Whimsical-Stepson — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$130

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.3%

Resolved

Trades

3,705

lifetime

Volume

$126.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-12 14:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

77% 33% $-10

Crypto

12% 20% $-120

Politics

11% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	22	$20.7K	10,428	10,428	+0	open	—	01-25 09:11
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	12	$8.0K	4,005	4,005	+0	open	—	01-23 18:47
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	8	$7.7K	3,850	3,850	+0	open	—	01-23 18:56
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 65 89	118	$6.0K	3,920	4,218	-299	open	—	02-25 16:30
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 320 339	175	$3.8K	21,549	22,275	-726	open	—	02-06 07:39
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	73	$3.1K	2,010	1,677	+333	open	—	02-04 16:24
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 320 339	3	$3.1K	1,750	1,750	+0	open	—	02-24 04:40
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 40 64	34	$3.0K	1,536	1,636	-100	open	—	02-01 22:06
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 65 89	2	$2.8K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	02-23 14:12
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	4	$2.7K	1,894	918	+976	open	—	01-26 09:55
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 0 39	16	$2.6K	1,438	1,438	+0	open	—	02-14 18:00
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	20	$2.5K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	01-25 07:54
another us government shutdown by february 14	8	$2.5K	1,496	1,196	+300	open	—	02-14 11:11
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	27	$2.1K	1,245	1,245	+0	open	—	02-06 16:23
will israel strike lebanon on january 29 2026	38	$2.0K	1,309	1,275	+35	open	—	01-29 22:17
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 115 139	2	$1.8K	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	02-21 18:19
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	4	$1.8K	882	882	+0	open	—	01-25 02:49
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 65 89	22	$1.6K	819	958	-138	open	—	02-04 15:09
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	30	$1.3K	1,154	1,154	+0	open	—	02-06 16:24
will the 2026 state of the union have between 43m and 45m viewers	14	$1.0K	740	542	+198	open	—	02-19 02:58
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	2	$1.0K	581	581	+0	open	—	01-30 18:58
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 280 299	15	$1.0K	792	792	+0	open	—	02-27 08:20
bitcoin above 90k on january 28	3	$1.0K	540	540	+0	open	—	01-28 17:04
will israel strike lebanon on february 15 2026	21	$979	1,377	256	+1,121	open	—	02-15 19:43
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	26	$962	690	612	+78	open	—	03-06 14:15
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	16	$934	492	492	+0	open	—	02-24 12:15
will israel strike lebanon on february 18 2026	10	$932	860	860	+0	open	—	02-17 18:47
us x iran meeting by february 28 2026 791	5	$875	534	534	+0	open	—	02-18 02:56
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 140 164	12	$808	429	419	+10	open	—	02-09 15:15
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 90 114	10	$784	787	507	+280	open	—	03-07 13:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 14:25:13	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3b9e2d…
08-11 19:18:22	btc updown 4h 1786464000	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x293a35…
08-11 18:39:25	btc updown 4h 1786464000	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x04b05d…
08-11 18:39:07	btc updown 4h 1786464000	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdec2bb…
08-11 12:47:45	btc updown 4h 1786449600	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xe341f5…
08-11 12:15:31	btc updown 4h 1786449600	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6642f6…
08-11 05:27:52	btc updown 4h 1786420800	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xefe683…
08-10 16:50:04	btc updown 4h 1786377600	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xe0b410…
08-10 16:46:06	btc updown 4h 1786377600	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7f23f9…
08-07 15:20:15	btc updown 4h 1786104000	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7f64f0…
08-07 10:00:06	btc updown 4h 1786089600	Down	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x32fa0e…
08-07 09:59:31	btc updown 4h 1786089600	Down	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x1cab3e…
08-07 08:35:43	btc updown 4h 1786089600	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x866600…
08-07 07:30:46	btc updown 4h 1786075200	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x46be8a…
08-07 07:07:21	btc updown 4h 1786075200	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x2443e3…
08-07 06:57:18	btc updown 4h 1786075200	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x21c6c3…
08-07 05:53:21	btc updown 4h 1786075200	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb8742f…
08-06 20:08:53	btc updown 4h 1786046400	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x41383d…
08-06 14:39:42	btc updown 4h 1786017600	Up	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x7f6bbd…
08-06 13:09:03	btc updown 4h 1786017600	Up	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xb79449…
08-06 13:08:33	btc updown 4h 1786017600	Up	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0x03f4b9…
08-06 12:47:44	btc updown 4h 1786017600	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x18535f…
08-06 06:32:39	btc updown 4h 1785988800	Down	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0x306b61…
08-06 06:32:39	btc updown 4h 1785988800	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x27d5b4…
08-06 06:24:27	btc updown 4h 1785988800	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x981bd8…
08-06 06:24:11	btc updown 4h 1785988800	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x54507d…
08-06 06:21:23	btc updown 4h 1785988800	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xf2f8ac…
08-06 05:49:09	btc updown 4h 1785988800	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbb3930…
08-06 05:44:03	btc updown 4h 1785988800	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x66d9fd…
08-06 05:41:45	btc updown 4h 1785988800	Down	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0xe882f1…
08-06 05:35:24	btc updown 4h 1785988800	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xcf9c21…
08-05 22:58:11	btc updown 4h 1785960000	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xed92a3…
