Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
45.6%
Resolved
34
Trades
4,232
lifetime
Volume
$4.75K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$35
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 07-11 23:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
39% 16% $-3
Politics
36% 0% $-1
Crypto
11% 0% $-6
Sports
9% 67% +$6
Tech
5%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 273 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -58 $-10 29¢ $-16 $-7 07-09 12:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -23 $-3 48¢ $-11 $-8 07-03 01:54
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +5 $1 26¢ $1 +$0 07-10 04:34
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes -4 $-1 22¢ $-1 +$0 06-17 08:03
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -9 $-1 10¢ $-1 +$0 06-21 07:30
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +11 $1 $1 $-0 06-18 11:24
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +4 $0 17¢ $1 +$0 07-06 07:15
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -5 $-1 12¢ $-1 +$0 07-03 08:14
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Yes +6 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 07-01 01:48
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 11¢ $-1 +$0 06-16 20:42
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes -3 $1 14¢ $-0 $-1 06-21 18:56
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $1 $0 $-1 06-15 12:18
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +1 $0 11¢ $0 $-0 06-17 15:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -5 $-1 $-0 +$1 07-06 15:20
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 18¢ $0 +$0 07-03 07:33