Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 12?
open
Total volume
$276
$1,583 in 24h
Trades
22
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$14,106
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 16:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $33 | $33 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $0 | $165 | $165 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $0 | $77 | $77 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | $51 | $51 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $160 | $160 |
| Median | 6 | — | $59 | $59 |
| Below median | 4 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monumental-Fortnight 0xd83c…798c | No | +114 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 05-10 06:22 |
| Active-Runway 0xf14a…86d2 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 05:23 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +52 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 05-10 07:32 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +33 | $33 | $33 | 3 | 05-10 13:51 |
| Sandy-Typhoon 0x102b…7ad3 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-11 10:42 |
| Potable-Mobile 0xcdef…de52 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-11 10:43 |
| Able-Buffer 0x06ae…0a09 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-10 05:17 |
| Ideal-Coverall 0xffc9…1676 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-11 02:35 |
| Unacceptable-Proposal 0x8fc6…c4de | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-11 04:22 |
| Slim-Might-Season 0x2230…084e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:16 |
| Infatuated-Easel 0xee5c…814d | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 05:29 |
| Ragged-Blocker 0xac4a…a781 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 10:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 16:32:20 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x48563a… |
| 05-11 10:43:13 | Potable-Mobile 0xcdef…de52 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x29a86f… |
| 05-11 10:42:55 | Sandy-Typhoon 0x102b…7ad3 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x9d6cb0… |
| 05-11 10:37:10 | Ragged-Blocker 0xac4a…a781 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xaf7659… |
| 05-11 05:43:30 | Insidious-Maelstrom 0x63bd…aff2 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb612bd… |
| 05-11 05:29:12 | Infatuated-Easel 0xee5c…814d | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x6f2462… |
| 05-11 05:23:34 | Active-Runway 0xf14a…86d2 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd3aa05… |
| 05-11 04:22:44 | Unacceptable-Proposal 0x8fc6…c4de | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x393e96… |
| 05-11 02:35:45 | Ideal-Coverall 0xffc9…1676 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xa4887e… |
| 05-10 13:51:49 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x6f63b5… |
| 05-10 12:30:49 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x43dc58… |
| 05-10 10:35:42 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 61 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9974c5… |
| 05-10 07:32:34 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x8ee330… |
| 05-10 07:32:32 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8f1c9d… |
| 05-10 07:32:20 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 52 | 100¢ | $51 | 0x66c1bf… |
| 05-10 07:32:18 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xddd1fa… |
| 05-10 07:32:18 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x232565… |
| 05-10 07:32:18 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5a2730… |
| 05-10 06:22:44 | Monumental-Fortnight 0xd83c…798c | No | BUY | 114 | 100¢ | $114 | 0xcd2a33… |
| 05-10 05:17:56 | Able-Buffer 0x06ae…0a09 | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0xbfe61d… |
| 05-10 04:22:46 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x84569e… |
| 05-10 04:16:35 | Slim-Might-Season 0x2230…084e | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x626c8d… |