Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 8?
open
Total volume
$1,166
$4,549 in 24h
Trades
27
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$8,604
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 07:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $64 | $64 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $3 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $64 | $64 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $169 | $169 |
| Median | 5 | — | $188 | $188 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $180 | $180 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 4 | $2 | $543 | $542 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crafty-Spool 0xd23f…1ee1 | No | +502 | $502 | $502 | 1 | 05-08 07:19 |
| Concrete-Trailer 0x7f82…b7ac | Yes | +236 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 01:32 |
| Demanding-Dart 0xa0ce…044a | No | +178 | $178 | $178 | 1 | 05-08 07:14 |
| Long-Term-Housing 0x397b…30e6 | No | +178 | $177 | $177 | 1 | 05-08 07:15 |
| Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | +170 | $169 | $169 | 9 | 05-08 05:58 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +59 | $58 | $58 | 4 | 05-08 05:58 |
| Purple-Comestible 0x6a90…0feb | Yes | +56 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 05:53 |
| Concerned-Ereader 0x7d8c…f516 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-08 06:33 |
| Simplistic-Summary 0x87aa…6f4c | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-08 06:50 |
| Scrawny-Grace 0x903b…9472 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-08 05:48 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 05:57 |
| Noted-Grocery 0xfb11…b42b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 11:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 07:44:49 | Unaware-Hurry 0x95ce…981a | No | SELL | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x91b956… |
| 05-08 07:44:47 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | SELL | 322 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf978c1… |
| 05-08 07:19:23 | Prickly-Teletype 0xfc00…b460 | Yes | SELL | 222 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7cdb7b… |
| 05-08 07:19:20 | Prickly-Teletype 0xfc00…b460 | Yes | SELL | 1,278 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xcbe61e… |
| 05-08 07:19:20 | Crafty-Spool 0xd23f…1ee1 | No | BUY | 502 | 100¢ | $502 | 0xf48f9b… |
| 05-08 07:15:22 | Long-Term-Housing 0x397b…30e6 | No | BUY | 178 | 100¢ | $177 | 0x324f8e… |
| 05-08 07:14:31 | Demanding-Dart 0xa0ce…044a | No | BUY | 178 | 100¢ | $178 | 0x0fe89d… |
| 05-08 06:50:45 | Simplistic-Summary 0x87aa…6f4c | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x48922f… |
| 05-08 06:33:55 | Concerned-Ereader 0x7d8c…f516 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x0ae583… |
| 05-08 05:58:29 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xdb2bb1… |
| 05-08 05:58:29 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x16dd03… |
| 05-08 05:57:50 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x95f8ea… |
| 05-08 05:53:10 | Purple-Comestible 0x6a90…0feb | Yes | BUY | 56 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x9a9d12… |
| 05-08 05:48:53 | Scrawny-Grace 0x903b…9472 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xd80e42… |
| 05-08 04:54:03 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe31032… |
| 05-08 03:02:15 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x5002a9… |
| 05-08 01:32:16 | Concrete-Trailer 0x7f82…b7ac | Yes | BUY | 236 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x07c512… |
| 05-07 23:21:12 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xb96012… |
| 05-07 20:35:16 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x8278a3… |
| 05-07 20:35:07 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x34a2c1… |
| 05-07 20:34:57 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x5f5270… |
| 05-07 14:11:23 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x51e147… |
| 05-07 11:54:30 | Noted-Grocery 0xfb11…b42b | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x2e223a… |
| 05-07 10:27:54 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5f75a6… |
| 05-06 23:06:24 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xc66e96… |
| 05-06 19:09:04 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x76b931… |
| 05-06 08:44:34 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xed6971… |