Will the Cincinnati Reds win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
open
Total volume
$128
Trades
19
Unique wallets
8
Liquidity
$783
End date
2026-10-05
First seen
2026-06-07
last 07-14 21:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $13 | $42 | $30 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $35 | $5 | +$30 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median | 2 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $27 | $42 | $15 |
| unranked | 3 | $26 | — | +$26 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 78.5 | +89 | $42 | $42 | 3 | 06-07 16:32 |
| Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | O 78.5 | +64 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 07-14 21:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | O 78.5 | +31 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 07-07 10:44 |
| Dishonest-Classification 0x4e87…179b | U 78.5 | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-13 05:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 21:39:44 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | O 78.5 | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x5ba9aa… |
| 07-14 21:39:44 | Appropriate-Executive 0x2d82…3a1b | O 78.5 | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x5ba9aa… |
| 07-13 05:59:52 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | O 78.5 | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xd8e5fd… |
| 07-13 05:59:52 | Dishonest-Classification 0x4e87…179b | U 78.5 | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xd8e5fd… |
| 07-07 10:44:58 | Frosty-Employer 0x290e…1e65 | O 78.5 | SELL | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x6c1ea1… |
| 07-07 10:44:58 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | O 78.5 | BUY | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x6c1ea1… |
| 07-07 10:44:52 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | O 78.5 | SELL | 7 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x04e122… |
| 07-07 10:44:52 | Frosty-Employer 0x290e…1e65 | O 78.5 | BUY | 7 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x04e122… |
| 07-07 10:44:41 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | O 78.5 | BUY | 7 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x0a8924… |
| 07-07 10:44:41 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 78.5 | SELL | 7 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x0a8924… |
| 06-07 16:42:46 | (anonymous) 0x9868…c836 | O 78.5 | SELL | 38 | 24¢ | $9 | 0x0a2283… |
| 06-07 16:42:46 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | O 78.5 | BUY | 38 | 24¢ | $9 | 0x0a2283… |
| 06-07 16:32:03 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 78.5 | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x0dd6fd… |
| 06-07 16:32:03 | Appropriate-Executive 0x2d82…3a1b | O 78.5 | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0x0dd6fd… |
| 06-07 16:31:45 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 78.5 | BUY | 38 | 47¢ | $18 | 0xec61fa… |
| 06-07 16:31:45 | (anonymous) 0x9868…c836 | O 78.5 | BUY | 38 | 53¢ | $20 | 0xec61fa… |
| 06-07 16:31:37 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | O 78.5 | BUY | 24 | 54¢ | $13 | 0x7e5dec… |
| 06-07 16:31:37 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 78.5 | BUY | 8 | 54¢ | $4 | 0x7e5dec… |
| 06-07 16:31:37 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 78.5 | BUY | 32 | 46¢ | $15 | 0x7e5dec… |