Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$606
$49 in 24h
Trades
22
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$762
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-15
last 05-17 06:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $497 | — | +$497 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $94 | $8 | +$86 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $234 | $0 | +$234 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| Median | 4 | $265 | $5 | +$260 |
| Below median | 3 | $44 | $3 | +$41 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $32 | — | +$32 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prudent-Netball 0xf915…8720 | Yes | +263 | $262 | $262 | 1 | 05-16 17:07 |
| Hard-To-Find-Lip 0xe3c3…ac62 | Yes | +147 | $146 | $146 | 1 | 05-16 15:39 |
| Limp-Nuke 0x6408…d5c6 | No | +81 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 11:51 |
| Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | Yes | +46 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 05-16 11:20 |
| Whimsical-Stepson 0x4ecf…05fb | Yes | +43 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 05-16 10:56 |
| Masculine-Confidence 0xbc84…a0d2 | Yes | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-17 05:39 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +36 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 15:10 |
| Fumbling-Affect 0xec25…dec6 | Yes | +33 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-16 11:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a04…e4f2 | Yes | +22 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-16 03:16 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +21 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-16 02:00 |
| Insistent-Kiss 0xdea3…1b1a | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-16 00:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xd615…ae32 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 16:17 |
| Odd-Soldier 0xc0bd…593e | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 23:53 |
| Digital-Cyst 0x4875…149b | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 09:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 06:40:11 | Arid-Anklet 0xd19f…8eb5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x470840… |
| 05-17 05:39:17 | Masculine-Confidence 0xbc84…a0d2 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xf45e08… |
| 05-16 17:07:36 | Prudent-Netball 0xf915…8720 | Yes | BUY | 263 | 100¢ | $262 | 0xd481cd… |
| 05-16 16:17:45 | (anonymous) 0xd615…ae32 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x0bf172… |
| 05-16 15:39:55 | Hard-To-Find-Lip 0xe3c3…ac62 | Yes | BUY | 147 | 100¢ | $146 | 0x73c229… |
| 05-16 15:10:10 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 36 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x52b6c3… |
| 05-16 11:51:31 | Limp-Nuke 0x6408…d5c6 | No | BUY | 81 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xdd7dda… |
| 05-16 11:20:45 | Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 99¢ | $45 | 0x9d1341… |
| 05-16 11:11:33 | Fumbling-Affect 0xec25…dec6 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 97¢ | $32 | 0xf91cc7… |
| 05-16 10:56:34 | Whimsical-Stepson 0x4ecf…05fb | Yes | BUY | 43 | 97¢ | $42 | 0x050914… |
| 05-16 09:36:34 | Digital-Cyst 0x4875…149b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x90c9b3… |
| 05-16 09:14:34 | Arid-Anklet 0xd19f…8eb5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0a3234… |
| 05-16 04:48:57 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x766502… |
| 05-16 04:35:41 | Winged-Gathering 0xaa22…2303 | No | SELL | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x49a182… |
| 05-16 03:16:00 | (anonymous) 0x7a04…e4f2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x817af6… |
| 05-16 02:40:47 | (anonymous) 0x7a04…e4f2 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x4506b7… |
| 05-16 02:00:31 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x2c19b8… |
| 05-16 00:15:59 | Insistent-Kiss 0xdea3…1b1a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x942355… |
| 05-16 00:13:33 | Insistent-Kiss 0xdea3…1b1a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd7d770… |
| 05-16 00:05:50 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe32251… |
| 05-15 23:53:40 | Odd-Soldier 0xc0bd…593e | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x9d87df… |
| 05-15 18:32:57 | Powerless-Entrepreneur 0x633d…80a2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x4846d7… |