Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$221
$1,178 in 24h
Trades
52
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$3,533
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 21:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $4 | $37 | $33 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $6 | $128 | $122 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $3 | $7 | $3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | — | $13 | $13 |
| Median | 8 | $1 | $100 | $99 |
| Below median | 2 | $4 | $4 | $0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $37 | $37 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| unranked | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xd86e…1b87 | No | +99 | $96 | $96 | 2 | 05-06 09:19 |
| Severe-Illusion-Thermometer 0x1d46…1136 | Yes | +71 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 02:43 |
| Evil-Recession 0xa86b…96b8 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 07:44 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +37 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 05-07 16:39 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | Yes | +26 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-06 15:07 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-06 15:20 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +9 | $4 | $4 | 15 | 05-07 14:34 |
| Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-06 15:20 |
| Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-07 20:46 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-06 22:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xd060…b566 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-06 17:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 15:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 21:01:26 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf99a1c… |
| 05-07 21:01:24 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5ee6a8… |
| 05-07 20:46:49 | Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x173199… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9f52a6… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf9cb7a… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7af55c… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3372a6… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x34dc29… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9114fc… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x97b595… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1b7e7f… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe7db40… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1b8b96… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0c4c7f… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x927ace… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf3917c… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x627b79… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x7b6f33… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2dcf6c… |
| 05-07 14:34:32 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x530781… |
| 05-07 14:34:20 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x09d775… |
| 05-07 14:01:26 | Angelic-Start 0xaaf0…21fc | No | SELL | 41 | 98¢ | $41 | 0xd87569… |
| 05-07 07:58:25 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x95515a… |
| 05-07 07:44:45 | Evil-Recession 0xa86b…96b8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf3b385… |
| 05-07 04:23:52 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x026c61… |
| 05-07 02:43:32 | Severe-Illusion-Thermometer 0x1d46…1136 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xde1263… |
| 05-06 22:41:47 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xf203df… |
| 05-06 22:31:50 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x721603… |
| 05-06 17:21:30 | (anonymous) 0xd060…b566 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x376eb9… |
| 05-06 15:23:05 | Fixed-Holiday 0x3a56…ba60 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x45077d… |
| 05-06 15:22:07 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x74ec82… |
| 05-06 15:22:07 | (anonymous) 0xd060…b566 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x22e205… |
| 05-06 15:20:41 | Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x1a59cd… |
| 05-06 15:20:36 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 13 | 96¢ | $13 | 0x2415ee… |
| 05-06 15:20:34 | (anonymous) 0xd060…b566 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd740b7… |
| 05-06 15:12:21 | Fixed-Holiday 0x3a56…ba60 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x5a5703… |
| 05-06 15:07:57 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x68e621… |
| 05-06 09:19:56 | (anonymous) 0xd86e…1b87 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $20 | 0xe0663b… |
| 05-06 09:19:48 | (anonymous) 0xd86e…1b87 | No | BUY | 79 | 97¢ | $77 | 0xb96f98… |
| 05-06 04:55:10 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | 0xc8910b… |
| 05-06 04:55:04 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x8b2f0c… |
| 05-06 04:54:56 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x1cbdef… |
| 05-06 04:54:46 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x82e40a… |
| 05-06 04:54:38 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0xd2049b… |
| 05-06 04:54:22 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 33¢ | $0 | 0xd77f1f… |
| 05-06 04:54:14 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 26¢ | $0 | 0x9cdb1b… |
| 05-06 04:54:06 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | 0x05024c… |
| 05-06 04:53:58 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x2a81a6… |
| 05-06 04:49:54 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 35¢ | $0 | 0x2b58c6… |
| 05-06 04:49:46 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 35¢ | $0 | 0xa0f0f6… |
| 05-06 04:49:38 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 37¢ | $0 | 0xb5aae7… |
| 05-06 04:49:30 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 36¢ | $0 | 0xfe9d7b… |