Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$456
$1,344 in 24h
Trades
38
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$1,205
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-13 00:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+96.6¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $0
vs crowd: 3% YES on $396)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $0 | $118 | $118 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $13 | $264 | $251 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | — | $78 | $78 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $6 | $38 | $32 |
| Median | 5 | $3 | $43 | $40 |
| Below median | 9 | $2 | $217 | $215 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shy-Somersault 0xf68e…a093 | Yes | +143 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 03:25 |
| Hasty-Voyage 0xad1b…5da0 | No | +124 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 05-12 16:16 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +45 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-11 07:25 |
| Decisive-Cheek 0xccfc…d636 | No | +45 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 05-12 21:02 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +39 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 05-12 19:01 |
| Distant-Cook 0x0440…2dae | Yes | +38 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 10:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x476d…ceec | Yes | +33 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 18:56 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-12 20:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x2749…e996 | Yes | +27 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 18:52 |
| Glum-Oatmeal 0x28a1…69a1 | No | +27 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-12 18:56 |
| Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-12 20:00 |
| Bumpy-Ceremony 0xc468…6e84 | Yes | +22 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 12:26 |
| Healthy-Worker 0x3a96…4007 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 04:41 |
| Perfect-External 0x8f88…ff55 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 18:07 |
| Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 19:01 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 21:17 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 18:56 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 15:38 |
| Ringed-Making 0x517b…50b7 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 18:56 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 20:01 |
| Worrisome-Chinchilla 0x6854…67d0 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 19:01 |
| Clean-Property 0x600c…8bd4 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 12:32 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 17:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 00:00:54 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x2e781e… |
| 05-12 21:02:45 | Decisive-Cheek 0xccfc…d636 | No | BUY | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0xa4e13b… |
| 05-12 20:57:18 | (anonymous) 0xecc6…55bf | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x511203… |
| 05-12 20:12:44 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xacfd37… |
| 05-12 20:12:44 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4bf4b0… |
| 05-12 20:12:44 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x495b04… |
| 05-12 20:07:52 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x35a226… |
| 05-12 20:07:52 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x257672… |
| 05-12 20:07:41 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5b55cc… |
| 05-12 20:07:41 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbcbe01… |
| 05-12 20:01:02 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x58069d… |
| 05-12 20:00:15 | Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xb4ac5e… |
| 05-12 20:00:12 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf3de60… |
| 05-12 19:31:21 | Harmonious-Cartoon 0xdd8a…edf9 | No | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xddb882… |
| 05-12 19:01:32 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xbf1ec5… |
| 05-12 19:01:29 | Worrisome-Chinchilla 0x6854…67d0 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x40d044… |
| 05-12 19:01:29 | Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x66c4ca… |
| 05-12 19:01:25 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x55f8c6… |
| 05-12 18:56:51 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa6cb3d… |
| 05-12 18:56:44 | (anonymous) 0x476d…ceec | Yes | BUY | 33 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x28d02c… |
| 05-12 18:56:44 | Glum-Oatmeal 0x28a1…69a1 | No | BUY | 27 | 98¢ | $27 | 0x649d85… |
| 05-12 18:56:38 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x239507… |
| 05-12 18:56:37 | Ringed-Making 0x517b…50b7 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x9b6170… |
| 05-12 18:52:32 | (anonymous) 0x2749…e996 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x99eeb0… |
| 05-12 18:07:19 | Perfect-External 0x8f88…ff55 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x8d45d7… |
| 05-12 16:16:19 | Hasty-Voyage 0xad1b…5da0 | No | BUY | 124 | 97¢ | $120 | 0xd58067… |
| 05-12 12:32:47 | Clean-Property 0x600c…8bd4 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x921a3d… |
| 05-12 03:25:33 | Shy-Somersault 0xf68e…a093 | Yes | BUY | 143 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x1e15ea… |
| 05-11 21:17:28 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x2ec3d7… |
| 05-11 17:23:02 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x042d02… |
| 05-11 15:38:21 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x83d715… |
| 05-11 14:09:29 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x7a27ad… |
| 05-11 10:07:06 | Distant-Cook 0x0440…2dae | Yes | BUY | 38 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xb2f8df… |
| 05-11 07:25:12 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 45 | 94¢ | $43 | 0x909798… |
| 05-10 19:44:19 | Ill-Posterior 0xf211…385d | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x34aa51… |
| 05-10 12:26:04 | Bumpy-Ceremony 0xc468…6e84 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xaab323… |
| 05-10 08:37:29 | Ill-Posterior 0xf211…385d | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x7dd861… |
| 05-10 04:41:49 | Healthy-Worker 0x3a96…4007 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xdf66b9… |