Dazzling-Likeness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$644

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

36.9%

Resolved

1,215

Trades

6,082

lifetime

Volume

$6.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-27

last 08-29 16:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Other

47% 18% -$427

Politics

32% 19% -$82

Crypto

9% 18% -$74

Sports

7% 40% -$14

Tech

6% 27% -$46

Pop-Culture

0% 25% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+0	$0	19¢	$0	+$0	07-03 07:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	333	$300	1,008	1,008	+0	Yes	+$6	06-13 20:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	161	$201	672	672	+0	No	+$2	06-26 05:47
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	113	$110	377	371	+7	No	+$0	06-26 17:44
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	83	$82	228	228	+0	open	—	06-21 18:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	89	$77	234	234	+0	open	—	08-29 16:34
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	70	$65	339	317	+22	No	-$1	06-21 14:07
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	68	$56	341	341	+0	No	+$2	06-21 18:56
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	72	$56	183	178	+5	No	-$2	07-08 21:34
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	6	$49	37	37	+0	No	-$1	04-21 14:54
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	49	$44	175	161	+14	Yes	-$1	06-22 08:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	37	$44	141	141	+0	open	—	07-03 01:54
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	22	$42	13,441	13,441	+0	Yes	-$12	03-30 12:38
nba lal okc 2026 04 02	2	$41	24	24	+0	Thunder	+$5	04-03 02:17
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	42	$41	277	276	+1	No	+$1	06-14 19:09
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	47	$40	268	268	+0	No	-$1	06-29 02:08
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	34	$38	860	859	+1	Yes	-$2	06-14 22:32
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	40	$37	287	276	+11	Yes	-$1	06-22 12:22
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$35	21	21	+0	Yes	+$4	04-04 21:30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	43	$35	117	116	+1	Yes	$0	07-09 03:20
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	4	$32	22	22	+0	Yes	-$3	04-03 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 75°F or below on June 10?	6	$32	62	44	+17	Yes	-$6	06-09 09:45
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$31	36	36	+0	No	-$2	04-09 06:59
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$31	18	18	+0	Yes	$0	04-08 15:53
will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	17	$31	181	163	+18	No	+$1	06-14 21:24
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$30	75	75	+0	No	+$0	04-28 14:47
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	2	$30	17	17	+0	No	+$4	04-01 21:08
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	20	$29	463	463	+0	No	+$1	06-22 02:04
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 9?	5	$29	43	30	+13	Yes	-$7	06-09 09:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	27	$29	157	157	+0	No	-$4	06-21 14:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	26	$29	80	80	+0	Yes	$0	06-14 14:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-29 16:38:30	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x7ddd0a…
08-29 16:38:15	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x292dab…
08-29 16:38:01	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x9cd75e…
08-29 16:37:34	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$1	0x17b3e2…
08-29 16:36:45	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$1	0x9cb1d3…
08-29 16:36:25	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0xf33919…
08-29 16:36:09	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x7bff3f…
08-29 16:35:48	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x4a1461…
08-29 16:35:34	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xcaf91b…
08-29 16:35:19	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xf9b0b0…
08-29 16:34:58	Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x9833c8…
08-29 16:34:42	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xad2a8a…
08-29 16:34:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x618156…
08-29 16:33:34	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x1a7ec9…
08-29 16:33:27	Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	No	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xf7da76…
08-29 16:32:45	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x4b116b…
07-11 23:02:25	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xaf843f…
07-10 04:34:17	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x6d95d7…
07-09 20:41:40	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x786ffe…
07-09 20:02:31	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x7205e1…
07-09 19:44:08	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x754344…
07-09 19:43:50	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x5f1f2d…
07-09 19:21:32	Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x64f745…
07-09 18:07:38	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	Yes	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x22eb71…
07-09 17:19:13	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x855e8c…
07-09 16:23:02	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x9b1ba3…
07-09 16:12:56	Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?	No	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x0d886a…
07-09 16:11:08	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5dcea2…
07-09 16:00:19	Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x52371c…
07-09 15:59:41	ethereum above 1800 on july 10 2026	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0xec21f3…
07-09 15:56:23	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x44f0ef…
07-09 14:37:53	Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?	No	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x6c21a8…
07-09 14:35:50	Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?	No	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x1203a4…
07-09 14:24:19	Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?	No	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x6ddd1c…
07-09 14:21:43	Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x257efd…
07-09 14:21:38	Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe9e102…
07-09 14:21:10	Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	SELL	19	10¢	$2	0x97d65c…
07-09 14:21:04	ethereum above 1800 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xa077e1…
07-09 14:20:58	ethereum above 1800 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x8ee40d…
07-09 14:20:40	Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x288ce0…
07-09 14:16:43	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xb8c6a6…
07-09 13:07:11	Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xabb127…
07-09 12:31:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xbbdb3a…
07-09 12:31:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x121cdc…
07-09 12:15:13	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xeed84e…
07-09 11:37:07	Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xe2a7aa…
07-09 10:57:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xcf22ec…
07-09 10:36:37	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x0a7987…
07-09 10:25:47	Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x2ef809…
07-09 10:25:47	Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x150230…
07-09 10:22:43	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x0db286…
07-09 10:22:25	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x028fa1…
07-09 09:51:31	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x974fcc…
07-09 09:51:29	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x3e9681…
07-09 09:46:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x4c27f1…
07-09 09:09:26	Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xae08e2…
07-09 09:02:19	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xe44ac0…
07-09 09:01:29	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc9b3bc…
07-09 09:00:50	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb20442…
07-09 08:52:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x838fb3…
07-09 08:51:08	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x14ece3…
07-09 08:40:43	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x253de7…
07-09 08:36:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x00e434…
07-09 08:23:23	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x434985…
07-09 08:07:07	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xaf9997…
07-09 07:55:22	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbe28b7…
07-09 07:44:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x8b398b…
07-09 07:44:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x457958…
07-09 07:21:05	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x06e2de…
07-09 07:12:35	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xd1facb…
07-09 07:06:34	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x07ab6a…
07-09 07:05:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xd7e95c…
07-09 07:01:59	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc1b7a8…
07-09 06:42:29	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xbecd56…
07-09 06:27:25	bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0xdfc0cc…
07-09 06:27:25	bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	Yes	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0xcb079a…
07-09 06:09:41	bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xacd037…
07-09 06:01:10	bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	Yes	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0x8e5a57…
07-09 06:01:10	bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	Yes	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x735532…
07-09 05:36:37	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xd89ac7…
07-09 05:34:26	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xf6d85a…
07-09 05:34:25	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xb7ac88…
07-09 05:17:02	bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x94590c…
07-09 05:08:19	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0xa73006…
07-09 03:49:31	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xa7e585…
07-09 03:46:43	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xa92855…
07-09 03:28:52	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x6bde5d…
07-09 03:28:22	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x842b5d…
07-09 03:21:07	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x7a548c…
07-09 03:20:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x5e4097…
07-09 03:05:32	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x5081cd…
07-09 03:04:47	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xb85ea8…
07-09 03:02:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x81cd6c…
07-09 02:35:25	bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x5a0b23…
07-09 02:01:23	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x7a6c71…
07-09 01:40:55	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xae1b3a…
07-09 01:28:22	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x2a41ce…
07-09 01:24:49	bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x9e3efa…
07-09 01:09:47	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x3922a4…
07-09 01:05:23	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x91bd59…