Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$851
$1,560 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$4,103
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 02:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $55 | $55 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | — | $796 | $796 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $25 | $25 |
| Median | 4 | — | $764 | $764 |
| Below median | 7 | — | $16 | $16 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $16 | $16 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual-Spokesman 0xe53d…1b96 | No | +555 | $554 | $554 | 1 | 05-14 02:50 |
| Angry-Welfare 0xab52…172f | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-13 15:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x8fab…19d1 | No | +92 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 05-13 15:43 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 00:37 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 00:37 |
| Wasteful-Troop 0x4cad…e203 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-13 05:12 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-14 00:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x7376…de4e | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 01:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xb7e8…6820 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 15:43 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 15:33 |
| Gregarious-Stopsign 0xb345…557a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 04:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 02:50:58 | Annual-Spokesman 0xe53d…1b96 | No | BUY | 555 | 100¢ | $554 | 0x018a7b… |
| 05-14 01:12:07 | (anonymous) 0x7376…de4e | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x9d204e… |
| 05-14 00:37:12 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xa05ed2… |
| 05-14 00:37:12 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe5032d… |
| 05-14 00:37:11 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0f6a7… |
| 05-14 00:37:11 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xab9f29… |
| 05-14 00:37:11 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa2f3fa… |
| 05-14 00:37:11 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x579e72… |
| 05-14 00:37:11 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf6c947… |
| 05-14 00:37:07 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x051b73… |
| 05-14 00:37:07 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x1435d6… |
| 05-13 15:43:34 | (anonymous) 0xb7e8…6820 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x22e4bf… |
| 05-13 15:43:31 | Angry-Welfare 0xab52…172f | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x24391b… |
| 05-13 15:43:31 | (anonymous) 0x8fab…19d1 | No | BUY | 92 | 100¢ | $91 | 0x63cccd… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1d903d… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x64d474… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb48596… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9f4ed0… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4c58e1… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeb2d3f… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xed1b63… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x21a5cd… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x334507… |
| 05-13 05:12:54 | Wasteful-Troop 0x4cad…e203 | No | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xd29fcc… |
| 05-13 04:58:47 | Gregarious-Stopsign 0xb345…557a | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x99908d… |