Will Trump praise Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$529
Trades
26
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$24
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-31
First seen
2026-05-18
last 06-02 12:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $1 | $72 | $70 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $0 | $406 | $406 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $0 | $49 | $49 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $0 | — | +$0 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $2 | $72 | $70 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $0 | $425 | $425 |
| Below median | 4 | $0 | $30 | $30 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarcastic-Minimalism 0x0778…4399 | No | +407 | $406 | $406 | 1 | 06-02 12:43 |
| Accomplished-Granny 0xc876…8711 | Yes | +232 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 06-02 12:46 |
| Bulky-Havoc 0x21b4…1f06 | No | +72 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 06-02 12:46 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +46 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 05-30 17:21 |
| Imperturbable-Schema 0x6753…b37d | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 5 | 05-30 13:50 |
| Lonely-Hiring 0xc904…1e9a | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-30 17:21 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-02 12:43 |
| Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-02 12:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x1787…58c2 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-02 12:43 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-18 14:19 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-02 12:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 12:46:53 | Bulky-Havoc 0x21b4…1f06 | No | BUY | 72 | 100¢ | $72 | 0x12fd41… |
| 06-02 12:46:53 | Accomplished-Granny 0xc876…8711 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x12fd41… |
| 06-02 12:46:49 | Accomplished-Granny 0xc876…8711 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x715e1c… |
| 06-02 12:46:49 | Accomplished-Granny 0xc876…8711 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9e2a6e… |
| 06-02 12:46:49 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9e2a6e… |
| 06-02 12:46:49 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x715e1c… |
| 06-02 12:43:31 | Accomplished-Granny 0xc876…8711 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9f2754… |
| 06-02 12:43:31 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9f2754… |
| 06-02 12:43:31 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9f2754… |
| 06-02 12:43:31 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9f2754… |
| 06-02 12:43:31 | Sarcastic-Minimalism 0x0778…4399 | No | BUY | 407 | 100¢ | $406 | 0x9f2754… |
| 06-02 12:43:31 | (anonymous) 0x1787…58c2 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9f2754… |
| 06-02 12:43:31 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9f2754… |
| 06-02 12:43:31 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9f2754… |
| 05-30 17:21:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe22746… |
| 05-30 17:21:47 | Lonely-Hiring 0xc904…1e9a | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xe22746… |
| 05-30 13:50:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb65e86… |
| 05-30 13:50:49 | Imperturbable-Schema 0x6753…b37d | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb65e86… |
| 05-29 17:50:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe6df70… |
| 05-29 17:50:52 | Imperturbable-Schema 0x6753…b37d | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xe6df70… |
| 05-29 17:50:45 | Imperturbable-Schema 0x6753…b37d | No | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0xf820cb… |
| 05-29 17:50:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf820cb… |
| 05-29 17:49:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8e6671… |
| 05-29 17:49:06 | Imperturbable-Schema 0x6753…b37d | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x8e6671… |
| 05-18 14:19:03 | Imperturbable-Schema 0x6753…b37d | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x345ce0… |
| 05-18 14:19:03 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x345ce0… |