4c9f7… |