Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$117
$604 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$485
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 06:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $1 | $4 | $3 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $23 | $77 | $54 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $4 | $4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 5 | $2 | $34 | $32 |
| Below median | 4 | $19 | $5 | +$14 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $1 | $33 | $32 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honest-Zoology 0x1796…c490 | No | +40 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 05:31 |
| Shrill-Netsuke 0x3f30…f8de | Yes | +28 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 02:10 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | +25 | $17 | $17 | 5 | 05-14 04:26 |
| Tempting-Sombrero 0xada4…91ce | Yes | +25 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 07:41 |
| Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 19:52 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 04:20 |
| Useless-Sage 0x9410…9160 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 03:43 |
| Sophisticated-Continuity 0x3313…92ad | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 01:44 |
| Illiterate-Hosiery 0x98ec…7be6 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 06:11 |
| Weepy-Creche 0x8fbf…0771 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:20 |
| Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 19:57 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 22:46 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 05:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x32e0…3884 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 04:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x2cff…468b | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 07:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 06:20:23 | Weepy-Creche 0x8fbf…0771 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x8a1342… |
| 05-14 06:11:06 | Illiterate-Hosiery 0x98ec…7be6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x218157… |
| 05-14 05:45:58 | Tight-Court 0xed91…21a8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x95e3e0… |
| 05-14 05:40:34 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xbe312b… |
| 05-14 05:31:11 | Honest-Zoology 0x1796…c490 | No | BUY | 40 | 75¢ | $30 | 0x8a32a4… |
| 05-14 04:26:27 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x8dbee9… |
| 05-14 04:20:53 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 8 | 70¢ | $6 | 0x8a699a… |
| 05-14 03:11:46 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xd42e65… |
| 05-14 02:10:08 | Shrill-Netsuke 0x3f30…f8de | Yes | BUY | 28 | 32¢ | $9 | 0x20df27… |
| 05-14 01:45:03 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xb603b2… |
| 05-14 01:44:52 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x8c7390… |
| 05-14 01:44:45 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xd4d848… |
| 05-14 01:44:42 | Sophisticated-Continuity 0x3313…92ad | No | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x503365… |
| 05-13 23:55:02 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xd68485… |
| 05-13 23:55:02 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 29¢ | $0 | 0x81b3a3… |
| 05-13 22:46:54 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 6 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x06c165… |
| 05-13 21:03:06 | Loving-Hook 0xb55b…be21 | No | SELL | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xdb2b65… |
| 05-13 20:33:49 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x88c000… |
| 05-13 20:33:49 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xdbac56… |
| 05-13 19:52:25 | Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | BUY | 11 | 70¢ | $8 | 0x869276… |
| 05-13 17:33:00 | Tricky-Friction 0x7df0…3b5d | Yes | SELL | 2 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x1477a1… |
| 05-13 13:03:09 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xfbcb91… |
| 05-13 07:41:29 | (anonymous) 0x2cff…468b | No | BUY | 4 | 70¢ | $3 | 0xc48f9e… |
| 05-13 07:41:27 | Tempting-Sombrero 0xada4…91ce | Yes | BUY | 25 | 34¢ | $8 | 0x6c036f… |
| 05-13 04:02:28 | (anonymous) 0x32e0…3884 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x6894ad… |
| 05-13 03:43:04 | Useless-Sage 0x9410…9160 | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0xdf47b7… |
| 05-13 01:56:12 | Loving-Hook 0xb55b…be21 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x5375b4… |
| 05-12 19:57:53 | Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x8b2afb… |