Will the Bitcoin realized volatility index hit 60 by April 30?
closed
Total volume
$1,290
Trades
24
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-05-01
First seen
2026-03-27
last 05-01 08:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $7 | $999 | $992 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $35 | $77 | $41 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $1 | $1 | $0 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $0 | $73 | $73 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $22 | $999 | $977 |
| Median | 3 | $0 | $69 | $69 |
| Below median | 4 | $20 | $82 | $61 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internal-Mama 0xe7bf…889b | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-01 08:17 |
| Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | No | +1,000 | $999 | $999 | 1 | 05-01 08:17 |
| Horrible-Snarl 0xae30…e371 | No | +75 | $69 | $69 | 4 | 04-30 17:07 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +66 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 04-30 13:08 |
| Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e | Yes | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 04-30 04:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-30 17:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xba2c…54d0 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-30 04:01 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-30 04:01 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 04-30 17:07 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +4 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-29 16:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xccc4…4193 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-27 21:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-01 08:17:24 | Internal-Mama 0xe7bf…889b | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x30cc71… |
| 05-01 08:17:24 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x30cc71… |
| 04-30 17:07:40 | (anonymous) 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7328f0… |
| 04-30 17:07:40 | Horrible-Snarl 0xae30…e371 | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x7328f0… |
| 04-30 17:07:40 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7328f0… |
| 04-30 13:08:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x7d7c24… |
| 04-30 13:08:32 | Horrible-Snarl 0xae30…e371 | No | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x7d7c24… |
| 04-30 12:53:54 | Horrible-Snarl 0xae30…e371 | No | BUY | 32 | 95¢ | $30 | 0x7fb4db… |
| 04-30 12:53:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x7fb4db… |
| 04-30 04:01:12 | (anonymous) 0xba2c…54d0 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5707de… |
| 04-30 04:01:12 | Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x5707de… |
| 04-30 04:01:12 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5707de… |
| 04-29 16:49:06 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xefe6ff… |
| 04-29 16:49:06 | Dazzling-Likeness 0xe748…2b23 | No | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xefe6ff… |
| 04-28 14:49:32 | Dazzling-Likeness 0xe748…2b23 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xe7c8a7… |
| 04-28 14:49:32 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe7c8a7… |
| 04-27 21:28:30 | (anonymous) 0xccc4…4193 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x3d1f1c… |
| 04-27 21:28:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3d1f1c… |
| 04-27 21:28:28 | Horrible-Snarl 0xae30…e371 | No | BUY | 16 | 74¢ | $12 | 0xccc18d… |
| 04-27 21:28:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 26¢ | $4 | 0xccc18d… |
| 03-27 00:14:29 | (anonymous) 0xdbde…3dc9 | Yes | SELL | 97 | 21¢ | $20 | 0xdd5ba7… |
| 03-27 00:14:29 | (anonymous) 0x3dfb…ebbf | No | SELL | 97 | 79¢ | $77 | 0xdd5ba7… |
| 03-27 00:13:59 | (anonymous) 0x3dfb…ebbf | No | BUY | 97 | 79¢ | $77 | 0x191856… |
| 03-27 00:13:59 | (anonymous) 0xdbde…3dc9 | Yes | BUY | 97 | 21¢ | $20 | 0x191856… |