Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$57
Hit rate
45.6%
Resolved
34
Trades
3,923
lifetime
Volume
$4.50K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$18
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 07-01 18:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
39% 16% $-3
Politics
37% 0% $-1
Crypto
10% 0% $-6
Sports
9% 67% +$6
Tech
4%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 273 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -53 $-9 14¢ $-7 +$2 07-01 07:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -23 $-3 18¢ $-4 $-1 06-23 07:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -348 $-62 $-1 +$61 06-26 05:47
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes -4 $-1 30¢ $-1 $-0 06-17 08:03
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -9 $-1 10¢ $-1 +$0 06-21 07:30
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $1 $1 $-0 06-15 12:18
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +11 $1 $1 $-0 06-18 11:24
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes -5 $-1 14¢ $-1 +$0 06-20 15:20
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Yes +6 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 07-01 01:48
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 11¢ $-1 +$0 06-16 20:42
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes -3 $1 12¢ $-0 $-1 06-21 18:56
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +1 $0 10¢ $0 $-0 06-17 15:39
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-1 06-20 22:59
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +0 $0 $0 $-0 06-26 09:42
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +10 $0 $0 $-0 06-14 17:16
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? No +13 $1 $0 $-1 06-28 20:41