08-05 16:28:05	btc updown 4h 1785945600	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2d5525…
08-05 16:00:54	btc updown 4h 1785945600	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5d83c6…
08-05 14:36:30	btc updown 4h 1785931200	Down	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x0f5354…
08-05 14:30:35	btc updown 4h 1785931200	Down	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x4e83f3…
08-05 14:30:11	btc updown 4h 1785931200	Down	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0xb49fd4…
08-05 14:29:57	btc updown 4h 1785931200	Down	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0xe1eb00…
08-05 14:18:48	btc updown 4h 1785931200	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x24c7c9…
08-05 14:17:36	btc updown 4h 1785931200	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x0f4b7d…
08-05 14:17:14	btc updown 4h 1785931200	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x366bd7…
08-05 13:49:41	btc updown 4h 1785931200	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x89c308…
08-05 13:34:45	btc updown 4h 1785931200	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x077704…
08-05 13:15:57	btc updown 4h 1785931200	Down	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xf99909…
08-05 12:31:18	btc updown 4h 1785931200	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xccf68d…
08-05 11:18:30	btc updown 4h 1785916800	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x25c140…
08-05 08:53:26	btc updown 4h 1785916800	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x52cd05…
08-05 08:28:51	btc updown 4h 1785916800	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6a5e6c…
08-05 07:59:47	btc updown 4h 1785902400	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x2d3245…
08-05 07:58:05	btc updown 4h 1785902400	Up	SELL	95	6¢	$6	0xb43e50…
08-05 07:57:38	btc updown 4h 1785902400	Up	BUY	95	1¢	$1	0xe7a7e3…
08-05 07:00:00	btc updown 4h 1785902400	Down	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x084f4d…
08-05 06:36:12	btc updown 4h 1785902400	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x593b7c…
08-05 05:17:32	btc updown 4h 1785902400	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcf5360…
08-05 04:38:50	btc updown 4h 1785902400	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc2b657…
08-04 18:25:51	btc updown 4h 1785859200	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb2f34a…
08-04 18:14:44	btc updown 4h 1785859200	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x55719d…
08-04 15:45:45	btc updown 4h 1785844800	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x757757…
08-04 15:34:38	btc updown 4h 1785844800	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x55c8c9…
08-04 15:34:17	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x9898f7…
08-04 15:20:30	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xdb891c…
08-04 10:21:33	btc updown 4h 1785830400	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x24ab69…
08-04 06:57:09	btc updown 4h 1785816000	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd985a3…
08-03 18:37:30	btc updown 4h 1785772800	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9d26fc…
08-03 13:14:44	btc updown 4h 1785758400	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1cc1c6…
08-03 10:04:44	btc updown 4h 1785744000	Up	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xadcaf4…
08-03 08:37:41	btc updown 4h 1785744000	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x330b0c…
08-03 07:51:45	btc updown 15m 1785743100	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x56f521…
08-03 07:48:00	btc updown 15m 1785743100	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x1af02c…
08-03 07:03:26	btc updown 4h 1785729600	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x37aad5…
08-03 07:03:21	btc updown 4h 1785729600	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x688a7b…
08-03 07:03:21	btc updown 4h 1785729600	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x3c5156…
08-03 07:03:20	btc updown 4h 1785729600	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x7ea1d6…
08-03 07:03:18	btc updown 4h 1785729600	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x6a9b13…
08-03 07:03:18	btc updown 4h 1785729600	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x64a100…
08-03 07:03:18	btc updown 4h 1785729600	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x365a8d…
08-03 07:02:38	btc updown 4h 1785729600	Up	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x4a8987…
08-02 12:07:09	btc updown 4h 1785672000	Up	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0xb28156…
08-02 12:00:15	btc updown 4h 1785672000	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa1c5ea…
08-02 05:05:09	btc updown 4h 1785643200	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x90a691…
08-01 16:33:27	btc updown 4h 1785600000	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe5cdfa…
08-01 15:29:12	btc updown 4h 1785585600	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe618d8…
08-01 15:27:51	btc updown 4h 1785585600	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x8d53a0…
08-01 13:15:35	btc updown 4h 1785585600	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x574b93…
07-31 18:30:29	btc updown 4h 1785513600	Down	SELL	24	9¢	$2	0xd3fbf9…
07-31 18:21:06	btc updown 4h 1785513600	Down	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x10fe6c…
07-31 18:18:00	btc updown 4h 1785513600	Down	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x6747ce…
07-31 17:56:48	btc updown 4h 1785513600	Down	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xdc8bd6…
07-31 14:16:21	btc updown 4h 1785499200	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7823e3…
07-30 22:19:29	btc updown 4h 1785441600	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x32bf0f…
07-30 17:32:21	btc updown 4h 1785427200	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x8bd89c…
07-30 13:24:08	btc updown 4h 1785412800	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x29089c…
07-30 12:55:02	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x0a0fd9…
07-30 12:20:00	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfc3b67…
07-30 12:19:50	GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x28e15c…
07-30 12:00:15	btc updown 4h 1785412800	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb9b523…
07-30 09:14:20	btc updown 4h 1785398400	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6b846f…
07-30 08:43:41	btc updown 4h 1785398400	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x0bf492…
07-30 06:16:14	btc updown 4h 1785384000	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x3fa056…
07-30 06:07:57	btc updown 4h 1785384000	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x67a92f…